2214 南瑪都 - 颱風討論

Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-14T03:24

Table of Contents

WTPQ52 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2214 NANMADOL (2214) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131800UTC 22.4N 140.1E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141800UTC 23.7N 139.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 151800UTC 24.4N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 161800UTC 26.0N 132.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 171800UTC 28.5N 129.7E 200NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 181800UTC 31.5N 128.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-16T12:27
貓大居然還沒睡!
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-09-18T21:31
JMA路徑圖 https://i.imgur.com/WKLZWdP.png
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-21T06:35
等一下看系集
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-09-23T15:39
系集平均居然是往華東，有趣了
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-26T00:43
EC報那個下墜球，超不像EC作風XD
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-28T09:46
=.=南瑪督之前已經南落過了 還要再來一次喔
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-30T18:50
EC XDD
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-10-03T03:54
釣竿勾失敗反而被東北風吹下來的劇本XD
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS反而是拉下冷空氣11度線都快碰頭了
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-10-03T14:01
又去華東是怎樣....
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC不要再騙我了
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-10-03T14:01
後面冷高壓接力壓下來
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC預報太搞笑了吧 又要騙我
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC 12Z 預報是藤原效應嗎 XD
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC XD
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01
我還以為是研究以前的南瑪督
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-10-01T04:57
上一個南瑪都很有感XD
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-10-03T14:01
上一個南馬督根本沒發警報
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-10-01T04:57
有感的南馬督已經是11年前的那隻了
2004 2011登陸 第三代沒影響
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南馬督季風低壓很明顯 範圍超級大
如果發展起來應該是範圍廣大的颱
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
未來主角應該就是南馬度了
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC報的劇本…好唬爛啊XDD
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57
對啊 範圍那麼大 真的壓得下來嗎 哈哈
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01
笑死這藤原
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-10-01T04:57
連EC都加入騙人行列了
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南落又來了
今年潮流
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC:不騙人不放手xd
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南馬度在熱帶低壓時期就南落過一次了 期待看會否再
來一次xd 精彩可期
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大眼梅花終於走了
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-10-03T14:01
哪裡看得到EC係集 謝謝～
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-10-01T04:57
臉書回顧了我六年前分享的莫蘭蒂侵襲影片 六年了…
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC這劇本過一兩報就沒了吧
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大概17日才能確定路徑
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-10-03T14:01
台灣周圍大概一周少雲 還有機會可以曬熱
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-10-01T04:57
西南軍站出來 想看EC成真
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC這路線太詐騙了，估計下一報就改了
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這樣走傷害太大了吧
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01
請問通常EC都多久出一次預報呀？謝謝
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-10-01T04:57
意思大概是 南瑪都往南是正常的
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南軍站出來
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS後面是要冒幾顆出來
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-10-03T14:01
有南字就會有南軍出現
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這個走法很像納莉颱風
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-10-03T14:01
Windy的預報 下週五直接撞台灣欸
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-10-01T04:57
期待EC走法xD
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-10-03T14:01
納莉的走法我覺得很難預測出來，下報再看看
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大氣變化是種波動，波同步化就有樣學樣了
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
被騙幾次了，不會再被騙了
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-10-01T04:57
時間太久，再看看
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這次要換Ec來玩弄風迷了嗎
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS玩完換EC XD
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
真的這樣玩變5大怪颱
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
唉 玩弄風迷感情 不可取
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC這套劇本也太夢幻
