2114 璨樹 - 颱風討論

Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-09-08T21:52

Table of Contents

JTWC 第10報

Typhoon CHANTHU

As of 12:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021:

Location: 15.5°N 130.3°E

Maximum Winds: 135 kt Gusts: N/A

Minimum Central Pressure: 930 mb

JTWC 路徑圖:https://i.imgur.com/WYRh8nm.gif

EC 08 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/nAKj2SQ.png

GFS 08 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/VOTt89T.png

風切圖: https://i.imgur.com/MJ8DLPR.gif

輻散圖: https://i.imgur.com/QEOwM5p.gif

OHC圖: https://i.imgur.com/BxRxe21.gif (待更新)

璨樹: https://i.imgur.com/vWw6r2z.gif

96W的系集(虛驚一場,對不起)

EC 08 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/MlpUzkD.png

https://i.imgur.com/rKl6YRZ.png

GFS 08 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/oXmQJPn.png



--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-09-13T12:39
要一次來二個了嗎?
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2021-09-18T03:26
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2021-09-22T18:13
EC那個96W和璨樹的路徑根本差不多
真這樣走,真的會是驚奇2021
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2021-09-27T08:59

EC的以為是貼到璨樹+1
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-10-01T23:46
EC的還以為96W和燦樹複製貼上
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-10-06T14:33
下一個也是下週日的事了
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2021-10-11T05:20
EC和GFS的最新系集有點味道飄出來了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2021-10-15T20:07
熟悉的那個劇本
James avatar
By James
at 2021-10-20T10:53
要一周內兩隻走完全一樣很難吧,好像有理論依據
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2021-10-25T01:40
味道? 古味嗎XD
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2021-10-29T16:27
96走前人的路
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2021-11-03T07:14
https://i.imgur.com/uOnqStj.jpg JMA路徑圖
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2021-11-07T22:01
EC複製貼上
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2021-11-12T12:47
有那個味道了
應該會再大修
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2021-11-17T03:34
那不是以為吧
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2021-11-21T18:21
我有看錯嗎,這兩個幾乎是一起走?
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-11-26T09:08
也太精彩了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2021-11-30T23:55
CWB 20:00資料難產中
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2021-12-05T14:41
EC那個只有最東邊那兩條是96W吧 其他只是意外抓到璨
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2021-12-10T05:28
CWB差不多要抓定立場了 不過是假日問題不大
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2021-12-14T20:15
記得某一年九月有連續四顆平西走巴海 路徑幾乎一樣
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2021-12-19T11:02
2008年吧 一周一颱
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-12-24T01:49
KB大是對的!96W EC系集有誤!
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-12-28T16:35
不太可能2008 光走巴士就不可能2008
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-01-02T07:22
2008九月至少兩個是登陸台灣的
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-01-06T22:09
CWB要給強颱了沒?
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-01-11T12:56
沒,還在48m/s,中度颱風
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-01-16T03:43
06年? 象神 西馬隆 榴槤 奇比 雖然只平西沒有走巴海
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-01-20T18:29
cwb新一報難產
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-01-25T09:16
2006比較有可能 當時那路線幾乎都很類似
記得連五個颱風都登陸菲律賓
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-01-30T00:03
還有一個尤特也是
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-02-03T14:50
https://i.imgur.com/xPkwiD9.jpg
會照著區域模式畫嗎
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-02-08T05:37
CWB給強颱了
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-02-12T20:23
給強度了
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-02-17T11:10
CWB幾乎沒動XD
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-02-22T01:57
有西修一點吧
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-02-26T16:44
cwb怎麼反而南(?)修了
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-03-03T07:31
強颱
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-03-07T22:17
CWB走GFS路線?
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-03-12T13:04
貝絲?賽洛瑪?莫蘭蒂?
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-03-17T03:51
氣象局居然沒往東往北修?
CWB一下信ec一下信gfs,哈哈
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-03-21T18:38
很明顯分兩派 CWB 就畫中間把誤差圈放大
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-03-26T09:25
CWB:再看看風向
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-03-31T00:11
CWB這一戰決定先用擴大誤差圈避戰 下戰再說
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-04-04T14:58
還有東派的 尼伯特 黛娜 桃芝 xd
燦樹:我的路線我自己決定xd
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-04-09T05:45
挖喔這麼猶豫表示有一定可能的會影響台灣
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-04-13T20:32
桃芝表示:我不服我是被秀姑巒溪吸進去的!!!
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-04-18T11:19
泰利2017:要步要學學我xd
