02W生成 - 颱風討論

Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-05-26T21:23

Table of Contents

JTWC第29報
超級颱風瑪娃
世界協調時間 5月27號 00:00
位置:北緯16.4 度 東經133.3 度
中心氣壓:922 百帕
中心付近最大風速:135 KTS

JTWC預測路徑：
https://i.imgur.com/KOYq0Lq.gif

EC 26 18Z 144小時系集:
https://i.imgur.com/QWMLAs5.png

GFS 26 18Z 系集:
https://i.imgur.com/SCTV4LS.png


OHC圖:(待更新)
https://i.imgur.com/xfpjZpK.gif


瑪娃的星座命盤：
https://i.imgur.com/RVb8idf.png


瑪娃的IG自拍:
https://i.imgur.com/VelPZ5x.gif


JMA預測路徑：
https://i.imgur.com/f632SsZ.jpg

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

William avatar
By William
at 2023-05-28T15:49
兩邊的06Z系集都很微妙
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2023-05-30T10:16
颱風不要來
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2023-06-01T04:42
EC 06Z 有很微妙嗎 覺得蠻正常的 GFS比較神奇
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-02T23:09
EC06Z 不就前幾天的GFS
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2023-06-04T17:35
慢走不送
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2023-06-06T12:02
GFS先不論 EC較靠近臺灣的成員變多 顯示變動率仍大
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-08T06:29
瑪娃在台灣附近的冷水坑裡挖呀挖呀挖
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-10T00:55
氣象局新一報暴風圈通過機率微上調（台東市58%→60
%），不過主要是因為預報的暴風圈超大
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2023-06-11T19:22
gfs西行成員越來越多xd
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-13T13:48
EC06Z明明靠近台灣的變少吧！
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2023-06-15T08:15
有西的趨勢
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
C
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2023-06-15T19:49
非正報的小變動，值得參考嗎
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
再觀察了
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
移動速度如果越快，北轉的經度就會越西邊
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
Bye 慢走不送
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不要去日本呀！拜託
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-14T01:22
西
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC最近兩報跟前天昨天比少很多XD
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2023-06-11T23:28
千萬別登陸，拜託。
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-13T17:54
這隻的威力太強，上岸會成災的
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2023-06-15T12:21
西起來
希望瑪娃就在海上消散吧！
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台灣這邊環境不夠好啦 真的來也不會太強
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2023-06-15T19:49
各機構北轉角度都變大了
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
在外海滯留下下雨就好
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2023-06-11T23:28
到台灣東部海域已經是中颱了
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-13T17:54
這三天是她最美麗的時刻
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-15T12:21
會不會滯留時間比較久，變成輕颱呢？
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-14T01:22
機構現在就是在抄前幾天的GFS吧 也算合理
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2023-06-15T19:49
現在已經是巔峰了
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
大家可以回家了
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-15T19:49
真‧擦邊球
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS那個是誰家的小寶貝在亂畫圖嗎？
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2023-06-15T19:49
HWRF 26 06Z +126hours
https://i.imgur.com/YHofrHK.png
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC跟GEF都是天女散花呀
更正 GFS
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS 來吧
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-15T19:49
他若真的襲台，到的時候強度可能減弱不少，但要注意
的是走太慢，帶來的持續降雨。
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
還不承認真的有力場
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
對 都是天女散花 真的星期日再說了 現在講幾乎都娛
樂
James avatar
By James
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF會不會報太大
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
五月颱這麼少，來才不正常吧
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2023-06-14T01:22
已經過巔峰約半天了，接下來只會減弱，就算靠近台灣
應該也剩中颱或以下
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-15T19:49
來
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
掰了
巔峰也過了 大家可以回家啦
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-15T19:49
下周三才靠近，現在就喊回家會不會太快
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-14T01:22
巔峰已過
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2023-06-15T19:49
hwrf是？
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台灣附近本來就不足以支撐貓五等級的過來吧
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-15T19:49
還好今天早上用美美的眼圖來了一發 開心
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2023-06-14T01:22
hwrf北部首當其衝？
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-15T19:49
HWRF看起來就在東部外海卡住吧
而且本來台灣周圍環境就無法支持巔峰XD
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2023-06-14T01:22
說巔峰已過太早 目前CDO型態又轉好
很可能又偷偷完成一次融合置換
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-15T19:49
莫蘭蒂算是巔峰之姿路過吧
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
巔峰侵台就碧利斯吧
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49
莫蘭蒂巔峰是在發警報時期沒錯
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
真的這樣北轉 南部那個下沉吃好吃滿
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2023-06-15T19:49
碧利斯還是減弱了一點
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
巔峰應該910-920 登陸930 不過考慮到台灣地形已
經很猛了
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2023-06-15T19:49
莫蘭蒂那時是走巴士海峽，如果從東部海面過來，就只