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-10-01T04:57
展望明年(? 期待越少 失望越少
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不過18z應該就會修掉了 看系集絕大部分還是往北跑
啊XD
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-10-01T04:57
也是該來一個怪颱了 十年左右大概都有一個
1986 1991 2001 2012 …
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-10-03T14:01
超級指叉球？
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-10-01T04:57
某代南瑪督是冬颱，冷死我
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC18Z已修得無影無蹤XDDD
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2022-10-01T04:57
竟然是接近納莉的路線，不要騙了喔EC
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
果然修掉了
EC戲弄感情不可取
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://i.imgur.com/Cu9W0bV.png
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-10-03T14:01
有南落颱？別嚇我阿…
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-10-01T04:57
北轉無誤
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不過這隻大物上去之後似乎有讓台灣挑戰東北季風的可
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-10-01T04:57
能
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-10-03T14:01
風場這麼大，上去拉北風才棒
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-10-01T04:57
薄外套要先拿出來洗乾淨準備了
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
那種很夢幻的路徑都怎麼跑出來的啊? 感覺都會在某一
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-10-01T04:57
報突然出現 然後後面又通通修掉
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看起來這報還是日本比較危險
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC12z那種被冷高壓壓下去 啊不就瘋婆XD
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不過系集看起來我比較傾向是剛好撞到頭啦 除非連續
穩定報這樣走再說XD
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57
18z修掉了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-10-03T14:01
反而GFS 18z出現了
https://i.imgur.com/RBEx6qv.jpg
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
好想看看有哪家媒體敢拿今天EC的魔幻預測報藤原效
應下墜直撲台灣
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-10-03T14:01
平西才兩條
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-10-01T04:57
已經有媒體報了啊XD
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看看就好XD
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://i.imgur.com/fdYydiD.jpg
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
windy的預測有點酷XD
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-10-01T04:57
但南瑪都看起來風場會蠻大
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-10-03T14:01
Windy是預報資料呈現介面 不是模式
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
除非高壓進西伸週期 強度又夠才有機會
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
11年南瑪都二世當初從日本南方一路西修
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大概率又是日韓貨
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這隻前二世都滿有戲的
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS系集有一條噴進台灣海峽又原路倒車出來XD
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這就是日韓貨沒什麼懸念
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這顆有機會下墜嗎XD
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC你有病趕快吃藥好嗎？
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-10-01T04:57
範圍太大了 北轉機率高
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC 水桶好了(笑)
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
帶來點北風也不錯
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-10-03T14:01
要督進來了嗎 ♂
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57
有V路線，就有Λ路線！
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-10-03T14:01
又不是指叉球！！
David avatar
By David
at 2022-10-01T04:57
午間新聞一堆媒體都上車了…
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-10-03T14:01
照目前預測距離 應該沒什麼直接影響吧？
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-10-01T04:57
希望下週末好天氣～
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本：不要過來呀
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-10-01T04:57
EC預報是藤原沒錯...後面還會形成一顆颱風
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
媒體就愛跟某論壇隨之起舞啊 明明18z就修掉了還硬
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
要po那篇讓媒體高潮(菸
要賺點閱率也不是這樣的
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
至少論壇把該說的都有說 至於轉到媒體那邊 往往就
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-10-01T04:57
為搏取收視率誇大一部份的用詞 產生識讀上的誤解
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
媒體挑想講的強調的台霉日常
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-10-01T04:57
17日才能確定路徑，秋颱都蠻有趣的
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-10-03T14:01
論壇該說的都說了 媒體要斷章取義那是媒體的問題了
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這幾年的颱風都是走Nike路線
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
windy那個根本唬爛吧 走一走倒車來台灣
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
我不會被騙的
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-10-03T14:01
已經修掉了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