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-04-23T02:05
https://i.imgur.com/Q2OmvoB.png
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-04-27T16:52
CWB:讓子彈飛一會
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-05-02T07:39
上圖紫色就桃芝阿xd
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-05-06T22:26
現在就是分兩派 所以CWB不改可以理解 因為若是相信
另一派 一次就要改很多
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-05-11T13:13
TWRF06Z是賽洛瑪2.0
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-05-16T03:59
TWRF那什麼奇葩路線
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-05-20T18:46
TWRF的路線很刺激
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-05-25T09:33
南部挫咧但
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-05-30T00:20
半徑 150公里的強烈颱風!!
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-06-03T15:07
這種小鋼砲撞進來會很嚴重吧
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2022-06-08T05:53
傳說中的17級風要來了嗎xd
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-06-12T20:40
其實走淡藍色的路線 南部也還是抖 但東南部也很陡
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-06-17T11:27
璨樹已經長大成半徑150了???
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-06-22T02:14
等康森出海後看能不能搶點西南風水氣 拚個180或200
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-06-26T17:01
宮古島熱身中
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-07-01T07:47
第一次看到半徑150的強颱
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-07-05T22:34
氣候異常到颱風型態也異常了
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-07-10T13:21
記得還有比這個小的強颱
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-07-15T04:08
去查了歷史紀錄 1962年的莎拉颱風變強颱的半徑是120
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-07-19T18:55
但年代久遠 這個數據我是覺得可疑啦XD
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-07-24T09:41
2006桑美 180km也蠻小的
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-07-29T00:28
而且JTWC 莎拉巔峰才C1 CWB給到強颱落差是有點大
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-08-02T15:15
桑美CWB最高只給48/58 唯一180的強颱是11年南馬都
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-08-07T06:02
桑美記得有貓五阿 cwb...
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2022-08-11T20:49
1962年CWB還是用一分鐘平均阿。所以看起來很強實際
沒那麼強
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-08-16T11:35
但JTWC也是1分鐘平均才給C1 我才覺得CWB的應該有誤
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-08-21T02:22
會意外嗎 兩邊強度有落差也不是第一次吧
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-08-25T17:09
就好像80年代台灣著名颱風安迪,當時氣象局給強颱。
但換算成現在十分鐘平均應該只有45
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-08-30T07:56
CMG環已合格
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-03T22:43
璨樹升強颱嚕!
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-08T13:29
目前南部的雨好像要下蠻多天的
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-13T04:16
\來金門/ 終於可以用力補水惹QQ
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-17T19:03
就算減弱成中颱,這種情況直撲金門,情況也是堪慮
金門會不只補到雨,也會補到一堆災損
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-22T09:50
別忘了金門的基礎建設可沒好到哪,想想莫蘭蒂的慘況
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
想想莫蘭蒂,你就不會想要這種強度的颱風直撲金門
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:50
目前看起來澎湖比金門危啦
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
23:20 北投 海拔50m 溫度30.035 氣壓1004.8hPa
預測此地海平面氣壓 1010.45hPa
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-24T19:50
很少看到跟區域模式一模一樣
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-20T05:03
150 南部真的要瑟瑟發抖惹嗎?
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
也許會有第二次眼牆換置
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這種小鋼砲颱風如果撞進來台灣的陸地減弱速度是不是
很快阿?
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-24T19:50
台北現在風蠻大的
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-20T05:03
所以眼牆置換要換多次一些,底層才會牢不可破
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:50
颱風尺寸大小決定地形破壞耐力 小鋼炮一上陸全毀
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
但颱風環流大小和它底下有無其他尺度低壓有關
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-24T19:50
換成甜甜圏大眼颱~~
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-20T05:03
想請問目前這個路線會對宜蘭有很大的影響嗎
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-09-24T19:50
原來如此 了解
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-09-20T05:03
週六要去彰化...這下...
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-24T19:50
如現在康森進入南海 雖然對流散散但環流還是很清楚
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
http://i.imgur.com/yogo2HM.jpg
EC 06Z
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-24T19:50
以EC00Z路徑,十一日花東屏,十二日南高屏,風險較
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
930hpa就升強颱
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
好久沒看到了
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這來的話會出事吧
眼牆雲系超級厚
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
因為目前西太背景氣壓為1008百帕左右,所以930百帕
就強颱了
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
55
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
挖喔
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-20T05:03
怎麼看都覺得好迷你…但數值很驚人
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-24T19:50