有碧利斯
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
但也是有減弱
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這次似乎離蠻遠就彈開了
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
巔峰登陸 可以去看看韋恩的雲圖
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
8888888888888888888888888
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/F540PzQ.gif
暖心8.0 等等AMSU分析刺激了
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2023-06-15T19:49
花系列必來台灣的傳統究竟會不會斷在瑪華手裏呢
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
新聞準備轟炸 恐 不排除 登陸。
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-15T19:49
掰囉
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS 12z開獎中
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
還有穿心颱，霸王颱什麼之類的
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
12Z最主要是東南邊有沒有東西吧 如果真的有就....
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS:瑪娃腳麻走不動
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
目前開將是東北東轉走
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-15T19:49
系集集中了嗎?還是繼續天女散花?
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-14T01:22
系集還是開花
那我看到的是舊的系集資料了
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這報看起來是正常轉走了 等2點多系集開獎
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS這報恢復正常了
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
12Z系集沒那麼快開獎吧 至少要等2-3點
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-06-14T01:22
12z除了系集 還有那個東南方的小東西看有沒有繼續生
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS最新一報東邊沒長新系統了
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
目前看到+210的結果
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2023-06-15T19:49
好啦 散場了 QQ
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
展望明….
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2023-06-15T19:49
差不多是展望了 888
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2023-06-14T01:22
QQQQ
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2023-06-15T19:49
副高沒死都還有機會xd
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
展望明……
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-06-15T19:49
飄走後還能定竿也是很厲害xd
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-14T01:22
才五月就在展望 真的是夠了
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
444展望了 留給風迷追就好 放假迷力場迷最好快去展
望不要再來留什麼展望了
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
因為目前預測的距離，只要高壓多硬一天就有機會進來
了，每次都那麼剛好我不信xd
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-15T19:49
拜託副高硬起來，幫我撐一天
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
gfs系集東修
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那就趕快進入EC的劇本，六月出現標準梅雨鋒面
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
都還沒開獎完哪來的系集
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-06-15T19:49
迴旋鏢 最後的榮光
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2023-06-14T01:22
確實每年都在展望不是嗎？
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看來是等明年了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
減弱了哦QQ
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-15T19:49
然後真的要88了QQ
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2023-06-14T01:22
連最後浮木GFS也沒了QQ
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看HWRF好像還有戲(自欺欺人XD
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這幾年劇本都一樣 颱風一路爽爽平西
然後要接近台灣的時候高壓就變廢物東退
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2023-06-15T19:49
颱風就直接北走 然後高壓馬上又變強西伸
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2023-06-14T01:22
又或者高壓強到讓颱風直接撞菲律賓西北不起來
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2023-06-15T19:49
顆顆 最好別來
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
每次新聞都報得像會登入
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
大風場 屆時西半部還是會有強風吧
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
果然又是高壓搞事
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-15T19:49
外圍的下沉區看起來要進來了
而且接上了西南季風水管 變更大隻
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS連三報都搞出怪路徑XDD
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
除非今天偏西速度超乎預期太多，不然路徑應該不會
有太大的意外
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2023-06-14T01:22
希望別來亂
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
要準備空梅又空颱了嗎 嘻嘻
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-06-14T01:22
還好曾文還有7.3% 二階稻作穩了
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2023-06-15T19:49
推文滿滿崩潰感
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台北有吃下沉的味道了
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-15T19:49
gfs 18z xdd
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-14T01:22
美國模式一直給希望欸
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-15T19:49
又是熟悉的劇本
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2023-06-14T01:22
曾文還有6.9% 不怕
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2023-06-15T19:49
gfs一直都是報北轉後平西襲台啊 怎麼版上大家有點
低落 感覺還是有機會
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
因為gfs系集就是天女散花加上他西折原因是後面又報
出一個系統去牽制他 偏偏無中亂生有是gfs壞毛病,ec
現在看起來沒那個反應
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/NyKnnov.png
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2023-06-14T01:22
12z有修掉，但18z又改回來
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-06-15T19:49
型態倒是轉差了
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不如說前幾天的gfs還反而跟現在的ec比較有共識 近4
報的gfs其實都怪怪的
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看起來又在換眼