媒體也是風迷吧 眼裡只有來台灣那條線
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-10-03T14:01
正常啦 就說頭被打到
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57
等到東海就知道了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC半夜那報根本是納莉2.0 但跟整體系集差很遠
William avatar
By William
at 2022-10-01T04:57
不然就看看系集成員有沒有這個趨勢吧
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
媒體不會去看系集啊 只看到決定性的預報就高潮
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57
基隆進中部出wow
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-10-03T14:01
期待奇怪的路線
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57
假的
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不期不待，沒有傷害
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
其實下午的CMC也做出由北往南走的預報 只是沒南到台
灣 還是登中國去了
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-10-03T14:01
系集平均又轉北了，可惜
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-01T04:57
不意外呀XD通常這種預報不都曇花一現
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-10-03T14:01
假的，又閃開台灣
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-10-01T04:57
一個大環流颱風…怎麼可能靠低層的東北季風導引往
南掉，推都推不動了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
https://i.imgur.com/4O5xZMp.jpg
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-01T04:57
期待拉下北風真正的秋涼
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01
指叉球
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57
看來21號之後會轉涼喔 尤其是夜晚
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-10-03T14:01
秋意越來越濃了
David avatar
By David
at 2022-10-01T04:57
中部以北夜晚有機會下探21 22度
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不期待就沒傷害
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-10-01T04:57
梅花登陸浙江舟山了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不會來啦
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
到了月底東北風還一路吹到了中南半島
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-10-03T14:01
展望明年
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57
威了整個夏季的高壓現在看起來也不見起色
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
明年復明年，明年何其多
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-10-01T04:57
展望十年
展望百年
看能不能等到颱風登陸台灣的那一年
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不是說今年反聖嬰年底結束嗎，展望明年應該可以吧XD
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-10-01T04:57
win10說本地天氣https://i.imgur.com/lXLW9K8.png
即將打破歷史新低？
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
我一直在等颱風，把某中資大樓外推陽台種的樹吹爆
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-10-01T04:57
說反聖嬰讓颱風容易靠近台灣 但又有看到說反聖嬰讓
副高壓太強 颱風不易生成
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-10-03T14:01
改掉了 也差太多XD
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-10-01T04:57
容易靠近 和 生成不易 不衝突啊
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-10-03T14:01
沒關係我會耐心等到有颱風登陸那一天QQ
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://ibb.co/25sj9NQ 我不會被騙的XD
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-10-03T14:01
個人印象最近Win10的天氣常常講氣溫歷史新低..
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57
變成很大一顆
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本要很小心南馬督 範圍大可能直撲
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南海對流也很旺盛耶
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01
今年夏天有段時間副高卡的位置很適合颱風侵颱，但
偏偏就生不出來阿Xd
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-10-01T04:57
看windy往後拉 連兩顆接力往日本撞@@
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
菲東環境就爛到搓不出東西
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
現在其實還是搓不出 最近幾個颱風都在中緯形成
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
反聖嬰卡在那邊颱風拿她沒辦法 只好在副熱帶生成
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-10-01T04:57
下週的西太仍然是羅士比波頻繁出現的環境，擾動也持
續有發展機會
James avatar
By James
at 2022-10-03T14:01
臺北盆地午後雨開炸
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南瑪都後面又一顆往日本 日本真慘
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC00Z這報在九州卡有點久
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
中南部這幾天怎麼都沒午後陣雨了
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
真是謝啦 景美下午被炸一波
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
直接在九洲卡到掛
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-10-03T14:01
卡到整個夏天西南季風都進不來，跟去年真是天差地
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-10-01T04:57
遠，不利侵台的環境輪流發生
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-10-03T14:01
今天預報好像沒抓到台北盆地午後雷雨？
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
沒有西南季風，颱風只會是6字形
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-03T14:01
今年北方系統很早就開始活躍了 對颱風侵台更不利
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南馬都感覺會留下一坨雲在發展成另一個颱風吧
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-10-03T14:01
果然範圍廣大的南馬都 長大起來非常漂亮
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這顆南邊有接上西南季風，北有槽前輻散的爆發，會是
