2214 南瑪都 - 颱風討論

By Oscar
at 2022-09-14T03:24

Table of Contents

WTPQ52 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2214 NANMADOL (2214) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131800UTC 22.4N 140.1E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141800UTC 23.7N 139.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 151800UTC 24.4N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 161800UTC 26.0N 132.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 171800UTC 28.5N 129.7E 200NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 181800UTC 31.5N 128.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Jacky
at 2022-09-16T12:27

貓大居然還沒睡!

By Susan
at 2022-09-18T21:31

JMA路徑圖 https://i.imgur.com/WKLZWdP.png

By Ivy
at 2022-09-21T06:35

等一下看系集

By Leila
at 2022-09-23T15:39

系集平均居然是往華東，有趣了

By Adele
at 2022-09-26T00:43

EC報那個下墜球，超不像EC作風XD

By Rachel
at 2022-09-28T09:46

=.=南瑪督之前已經南落過了還要再來一次喔

By Quintina
at 2022-09-30T18:50

EC XDD

By Harry
at 2022-10-03T03:54

釣竿勾失敗反而被東北風吹下來的劇本XD

By Quintina
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS反而是拉下冷空氣11度線都快碰頭了

By Edwina
at 2022-10-03T14:01

又去華東是怎樣....

By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC不要再騙我了

By Selena
at 2022-10-03T14:01

後面冷高壓接力壓下來

By Kyle
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC預報太搞笑了吧又要騙我

By Quanna
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC 12Z 預報是藤原效應嗎 XD

By Isabella
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC XD

By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01

我還以為是研究以前的南瑪督

By Puput
at 2022-10-01T04:57

上一個南瑪都很有感XD

By Kyle
at 2022-10-03T14:01

上一個南馬督根本沒發警報

By Lily
at 2022-10-01T04:57

有感的南馬督已經是11年前的那隻了
2004 2011登陸第三代沒影響

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南馬督季風低壓很明顯範圍超級大
如果發展起來應該是範圍廣大的颱

By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

未來主角應該就是南馬度了

By Linda
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC報的劇本…好唬爛啊XDD

By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57

對啊範圍那麼大真的壓得下來嗎哈哈

By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01

笑死這藤原

By Oscar
at 2022-10-01T04:57

連EC都加入騙人行列了

By Noah
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南落又來了
今年潮流

By Tracy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC:不騙人不放手xd

By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南馬度在熱帶低壓時期就南落過一次了期待看會否再
來一次xd 精彩可期

By Sandy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大眼梅花終於走了

By Jessica
at 2022-10-03T14:01

哪裡看得到EC係集謝謝～

By Ula
at 2022-10-01T04:57

臉書回顧了我六年前分享的莫蘭蒂侵襲影片六年了…

By Hardy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC這劇本過一兩報就沒了吧

By Mia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大概17日才能確定路徑

By Eden
at 2022-10-03T14:01

台灣周圍大概一周少雲還有機會可以曬熱

By Leila
at 2022-10-01T04:57

西南軍站出來想看EC成真

By Jacky
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC這路線太詐騙了，估計下一報就改了

By Lucy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這樣走傷害太大了吧

By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01

請問通常EC都多久出一次預報呀？謝謝

By Wallis
at 2022-10-01T04:57

意思大概是南瑪都往南是正常的

By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南軍站出來

By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS後面是要冒幾顆出來

By Isabella
at 2022-10-03T14:01

有南字就會有南軍出現

By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這個走法很像納莉颱風

By Donna
at 2022-10-03T14:01

Windy的預報下週五直接撞台灣欸

By Selena
at 2022-10-01T04:57

期待EC走法xD

By Donna
at 2022-10-03T14:01

納莉的走法我覺得很難預測出來，下報再看看

By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大氣變化是種波動，波同步化就有樣學樣了

By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

被騙幾次了，不會再被騙了

By Candice
at 2022-10-01T04:57

時間太久，再看看

By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這次要換Ec來玩弄風迷了嗎

By Agnes
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS玩完換EC XD

By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

真的這樣玩變5大怪颱

By Genevieve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

唉玩弄風迷感情不可取

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC這套劇本也太夢幻

By Rachel
at 2022-10-01T04:57

展望明年(? 期待越少失望越少

By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不過18z應該就會修掉了看系集絕大部分還是往北跑
啊XD