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-14T01:22
4報裡面只有1報跟上主流機構直接北轉的路線 其他3
報都是這種襲台的劇本 應該是真的有觀測到什麼
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
他前幾天都很穩定報現在的主流路線XDDD 是近4報比較
像鬼附身
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
禮拜日過後 如果還持續這樣報 應該就是會襲台了吧
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不看日子還以為是現在是七八月盛夏 哈哈
完全跳脫梅雨季節的五六月了xd
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
龐然大物 拔山倒樹而來xd
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS敏感阿 而且已經是10天內 多少有點東西
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC應該也有算到類似的 只是高壓直接壓死吧
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
一教起來GFS認為還是能西
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
照這樣算起來下禮拜一會接近台灣 禮拜二宜蘭那邊衝
進來 小白一個 問一下可信度比較高的時間範圍大概
是多久 5天嗎？還是已經可以算到7天準確了
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-06-15T19:49
沒登陸前都是假的
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-06-14T01:22
即使是gfs這條路徑 OHC恐怕讓它強度減弱非常多...
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-06-15T19:49
可見光看起來結構鬆掉了
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
從雲圖上來看 幾內亞島北方出現跨赤道流與東風衝撞
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-15T19:49
五月高壓是會多硬？而且又是遠洋生成的颱風，台灣又
這麼小
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-06-14T01:22
且不受高空冷低風切影響的區域 GFS開新系統不是
沒有理由
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
希望北部多少能吃到一些雨水，不要只吃下沉
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-14T01:22
翡翠51%石門34% 保重
目前竹苗中水情較穩
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/Ae84uPz.jpg
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-14T01:22
風場這麼大還在門口晃快五天 就算雨不大我也怕下到
眼神死
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-15T19:49
應該只有前一天才是準的
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2023-06-14T01:22
可以注意瑪娃走後是否留下 遺腹子在南邊發展xd
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2023-06-15T19:49
南邊東南邊的雲系如果留下來或發展起來也是可以注意
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/tg7JonE.png
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
持續東修
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
看來要等到6/1才會知道瑪娃要往哪走了
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49
目前確認的是會在東部外海龜速
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
何時才有颱風進來…？
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-06-15T19:49
論最後一個中颱登陸是2017年的泥沙 嘻嘻
James avatar
By James
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF總是喜歡跑出奇怪的路徑
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/nlC7QyJ.jpg
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-14T01:22
太讚了吧xdd
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
也太神了吧！
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2023-06-14T01:22
上面的路徑也蠻驚悚的 登陸後出海轉圈再登陸西南部
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
hwrf看他畫餅就好XD
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2023-06-14T01:22
135 KTS :(
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2023-06-15T19:49
預報調弱了…巔峰就現在
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
可怕的63/78m/s被改掉了
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
置換完也差不多要掉冷水了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
其實向西北西移動的速度高於預期..
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
降輕颱來台灣下雨補水就好
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/FABlYE7.jpg
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49
移動速度快會對台灣造成什麼影響嗎
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
向西北西移動的速度高於預期，會造成什麼結果呢？
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
移速快也只是彎的更大而已XD
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
在海上減弱消失就好
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那個彎整個像甩尾
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
真的，不來的話趕快在海上減弱消散吧！
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-15T19:49
台灣附近海溫是大地雷
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
越西 往東只會轉更大
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
就會變成深V轉向嗎？
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2023-06-14T01:22
坐等變胖子
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-15T19:49
吳聖宇說：目前預報仍是在台灣東南方大轉彎
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2023-06-14T01:22
樓下大統領颱風轉彎圖
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/KOYq0Lq.gif
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-14T01:22
會不會北轉後突然又南落 之後平西登錄台灣？
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
26km/h的速度還真快呀...
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2023-06-14T01:22
怎麼可能進來,別想了
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2023-06-15T19:49
走快不知道是好還是壞？
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-14T01:22
跑的太快就直接登陸了 類似HWRF報的
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-15T19:49
就看她什麼時候會減速、轉向了，也有可能就直衝，
哈哈！雖然不太可能
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
後面開始拖一條尾巴就是GFS 敏感的東西吧
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/4Y9Nu7W.jpg
是這個嗎？
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2023-06-14T01:22
那區域是有渦度出現沒錯 所以要繼續看是否發展
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/KiycwEB.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/k6eDyCQ.jpg
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-14T01:22
東南方那坨尾巴可能帶不走
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
希望翡翠水庫至少能補到60%