一顆很有破壞力的颱風，對日韓來說威脅很大
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
對台灣來說就是進入東北風無限吹的日子
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-10-01T04:57
看看9月底有沒有機會出現秋老虎把颱風導過來吧，不
過也是台灣今年最後的機會了
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-10-03T14:01
依照目前路線 應該日本會比較抖 韓國除非南馬都有
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
在更偏西的可能 不然日本可能要很小心
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-10-03T14:01
現在的路徑根本日本三島大縱走xd
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-10-01T04:57
準備捲眼了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-10-03T14:01
目前看來最抖的應該是九州 而且影響有點久
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
臺灣目前雨量真的足夠了
尤其是中北部
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-10-03T14:01
梅花居然還活得比莫柏久...xd
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-10-01T04:57
又昇龍拳
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01
短期內再來一個南瑪都 山區就真的要小心了
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南瑪都應該是不會來
除非超級酷的劇本
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
尾巴感覺帶不走
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
尾巴有機會再發展出另個系統吧 繼續看下去
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-10-03T14:01
別帶走，給台灣一個期待
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-10-01T04:57
會是另一個彈開系統嗎？ @@
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
CMC一直堅持會南下來台灣
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-10-01T04:57
是跟南瑪都的尾巴有互繞 才會下來？
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-10-03T14:01
被整個大低壓帶拽下來 但不科學
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大型氣旋要單被大低壓帶扯下來 大低壓帶要超猛XD
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
那麼大隻 不管甚麼方式要被帶下來都很難吧
就算是唯一指叉球成功丟進好球帶的瘋婆也是小小隻
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-01T04:57
現在這型態少說可以給35m/s了吧
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-10-03T14:01
歷史上有過從基隆登陸的颱風嗎？
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57
可以給35m/S了，T值4.5了
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-10-03T14:01
而且這梅花還不能判定消散嗎
William avatar
By William
at 2022-10-01T04:57
要登陸青島市中心了 這颱風專門挑大城市登陸XD
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-10-03T14:01
approved 1977 V字颱風始主形薇拉是登陸基隆附近
而且風眼是直接通過台北市區xd
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57
今年冬季是不是又要反聖嬰了 是的話連續好多年了欸
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-10-03T14:01
環流大就是好吸 隨便就把西南季風吸起來
梅花太小隻甚麼都吸不起來
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-10-01T04:57
2016梅姬記得也是在九月底大範圍也有稍微拉起一點西
南風到台灣附近
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南瑪都掉下來的話就變成納莉2.0了 幾乎是不可能
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南瑪都有機會把南海的雲拉到台灣南部來嗎？
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-10-03T14:01
南馬都南邊的雲系太驚人
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57
統計上也是連三年反聖嬰
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-10-03T14:01
GFS又在調戲風迷感情了XD
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS XDDD
https://i.imgur.com/0J3AOzc.jpg
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-10-03T14:01
GFS330 夢裡甚麼都有
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-10-01T04:57
GFS騙那麼久了還是別成真比較好 不然半夜12點下班
都不知道怎麼回家==
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01
GFS送幸福 下面一位～
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-10-01T04:57
就看甚麼時候會被調掉 不過這顆緯度比較低
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01
下一報就修掉了
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57
狼來了
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-10-03T14:01
風眼都出了還在輕颱…
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57
嗯，快貓二強度了
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC在月底到是報出蠻典型的秋颱共伴
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-10-01T04:57
早上可以開眼 環流真大
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
小笠原:不是...讓我休息一下
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-10-01T04:57
給我12度線！！！
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
https://i.imgur.com/Dt5CmeB.jpeg
局長都說沒影響了 GFS還是去洗洗睡吧
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-10-01T04:57
Gfs不是早就預測北轉了嗎 倒是現在南馬督 又大又美
又會是一隻貓四或者貓五嗎
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本又要很陡了 這範圍還會再擴大
Cwb還在150km 最好是跟梅花一樣小xd
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-01T04:57
變成又大又美的颱風了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-10-03T14:01
GFS和EC都有預測9月下旬有共伴
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57
今年夏天似乎台灣沒有什麼西南氣流也沒有低壓帶盤
據說 算是比較少見的情況
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-10-03T14:01
轉眼間又開始進入秋颱季節了
如果有共伴 大概苦主又是東北部跟北部了
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57
反聖嬰+強東風距平 西南季風都被卡死了