鼻屎都比颱風還大了
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-20T05:03
台灣適合蘇迪樂梅姬吃很肥的
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:50
要全台刮大風就是酋長梅姬這種大風場的
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-20T05:03
真的是剛砲一顆
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
登陸地會像炸彈炸過,但其他地區可能大晴天,可以參
考天秤 尼伯特類似型態
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-20T05:03
GFS 12Z......恐怖哦 恐怖
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
GFS 12Z目前到+114 西南近海滯留到周一
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-20T05:03
GFS每次颱風預報都有抽風時刻
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:50
FV3這報參考度低,可忽略
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-09-20T05:03
+132登陸台南高雄 太屌了XDD 報什麼小
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這報太抽惹
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-20T05:03
難道小J要當先知了
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:50
GFS....
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
GFS基本上就是看看而已 還是比較推EC
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:50
真的太鬼XD 真的這樣走西南部一票測站風速破紀錄
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-20T05:03
越來越刺激了
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-24T19:50
該祈禱它去撞山消滅還是走海峽但是風會直擊南部?
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-20T05:03
啊我是說經過海峽南部
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:50
宜蘭花蓮台東屏東高雄 人人有機會… 這顆很妙XD
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-20T05:03
都可以祈禱呀,反正颱風又不會理我們XD
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-24T19:50
滯留西南部外海 南高登陸 西部大縱走 笑死XDDD
各種歷史級難度的走位都走一次了
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
咦,這樣EC和GFS是不是一致了?
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:50
看系級吧 這走位真的太扯
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
太狂了…真的走這種路徑應該也可以名留青史..XD
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC現在是東調到東部登陸 GFS跟著東調但是是登陸西部
還不算完全一致吧
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-20T05:03
等EC
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
GFS越是抽風颱風就不會這樣走
真要是最後真的走hsr大的那種路徑,我看真的歷史留名
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這報當笑話看就好XDD
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-24T19:50
過兩天就北轉了啦 這些都當笑話看吧
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這報太抽了 GFS整組吃錯藥
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:50
不過會北轉應該是有共識的
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-09-20T05:03
是會北轉沒錯,但是有可能在台灣上空轉
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-24T19:50
所以才有縱貫線路線的預報
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-20T05:03
24小時後大概就會比較明朗一點
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這次應該沒有台北的事了吧?
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這報真的就先當笑話笑一笑 看系集趨勢比較實在
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-24T19:50
大概明天晚上就會明朗
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
GFS時不時會有這種搞笑路徑出現 相較起來EC就比較
不會
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC也有抽風的時候....
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
如果走西部大縱走路線北部就要注意
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:50
菲律賓PAGASA https://i.imgur.com/CkhemBT.png
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-20T05:03
比起GFS頻率比較少
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:50
菲律賓也是預測不登陸 跟JTWC一樣
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
如果有來的話 這颱風估計東部或南部搖滾北部中部無
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:50
菲律賓那有預測不登陸,你看圈圈那麼大
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不要只看中心線啊
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這颱風的結構就算走西部大縱走
能撐到北部嗎?
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-20T05:03
一登陸會減弱的很迅速吧
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/2HkfyJp.gif
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-20T05:03
如果是樓上那個 恆春會被吹爆吧...
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這走法……在巴士停了一下才往上爆衝
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不要說恆春了,我看小琉球恐怕也是吹得不要不要的
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-24T19:50
一堆說不會來的 就是只看中心線
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-20T05:03
中國NMC https://i.imgur.com/W4wVKAG.png
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T19:50
今晚看看
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-20T05:03
gfs這報跟EC也差太多
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T19:50
陸徑潛勢圖那圈圈越畫越大都不覺得奇怪
看線就說不會來也是蠻妙的
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-20T05:03
FV3這路徑 XDDDD
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/rrPt6By.png
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
平等ㄟ北中南端點機率一樣XDD
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
代表還是分歧 真的要24小時前再看了嗎?
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
以近期的模式我會比較信TWRF
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:50
是想上演 向左走向右走 嗎
David avatar
By David
at 2022-09-20T05:03
滯留不好 不要滯留
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-24T19:50