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
那坨發展就有趣了
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那坨發展會影響什麼嗎
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2023-06-14T01:22
宜蘭首當其衝？
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那陀發展就是看槽線夠不夠力吧，gfs登陸就是槽線帶
不走後高壓又西伸的結果
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-06-14T01:22
那坨就是瑪娃遺腹子啊 有可能發展起來
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49
宜蘭:咦?
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
兒子要來神助攻嗎嘻嘻
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2023-06-15T19:49
因為瑪娃東南邊有系統發展起來會妨礙副高摸屁股
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-06-14T01:22
所以瑪娃就會一直被推向西邊嗎？如果發展起來的話
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-15T19:49
然後西風槽釣魚失敗 副高從北側壓制
這大概是昨天GFS的劇本
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-14T01:22
gfs蠻會生餅的，說不定真的有發展起來
William avatar
By William
at 2023-06-15T19:49
關鍵在東邊那顆
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
5/31-6/5在那霸T.T
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2023-06-15T19:49
瑪娃的遺腹子如果形成TD來補水也不賴(?
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2023-06-14T01:22
尾巴應該來不及發展 瑪娃現在速度太快了
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS這報繼續生餅
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
下沉吃爆
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2023-06-15T19:49
尾巴如果轉起來，就真的複雜有趣了
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS這報 瑪娃在近海逗留好幾天才登陸 這樣雨會下爆
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不來的話就趕快走吧 讓梅雨鋒面可以重新建立
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/3ZHBsyD.gif
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
最會畫餅的就GFS...長期預報還是看EC好
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
照GFS那樣走瑪娃會先被打回輕颱或是TD吧= =
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這雨量預測西半部也太慘了吧
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2023-06-14T01:22
Lemon大那張圖不就納莉走法?
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2023-06-15T19:49
槽線沒釣走＋後面有新擾動的話北轉後西折機率就高了
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
怎麼突然gfs又變全民公敵了
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS近期除了午夜那報以外都非常堅持
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不過台灣附近幾乎冷水坑，即使西折強度會大打折扣
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-06-15T19:49
以它現在的強度 搞不好中颱下限侵台有可能
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這報走的非常慢 登陸只剩輕颱
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
gfs跟ec輪流歡樂就是了…XD
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台北和桃園狂吃外圍沉降熱空氣ww
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS:讓你看看我有多厲害
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這路徑還是等EC也報出來才有可信度18Z系集是幾乎全
部北轉
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-15T19:49
特立獨行的預報當極端值看就好(？)
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-06-14T01:22
納莉那時候就是東邊也有個系統（丹娜斯），導致被牽
制，然後槽線預期要勾走納莉也沒有成真
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS看看就好
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
丹娜斯大很多吧XD
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
北轉機率還是大啦，除非連續幾報都如此...
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2023-06-14T01:22
通常越近氣象局越準
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2023-06-15T19:49
感覺就是深V轉走了！
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
浮木還沒沉不放棄xd
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC就靠這次扳回一城了
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2023-06-14T01:22
納莉那麼久也才那一個 跟滿大街的東北轉5月颱比誰
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-15T19:49
成真機會大XD
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF要是成真台灣就慘囉
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那坨發展的話就是阻止RMT發生吧
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2023-06-14T01:22
但就是有可能發生奇特路線啊
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2023-06-15T19:49
可是HWRF那個不會成真啊
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-14T01:22
五月就是乖乖東北轉
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
本來想做夢的 結果先被熱醒= =
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2023-06-14T01:22
gfs 27 00Z 系集
https://i.imgur.com/DgVh7SQ.jpg
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49
#1aSBhFIx (Aviation) 關島國際機場預計5/30重開QQ
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/zh9cvpA.jpg
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-15T19:49
HWRF 27 00Z +102小時
https://i.imgur.com/Bh0ZmV1.jpg
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
怎麼感覺越來越有可能走怪颱路線
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2023-06-15T19:49
gfs系集西修了不少餒，跟前天的rc互換劇本了
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
gfs 就算成真,颱風登陸台灣之前 就已經破爛不堪了..
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
有西修嗎 不是一樣轉彎甩尾嗎
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-14T01:22
04敏督利 滿足各位西進 北轉 登陸 補水 等願望
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看起來好大一個
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-14T01:22
減弱有水也不差
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-15T19:49
減弱風小更好 重點是雨多
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
目前看起來也不一定會發海警了
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
到了124E就會北轉
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2023-06-14T01:22
走到冷水坑自然減弱 不過風場小 雨量多 很完美耶