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
中南部秋颱除非類似象神 瑞伯那種直撲的秋颱類型
不然降雨都不太多
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
940了
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01
笑死cwb半徑一下從150變成220 果然之前又是給太小
現在給220也還是偏小 至少可給250以上了
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這隻給300km也不為過
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-10-03T14:01
眼溫16.94度，可惜B環不合格，只能給6.0
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-10-01T04:57
反正都走了 給500ㄅ(誤
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01
眼溫20.11度，不過風眼偏大，也不受機構喜愛
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57
25N的WMG眼加上W環，可以給130kts
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01
AMSU則是掃描到121KTS
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://i.imgur.com/wNd5HYV.jpeg
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-03T14:01
CWB該給強颱了吧?
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這種型態給45m/s是眼睛有問題?
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-10-03T14:01
GFS預測會在日本一路掃上去到北海道 干午扣零
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57
老J給STY
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-10-03T14:01
CWB只給45？？？超級傻眼
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-10-01T04:57
半徑也給得很小? 最好有比軒小啦xd 還在混阿
早上突然從150km變220 現在就定住了?
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01
不用對CWB的定強太認真啦XD
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-10-01T04:57
反正也沒人會拿CWB的數據做研究和分析
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-10-03T14:01
130kts對45m/s 好像也還好
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57
130對應的是53 差很多好嗎
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-10-03T14:01
另外Jtwc修正砍到125
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57
現在可以給135KTS，完美的WMG眼加w環
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01
但明天晚上要開始吃乾空氣和高緯度的對流高度下降，
趁最後多刷點ACE吧，南瑪都
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-10-01T04:57
W環太薄或是不勻稱所以給135封頂嗎？
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-10-03T14:01
已經出現外眼牆了 準備置換
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-10-01T04:57
嗯，W環不勻稱
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
眼溫21.1度，今年新高
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
JTWC: 135kts
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01
猛烈な
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57
JMA預測到佐世保市附近還有43m/s左右強度....
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
應該是巔峰了，眼溫下降中，不過STY已經超乎預期
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57
jtwc預測還是有機會到140kt 貓五的程度 看能不能了
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
cwb終於給強颱了 今年第二個強颱
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南馬督東南面那團似乎已經脫鉤了 觀察會否發展起來
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本本島有史以來的特別級警報
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南瑪都的颱風尾真驚人
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本早上的實測數據出來了，中心氣壓914百帕
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-10-01T04:57
離貓五只有一步之遙，但看起來是巔峰了
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
危
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
日本要準備接下這顆 盤然大物了xd
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01
55/68/300登陸日本我看破一切紀錄
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57
日本媒體開始挖伊勢灣颱風出來比較了
跟韓國上次拿莎拉.梅米出來一樣= =
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01
該不會南瑪都又要被日本命名了 希望不要...
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-10-01T04:57
一定破紀錄+1
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01
CWB 915/53/65/280/100
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57
Jma/大型/猛烈/910/55/75
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01
外圍風場超大 距離超遠的台北都是西北風
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
所以這隻是有史以來侵襲日本強度最強的嗎??
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-10-03T14:01
應該不是最強的吧 前幾年那隻哈吉貝更強阿
而且以貓五登陸日本的遠古還有更猛的 這隻還沒貓五
這隻只能說是今年侵襲日本至今最嚴重的吧
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-10-01T04:57
哈吉貝登陸只有C2
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這隻登陸前應該也減弱不少了
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這隻按照大J預測登陸前應該也只剩貓二而已
哈吉貝不管是顛峰強度還是當時影響範圍之廣應該是
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-03T14:01
比南馬都還要嚴重才是 南馬督危險大概就是速度未來
會變慢許多 可能影響日本時間相對比較久 雨量要小心
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
日本記得也是蠻怕強降雨的 山區土石流
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
世界哪個國家不怕慢颱灌水啦
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-10-01T04:57
怎麼看對日本都是很大的威脅
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這顆真的大物
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-10-01T04:57
19年法西登陸的時候還有C3