TWRF目前是報台灣東部陸地北上
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不過底層被台灣護國神山群切爛
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC12z東修中
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
登陸花蓮
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC開到72+ 北調
真的是一報一變啊!
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-20T05:03
EC再次報出戴納
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC12Z一樣有登陸,但這種對CWB來說最難預報
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-20T05:03
感覺是東部近海北上
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-24T19:50
開到+96中
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
喔喔 不是戴納 是南邊一點的納坦
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-24T19:50
近海北上過程被背風低壓推進來
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-09-20T05:03
離東部海岸近就會被吸進來
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC這幾報一直東修 感覺下一報就會東修到東部近海北
上了
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不過這是白鹿之後,72hr預報最有機會登陸的預報了…
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-24T19:50
會不會最後修到東部外海北上....XD
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
也不是不可能 畢竟還是有東部外海北上的成員
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
等看系集
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-20T05:03
東部外海北上就是過門而不入
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:50
關鍵就是副高東退的速度了
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-20T05:03
是說副高東退速度不好抓嗎
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:50
颱風速度也很關鍵
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-20T05:03
照理說72hr內的預報可以有一定的準確度
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-24T19:50
更保險一點是等CWB發海警再看...
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-20T05:03
以這EC12Z路徑,大概今晚23:30發海警,那時再看一定
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
期待實測紀錄.....
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2022-09-20T05:03
小j東修至近海北上
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
各機構應該會開始大調了
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-20T05:03
又是個讓各機構吃土的颱風
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
然後誤差圈世界無敵大
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-20T05:03
從一開始的坐巴士果然要回到這幾年常見的東部外海
北上劇本了嗎
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-24T19:50
奇怪 近年來颱風路徑是不是越來越難預報了啊
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
CWB 區域模式12Z
https://i.imgur.com/x5P67EL.gif
John avatar
By John
at 2022-09-24T19:50
左下角不知道是嗑了啥XD
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這誤差也太大 坐巴士變東部外海北上 機構真的要重練
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還好吧 誤差圈一直都畫很大啊 秋颱無人知嘛
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-20T05:03
而且搞不好明早又變了XD
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-24T19:50
其實不是颱風變難報了 而是數值變精細了
考慮到的環境因子越多 決定性預備的差異就越大
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-20T05:03
還是要習慣每一報去看系集 看系集趨勢還是比較準的
畢竟決定性預報跟系集趨勢有時會有誤差
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
http://i.imgur.com/87D00fr.jpg
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-09-20T05:03
數值預報該研究的東西 應該是趨勢跟理由
這個在決定性預報上的反應相對比較弱
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-24T19:50
只看決定性預報的那條線不太準
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
目前只有小J跟人不一樣
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
怎麼又是假日颱QQ
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-20T05:03
http://i.imgur.com/ZxCFEXx.jpg 小J堅持
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:50
小J是不是覺得每次都嘛這樣走…
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
小J這一報跟上一報相比,直接東修非常多
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:50
照ec的這報,可能機構也會修的接近小j
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-20T05:03
小J每次都要跟別人不一樣
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
小J大概是預判之後數值會繼續東修…
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-20T05:03
其他機構可能認為EC決定報抽風,想等系集預報出來
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:50
系集可能從本來的二派,往北轉這派收束
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-20T05:03
機構本來調整的就會比較慢
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
現在換東部、東北部可能會進入搖滾區...
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
https://i.imgur.com/zZqoUeF.jpg
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:50
不過看的出來小j預報風格跟過去不一樣了,以前都嘛
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
會一報調一點,現在都直接調到底
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:50
預報團隊的風格和過去不太一樣
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-20T05:03
首業是有說有職員確診 造成人手短缺吧
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T19:50
會不會變成麥德姆路徑?
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
氣象局0200預報難產 究竟跟不跟小J勒
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:50
跟TWRF最好
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
可能小J覺得接下來就是一直東修
那不如一次修到底 對沖繩群島早點預警
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-24T19:50
大不了再改回來就是了
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-20T05:03