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2023-06-15T19:49
餓死的駱駝還是比馬大。
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2023-06-14T01:22
曾經是強颱，會減弱到哪？
我覺得舒服文，真的大可不必
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-15T19:49
嘉南二階稻作穩了
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2023-06-14T01:22
以上都不會發生 北轉走了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
.https://i.imgur.com/Y9UUHHI.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/sKVGhuQ.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/ZdGZgoC.jpg
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-14T01:22
看EC預測直線減弱
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/VUpZsnt.jpg
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
力場開好開滿 又一個跑掉了
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
5月就在喊力場zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2023-06-14T01:22
還是希望來台灣補個水
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-15T19:49
以北北北東方向移動？
沒有明顯偏東?
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
沒意外展望明年？
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2023-06-15T19:49
拜託不要每次轉走就在力場好嗎？五月底颱風西行侵
台本來就沒有紀錄
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
北北東還是偏離而去吧
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2023-06-15T19:49
連5年不來也太巧了
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-06-11T23:28
大概是一堆人想放颱風假吧
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-13T17:54
梅雨展望明年？
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-15T12:21
EC+144 140e那邊有閉合風場的樣子
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
是4年 上個登陸台是19年的白鹿
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS認為會長起來，EC認為不會
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-14T01:22
只希望南部可以補水，拜託拜託
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-15T19:49
有水就好最好颱風還是別來
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2023-06-14T01:22
紀錄就是用來突破的 而且很有可能6月才進 就不是5
月颱了：）
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-06-15T19:49
上個中颱以上登陸是
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/b6wXuEC.jpg
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2023-06-15T19:49
日本最新一報，有點偏回來西邊
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-14T01:22
JMA 06Z的預測路徑也西修了 北上的偏東分量不明顯
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/ufbZn19.jpg
27日14時，以每小時23公里速度，向西進行
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-14T01:22
桃園下沉吃得很飽
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2023-06-15T19:49
6月颱也沒比5月颱多多少
要這樣算上面提到的敏督利也要算7月了 6底7初
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
cwb繼續甩尾遠離 信心十足
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS和EC最終的共識路徑 搞不好變這樣
https://i.imgur.com/tnAIISn.png
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-14T01:22
如果是共識的路徑 那中南部會大進補耶..
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-15T19:49
好像也不無可能耶！！
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-14T01:22
北北基桃萬里無雲@@
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49
什麼是中南部大進補
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
UKMO很少準過吧......
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-15T19:49
開始了 西軍找浮木時間
James avatar
By James
at 2023-06-14T01:22
西軍常常在找浮木
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2023-06-15T19:49
15:30氣象局有直播
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS過度反應系統發展又不是第一次 看看就好
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
開始找浮木了嗎
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2023-06-14T01:22
今天早上瑪娃開始進入OHC較低的海域，整體減弱的很
明顯。未來還要在台灣東方那塊完全沒OHC的海域龜速.
..這即使真的西行也怕會死在半路上...
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2023-06-15T19:49
高海溫還不夠她用真可憐QQ
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
冷水坑+龜速 就算是強颱也會減弱的非常明顯
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
真的在台灣東方海面玩龜速S行路線 走完半個S大概也
倒了 期待這時候的颱風真的不怎麼實際 能拉點西南風
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-14T01:22
就已經功德圓滿
看各家預測光是在東部龜速一天 強度直接砍到快中颱
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-15T19:49
下限 哪來那麼多時間給你龜
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
所以現在可以開始幫她拍遺照的概念，之後變醜也不用
拍了Q
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-06-15T19:49
Dora大那張不就西北颱嗎
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
用大J 2700Z那張圖為例
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
光走一半的S就已經從105砍到剩65 剩下一半S慢慢走
大概連半條命都不剩
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不是彈開 就是減弱消失！！
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2023-06-15T19:49
到東部海域走越慢的話，死的越快！！
希望梅雨趕快恢復
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
就算剩半條命，這種走法會讓梅雨很快恢復
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-15T19:49
因為拉上來的西南氣流會在台灣附近
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-14T01:22
要等到下週一才會比較明朗，北轉之後的走向
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49
小心西南氣流是真的
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/YJiPC6J.png
台灣近海海溫只有27-28度 在這邊滯留就是找死
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-15T19:49
CWB JMA的誤差圈看起來都有放大
沒想到能在這個季節看到宛如秋季的預報困難度w
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
發新文了了
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2023-06-15T19:49
沒辦法 才5月台灣附近這海溫算正常
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這季節本來就很難預報，7-9月才是台灣夏季颱風期