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01
小J預測 明天南瑪都到屋久島 強度沒變 真可怕
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-10-01T04:57
這顆算強度增強版的2004陶卡基
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-10-03T14:01
https://reurl.cc/kEk2An 登陸時中心氣壓有機會刷
新紀錄
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-10-01T04:57
1934室戶颱風 高知室戶岬 911.6百帕
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
72hr累積雨量https://i.imgur.com/oAEPOaF.png
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57
沖繩風浪很大https://i.imgur.com/lZ62qW5.png
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01
還以為比較像佳芭颱風
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://youtu.be/JIXOMtkV2Yg 風雨最前線 屋久島
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-10-03T14:01
那年同時的艾莉颱風也是西北颱
John avatar
By John
at 2022-10-01T04:57
追風達人下注了，九州鹿兒島縣枕崎市!
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-10-03T14:01
他不去屋久島喔XD
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-10-01T04:57
船好像停開了= =
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看一下預測 碰到日本後移動速度會加快
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-10-01T04:57
屋久島G11 風圈還沒正式碰到
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-10-03T14:01
特別警報發布了 日本本土第一次因颱風發特別警報
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-10-01T04:57
看錯了 那好像是高潮警報= =
George avatar
By George
at 2022-10-03T14:01
按預報可能中颱上限-強颱下限登九州
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-10-01T04:57
九州近海海溫不低 不會減弱太多
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-10-03T14:01
為什麼南瑪都東南方的雲團會脫離颱風本體？是南瑪都
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57
不夠強嗎？
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-10-03T14:01
EC有算出南瑪都脫離的那團雲系發展出小系統，未來可
以觀察看看
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-10-01T04:57
那團有發展是否就是未來走巴士那團?\
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看起來掉隊的應該是天女散花的那團
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-10-01T04:57
日本九州ㄘㄨㄚˋ裂旦啊…
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看看會中屋久島、口永良部島還是硫黃島了
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2v9uSaUAEBSHy.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2v_sAaAAACLGZ.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2wCCvaAAAyCfD.jpg
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-10-03T14:01
鹿児島県 - 特別警報[波浪]
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-10-01T04:57
還有暴風、高潮特別警報
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01
這次九州又要斷哪條鐵路，希望沒事…
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-10-01T04:57
指宿枕崎線瑟瑟發抖中
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01
發布了 特別警報
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57
早上日本的實測修正為中心氣壓911hPa
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01
巔峰應該有905上下的實力，雖然本身環流大但巔峰應
該還是有C5下限左右的實力
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-10-01T04:57
905…，看來明年Best track要修到貓五了
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01
明天中午中心要接觸了 準備見真章
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
眼要不見了
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01
氣象局還預測以53m/s接近九州... 應該多少會減弱一
些吧...
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57
尾之間G12
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
尾之間G14 破站史紀錄
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-10-01T04:57
看來比預測東偏，可能碰到種子島。追風達人在指宿
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
cwb南馬督減弱成中度颱風了 現在型態的確變差很多
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
實際昨天早上預測的路徑比昨天早上的預報偏東好多，
如果以台灣來看可能就是東登跟西登的差別了。
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-10-03T14:01
其實目前又開始偏西北了 在九州西岸上岸機率還是很
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
高的
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-10-03T14:01
鹿兒島 熊本 看看有沒有先登這兩地方
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-10-01T04:57
屋久島海平面氣壓954.7百帕
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看日本直播蠻有感的
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-10-01T04:57
938.2百帕了
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01
屋久島舊紀錄是938.7百帕
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大j最新報 減弱為105kt
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看起來中心大約正好通過屋久島？
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-10-01T04:57
屋久島陣風50.9m/s，介於15跟16級之間
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01
936.2
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-01T04:57
正中屋久島…
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-10-03T14:01
看來會在穎娃附近再登錄
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57
935.1
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
屋久島風雨暫歇
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-10-01T04:57