但我覺得小J這條路徑大概也就是極東上限
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
畢竟My目前的緯度還夠低 強度也足夠
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-20T05:03
要偏到與那國以東機會相對很低
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
經典回顧:馬勒卡
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-20T05:03
已經換成小眼了,OW眼加W環,CI=6.5
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-24T19:50
單純以威脅程度來看 My璨比過往三年的大部分颱風
對台灣本島的威脅程度算是非常高了
即便傷害是詐炮 但至少也是很響的那種
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
CWB決定忽略EC這報,等EC00Z看看
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
但My璨風場真的太小了 私心上個200
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
http://i.imgur.com/N9HUVHl.jpg
好圓 漂亮
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
180差不多吧 200私心覺得機會不太大
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-20T05:03
看預報路徑台灣這次倒楣了
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-24T19:50
目前CWB預測的路線 很類似2001奇比了
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
如果再往東一點 可以挑戰賽洛瑪
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-24T19:50
北邊剛好有槽線要打擊副高,所以北轉的機率很高,只
是角度和時間就很重要了
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-20T05:03
https://i.imgur.com/vipEtNY.jpg 看各機構修正趨
勢 氣象局早8勢必也得跟進了ㄅ
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:50
小J前天就出現北轉預測 各家當初還在偏西走
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這次反而是小J比較早當先知了 只是北轉位置調整xd
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-24T19:50
很有機會從高雄登錄,上次從高雄登錄的強颱不知道是
哪個了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
高雄應該沒強颱登陸的紀錄吧
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-24T19:50
難道可以見證歷史了,強颱登陸高雄
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-20T05:03
GFS18z登陸台灣尾
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還有得修
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
現在水庫都要洩洪,淹水災情應該可以預期
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-24T19:50
有的預測是花蓮登錄基隆出海,也有是東部外海直接
轉走的
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-20T05:03
就要看槽線把副高擊退到什麼程度
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:50
東部外海那個有點搞笑不可能
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-20T05:03
釣竿終究是來了
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T19:50
就說九月的副高強度又待觀察 xd
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-20T05:03
但關鍵時刻都會轉走 放羊很多次了 還是平常心吧
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/CYtz3Ys.jpg
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-20T05:03
只是GFS當颱風在高雄西南邊 台灣上方怎麼好像有旋
轉系統 那怎麼回事啊
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:50
如果星期一凌晨3點在這個位置 南部會放假吧
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
感覺終究會彈開 很難
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-24T19:50
颱風警報是今天發布嗎
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-20T05:03
預計晚上發佈海上颱風警報
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還早,24小時再看
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-20T05:03
速度太快了 看來應該只影響星期六了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
可是有說接近變慢
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
http://i.imgur.com/gVeBvOn.jpg 台日分析比賽
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:50
西部風力會強嗎發?這颱風範圍挺小
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這颱風很難說 差一點點就西岸或東岸北上了
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-24T19:50
當然風力也會差很多
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
康森再不走快點大概準備當璨樹補品,劇本又得改了
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-24T19:50
日本走向北部有感 氣象局走向南部有感 選一個吧
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-20T05:03
到底副高會不會硬到最後 還是臨陣脫逃 讓我們拭目
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:50
以待
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
EC跟GFS的路徑越來越一致都從下面肛上來應該週日影
響最大?
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這回到底台灣有沒有力場 就看這次了
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不過好消息是颱風很小風場跟著小 不靠近沒啥感
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:50
日本一枝獨秀...
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-20T05:03
https://i.imgur.com/3Uhvgfa.jpg
雖然小小的 但目前看起來很貼近正圓 也夠紮實的感
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T19:50
日本也是早早就有北偏的預測 當時一堆還在西進
説一枝獨秀也可以啦
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-20T05:03
轉北吧 不然南部又要成災了
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
會不會明天全修成東部北上
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-20T05:03
今日就可能會再修正了 這次也是每日一變XX
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-24T19:50
真的是不到最後無法斷定如何走cod
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-20T05:03
我寧願有災損來金門補水 金門溪流全乾了... 而且上
次莫之後金門根本沒有因為災害去更新基礎建設 都只
是唬爛檢討而已
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:50
眼小小的
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
金門不是引福建水嗎
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這種強度的颱風 關注的應該是風比雨更具威脅
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-09-20T05:03
https://i.imgur.com/VBI7CsX.png
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