梅雨季結束了！專家：鋒面被颱風強大拉力

Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-05-26T16:43
※ 引述《w510048 (黨的恩情比山高)》之銘言： : (一)新聞標題 : 梅雨季結束了！專家：鋒面被颱風強大拉力拆散 : (二)新聞內容 : 16:09 2023/05/24 中時新聞網 莊楚雯 : https://images.chinatimes.com/newsphoto/2023-05-24/1 ...

颱風轉向與太平洋高壓強度的增減

Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-05-26T12:48
小時候颱風季常見的有3種情況 (本人今年26離30不遠了 小時候的定義是18以前 也就是2015之前) 第一種是近幾年幾乎是最常見的 副高減弱東退引導颱風北轉遠離 第二種近年偶爾還會看到 副高很硬壓著颱風從南邊走 但比例跟北轉相比明顯較少 第三種是副高增強西伸 讓颱風跟著引導氣流接近台灣 可能從近海掠過 ...

颱風轉向與中國持續沙漠化？

Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-05-26T12:10
一直有個疑問，近幾年的颱風路徑跟多以提早北轉為主 這跟中國持續性的沙漠化，有無直接性的關聯，往後會不會影響更嚴重？ ----- Sent from JPTT on my iPhone - ...

近代追風科技-颱風的生滅與轉向

Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-05-26T10:19
各位板友日安： 近期在國家地理雜誌頻道看見類似這段影片的介紹片段： https://youtu.be/1jYMqd2Q3ro 應是記錄2008年辛樂克颱風襲台： 台（DOTSTAR）、日、美、德四國各派一架飛機， 人類史上初次的跨國聯合研究。 只記得關鍵字有獵鷹號、P3、特製型C130， 還有關島機 ...

02W生成

Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-05-26T03:44
JTWC第24報 超級颱風瑪娃 世界協調時間 5月25號 18:00 位置:北緯 14.9 度 東經 140.5 度 中心氣壓: 903百帕 中心付近最大風速: 155 KTS JTWC預測路徑： https://i.imgur.com/5gHiOQ7.gif EC 25 12Z 240小時系集: ht ...