鹿児島看直播風浪越來越大欸
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-10-03T14:01
933.4
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
http://i.imgur.com/9rgIqOh.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/V7f8vW0.jpg
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-10-03T14:01
屋久島進風眼 實測928.3
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-10-01T04:57
海平面氣壓932.3 開始回升了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本要硬吃這顆的生命週期，很硬喔
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
屋久島很明顯風向反方向
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-10-03T14:01
大雨特別警報[宮崎県]
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-10-01T04:57
928應該有48公尺到51公尺的強度
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
似乎跑到佐多岬附近登陸了
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-10-01T04:57
追風達人從指宿跑到枕崎，又跑回指宿，看來暫時不會
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-10-03T14:01
再移動
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南馬督應該已經登陸了
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01
指宿進入風眼 940.2百帕
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-10-01T04:57
大J最新報 登陸前強度95kts 貓二 應該救貓二登陸
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01
追風達人在指宿回報說他的氣壓計有誤差，實際應該有
938.8
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57
南馬督這次可能會不斷出海在登陸再出海在登陸xd
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
目前至少已經登陸過三次出海三次了吧xd
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57
又再度登陸 xd 這個一直我又出來了 我又進去了xd
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01
至少登陸三次了，屋久島、指宿市、鹿兒島市
如果有掃到櫻島的話就四次XD
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
應該是四次了
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-10-03T14:01
而且可能還會持續增加次數 路徑還有登陸機會
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://i.imgur.com/TGejoHJ.jpg 強大環流
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-10-03T14:01
雨量感覺會追上05娜比 宮崎県神門24小時累積已645mm
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57
颱風目前在有明海
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-10-03T14:01
現在風力只剩輕颱了
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
目前颱風七進七出日本
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01
又登陸一次了 八進了
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-10-01T04:57
八進八出了 南馬嘟是有多愛日本xd
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日本還沒解禁自由行，颱風就自己先玩了
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57
梅花：輸了...
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-10-03T14:01
硬是要掠過能登半島
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-10-01T04:57
九登 沒意外還會再加一次 十次
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-10-03T14:01
併入鋒面了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57
JMA認定轉化成溫帶氣旋 十進十出日本
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日幣這麼便宜 南馬督捨不得離開日本了
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-10-01T04:57
我看九州的yter說防颱說了一週，看來不是錯覺
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-10-03T14:01
日推有人發文說開車開到半邊被吹到飛起來
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-10-01T04:57
https://bit.ly/3BSCApl
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01
很危險耶 不小心就會翻車
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-10-01T04:57
上面的推特被人抓到是2018年別人拍的

梅花颱風 解除颱風警報 第20報

Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-13T17:30
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【全民防疫】請追蹤 https://www.facebook.com/TWCDC/ 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松　山：https://reurl.cc/32W29 　　　　　　桃　園：https:// ...

梅花颱風 海上颱風警報 第19報

Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-13T14:28
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【全民防疫】請追蹤 https://www.facebook.com/TWCDC/ 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松　山：https://reurl.cc/32W29 　　　　　　桃　園：https:// ...

梅花颱風 海上颱風警報 第18報

Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-13T11:25
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【全民防疫】請追蹤 https://www.facebook.com/TWCDC/ 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松　山：https://reurl.cc/32W29 　　　　　　桃　園：https:// ...

梅花颱風 海上颱風警報 第17報

Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-13T08:50
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【全民防疫】請追蹤 https://www.facebook.com/TWCDC/ 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松　山：https://reurl.cc/32W29 　　　　　　桃　園：https:// ...

梅花颱風 海上颱風警報 第16報

Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-13T05:50
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【全民防疫】請追蹤 https://www.facebook.com/TWCDC/ 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松　山：https://reurl.cc/32W29 　　　　　　桃　園：https:// ...