好像開始接到西南季風了,開始增肥中
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這種型態的颱風,我是覺得補不到什麼雨啦,,倒是
風很有感
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這隻就刷風速的啊,風迷最愛的這種
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-09-20T05:03
況且金門溪流的水也不是民生用水,有需要用災損換
水嗎?
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
東邊的系統不知道有沒有影響?
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-20T05:03
比起烟花,這次追風燦樹還沒有人被水桶 XD
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-24T19:50
因為燦是假日颱啊
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-20T05:03
上次有個生日哥
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:50
JTWC 第11報預報說明文沒有提到96W對燦樹的影響
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-20T05:03
目前wmg眼加w環,CI=7.0,CWB快給55/68吧
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:50
明天再來看好了 可能比較準
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-20T05:03
哇喔,康森要被搶衣服了嗎
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:50
http://i.imgur.com/XYQeTiN.jpg
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不過台灣人近年被颱風放羊慣了 都說這顆一定也是日
本貨 又會北轉 XDD
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-24T19:50
EC 18Z宜蘭登陸
John avatar
By John
at 2022-09-20T05:03
雙眼強第二次?
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-24T19:50
.......感覺東部外海北上機率越來越高了,EC好像一
直堅持東部登陸或是外海北上
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
屏東>台東>現在 宜蘭?副高又陽痿了?
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
看起來就是高壓的弱點在哪裡很關鍵
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
康生準備重振旗鼓了嗎
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/Z9su4Fq.jpg
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-09-20T05:03
TWRF 12Z
http://i.imgur.com/P8FUCwL.jpg
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
日本表示:颱風可以不要一直來我這嗎
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-20T05:03
路徑差異好大
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:50
換北部進入搖滾區了嗎 離陸地那麼近北上到宜蘭前
可能就先被秀姑巒溪吸進花蓮了
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-20T05:03
秀姑巒溪招手:來我這吧~
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還有兩天時間可以修,按照劇本,會修到東部外海通過
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-20T05:03
搖滾區従高屏修到北宜
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-24T19:50
繞半個台灣
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-20T05:03
最後搖滾區變與那國島XDD
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:50
感覺越來越像馬勒卡或米塔颱風了
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-20T05:03
修正的幅度…比想像中還大
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-24T19:50
TWRF 18Z撞花蓮
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-20T05:03
好像變胖了
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-09-24T19:50
何止是北轉 根本鬼轉
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-20T05:03
硬是要避開護國神山
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還會再更北嗎
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
EC這個路徑讓我想到1994道格颱風
道格半徑很大,300還是350
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-24T19:50
其實不考慮是修正成這樣 這路徑不會很少見吧
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-20T05:03
要V了嗎? V起來
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:50
賽洛瑪:這麼多年過去了還是沒有人想挑戰西部大縱
走嗎.....
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-09-20T05:03
又要不期不待了嗎……
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-24T19:50
東邊那一片雲帶能吸到嗎
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-20T05:03
JMA東修一些 未登陸
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-09-24T19:50
小J東修
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
CWB應該也會跟著東修
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-24T19:50
熟悉的感覺,之後會不會直接擦身而過呢
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不過系集沒這麼東吧,小j對自家預測這麼有信心?
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-24T19:50
氣象預測準度我只信JMA....!!!
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-09-20T05:03
會不會修到變東部外海北上XD
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-24T19:50
哇…..這樣都可以閃過?秀姑巒溪也無法吸引璨樹?
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-20T05:03
秀姑巒溪老妹了, 不中用了
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-09-24T19:50
假日颱還是早早北轉閃邊去
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-20T05:03
要有地形效應的話通常要從與那國島以東北上
*以西
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-24T19:50
沿著高壓邊緣西北西轉西北,很正規的路線
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-20T05:03
禮拜六補班不知道能不能吸個水
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-24T19:50
話說燦樹是不是把東邊的擾動吃掉了啊
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-20T05:03
cwb的低壓沒了
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-24T19:50
只能說不太意外,太早以前的預報看看就好,與實際結
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
果有差距很正常
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
但是JMA最近砸鍋好幾次了欸
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-20T05:03
等cwb吧
我猜變西岸北上
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-24T19:50
唉,原本想說可以見證西部縱走路線的,結果還是一
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-09-20T05:03
樣各種彈開台灣的方式上演
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-24T19:50
以cwb的習慣不可能一次東修那麼多
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-20T05:03
Model Tracks https://imgur.com/a/BR8mYN9
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-24T19:50
奇怪 怎一堆人說的像不會來一樣...
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
對啊系集還在台灣上 講成不可能來一樣
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-24T19:50
熟悉的提前大幅北轉
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
要準備進入拋物線時間點了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
拜託高壓多撐一會了
至少過恆春再北轉吧
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-20T05:03
中國走台灣海峽電流急急棒
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-09-24T19:50
假日來 就給我乖乖北上
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-20T05:03
12天唯一一天假日別搞啊
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:50
小j好像有點太東
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-09-20T05:03
東修這麼早通常就日本貨了啦 過往都如此 當然敢大
膽假設
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/LLqFb1y.jpg https://i.imgu
猛烈颱風
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-20T05:03
這幾年颱風都在放羊 大家早就當不會來了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這麼早就東修 按照過往經驗就是修到海上閃過 所以
現在預測路線都是看看就好
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-20T05:03
日本的猛烈颱就是包含在我們中颱上限到強颱啊
跟美國的超級颱風一樣 沒什麼意義的
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:50
還好吧 台灣就立場啊笑死 煙花颱風就是
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-09-20T05:03
猛烈比強颱門檻高一點喔
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
寧願在外海打轉一天也不進來
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-20T05:03
路徑還待觀察 一堆人就這樣 zzz
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:50
就一堆鍵盤大氣專家 看了就討厭
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-20T05:03
日本的猛烈是台灣的53開始
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
最近幾年的大氣環境 就是不會有東邊來的颱風在台灣
上空咩 西邊的就另當別論
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-20T05:03
比台灣強颱門檻高
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:50
今天路徑就能定了吧
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
敏督利? https://imgur.com/a/tuNJCNy
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
快繞過台灣阿!!!
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-20T05:03
看啥時開始拋物線轉折吧
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這波強度應該卡到上限了 等置換
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-20T05:03
看雲圖有二次置換的跡象
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:50
已經是48小時前了,今天就能大致確定路徑
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-20T05:03
等十點的CWB了
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:50
https://i.imgur.com/em4LN6W.jpg
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-20T05:03
花東外海啦 近50個颱風那個不是這樣
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-09-24T19:50
參考基準 置換前的風場大概只有這樣
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-09-20T05:03
風場真的蠻小的
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:50
核心超暴力但也超小xd
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-20T05:03
閃電就算了 為啥連盧碧這麼快就被遺忘了XD
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-24T19:50
盧碧就不到颱風
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
盧碧不就再次證明了立場根本是笑話嗎XD 真有立場還
會噴西南氣流來
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-24T19:50
誰叫泰利 瑪莉亞 米塔 利奇馬 康芮 烟花 都巧妙
閃過
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-20T05:03
盧碧只是低壓 不算颱風
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-09-24T19:50
是巧妙閃過還是不把氣象當機率?
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-20T05:03
敏督利,好像是七二水災那傢伙
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-24T19:50
敏督力 大學指考未延期 一團亂的那年
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-20T05:03
高壓還是不弱在與那以西北上比較有機會 但颱風核心
小 中心離陸地不夠近也很難被河谷吸進來 強風雨區
可能主要在海上 小鋼砲颱風路徑差一點風雨就差很多
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:50
為啥下面不能推文R
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-20T05:03
上面鎖文了
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-24T19:50
最新那兩篇怎禁止推噓了
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-20T05:03
因為八卦仔嗎
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-24T19:50
這路徑感覺好可怕
雖然最後搞不好又不來了
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-09-20T05:03
看到版標寫了
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-24T19:50
八卦柵欄又壞了吧
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-20T05:03
上次煙花也是很多
只是上次多了股版梗
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-24T19:50
連學術討論板都可以被鬥到烏煙瘴氣
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-09-20T05:03
不知道為什麼站方要拿掉『發文篇數』的限制
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:50
以後乾脆都不要討論 等颱風接近前一天再討論
這樣可以避免「冤家」(台語)
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-20T05:03
金門還有很多農業用水阿 金門是國內最大麥產地 今年
缺水麥產量大減...而且引水歸引水 還是要有自主水
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-24T19:50
源比較好啊
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-20T05:03
而且這邊不止金門 還有馬祖 上次那波水還是不夠填

2114 璨樹

Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2021-09-08T16:28
JTWC 第9報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 06:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021 Location: 15.6°N 131.3°E Maximum Winds: 140 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pressure: 922 mb JTW ...

天氣小觀:酉月璨樹,注意南部,季風大戰,雨露均霑

Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2021-09-08T16:22
天氣小觀:酉月璨樹,注意南部,季風大戰,雨露均霑 白露酉月,富士山降下初雪,北方冬季系統大軍已成軍, 而南方夏季系統太平洋高壓與雙颱共舞,尤其,璨樹颱風往巴士海峽, 這麼一來, 台灣的大氣環境也將再度熱鬧起來。 模式預報顯示,未來一週璨樹颱風通過巴士海峽後, 太平洋高壓東退,璨樹颱風北上,竟又帶起熟悉的西 ...

2114 璨樹

Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2021-09-08T09:49
JTWC 第8報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 00:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021: Location: 16.0°N 132.3°E Maximum Winds: 120 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pressure: 942 mb En ...

2114 璨樹

Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2021-09-07T16:32
JTWC 第5報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 06:00 UTC Sep 07, 2021: Location: 16.1°N 135.7°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pressure: 985 mb Env ...

2114 燦樹

Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2021-09-07T09:19
JMA/2114/09-07 00Z 台風第14号(チャンスー) 2021年09月07日10時20分発表 07日09時の実況 種別 台風 大きさ - 強さ - 存在地域 フィリピンの東 中心位置 北緯15度40分(15.7度) 東経13 ...