By Lily
at 2022-10-01T04:57

也是該來一個怪颱了十年左右大概都有一個
1986 1991 2001 2012 …

By Oscar
at 2022-10-03T14:01

超級指叉球？

By Donna
at 2022-10-01T04:57

某代南瑪督是冬颱，冷死我

By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC18Z已修得無影無蹤XDDD

By Sierra Rose
at 2022-10-01T04:57

竟然是接近納莉的路線，不要騙了喔EC

By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

果然修掉了
EC戲弄感情不可取

By Kelly
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://i.imgur.com/Cu9W0bV.png

By Catherine
at 2022-10-03T14:01

有南落颱？別嚇我阿…

By Regina
at 2022-10-01T04:57

北轉無誤

By Anonymous
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不過這隻大物上去之後似乎有讓台灣挑戰東北季風的可

By Iris
at 2022-10-01T04:57

能

By Puput
at 2022-10-03T14:01

風場這麼大，上去拉北風才棒

By Odelette
at 2022-10-01T04:57

薄外套要先拿出來洗乾淨準備了

By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

那種很夢幻的路徑都怎麼跑出來的啊? 感覺都會在某一

By Una
at 2022-10-01T04:57

報突然出現然後後面又通通修掉

By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看起來這報還是日本比較危險

By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC12z那種被冷高壓壓下去啊不就瘋婆XD

By Charlotte
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不過系集看起來我比較傾向是剛好撞到頭啦除非連續
穩定報這樣走再說XD

By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57

18z修掉了

By Christine
at 2022-10-03T14:01

反而GFS 18z出現了
https://i.imgur.com/RBEx6qv.jpg

By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

好想看看有哪家媒體敢拿今天EC的魔幻預測報藤原效
應下墜直撲台灣

By Joe
at 2022-10-03T14:01

平西才兩條

By Olive
at 2022-10-01T04:57

已經有媒體報了啊XD

By Mason
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看看就好XD

By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://i.imgur.com/fdYydiD.jpg

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

windy的預測有點酷XD

By Edith
at 2022-10-01T04:57

但南瑪都看起來風場會蠻大

By Lydia
at 2022-10-03T14:01

Windy是預報資料呈現介面不是模式

By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

除非高壓進西伸週期強度又夠才有機會

By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

11年南瑪都二世當初從日本南方一路西修

By Jacky
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大概率又是日韓貨

By Genevieve
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這隻前二世都滿有戲的

By Bennie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS系集有一條噴進台灣海峽又原路倒車出來XD

By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這就是日韓貨沒什麼懸念

By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這顆有機會下墜嗎XD

By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC你有病趕快吃藥好嗎？

By Leila
at 2022-10-01T04:57

範圍太大了北轉機率高

By Joe
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC 水桶好了(笑)

By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

帶來點北風也不錯

By Victoria
at 2022-10-03T14:01

要督進來了嗎 ♂

By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57

有V路線，就有Λ路線！

By Bennie
at 2022-10-03T14:01

又不是指叉球！！

By David
at 2022-10-01T04:57

午間新聞一堆媒體都上車了…

By Rebecca
at 2022-10-03T14:01

照目前預測距離應該沒什麼直接影響吧？

By Yuri
at 2022-10-01T04:57

希望下週末好天氣～

By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本：不要過來呀

By Elma
at 2022-10-01T04:57

EC預報是藤原沒錯...後面還會形成一顆颱風

By Andy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

媒體就愛跟某論壇隨之起舞啊明明18z就修掉了還硬

By Sarah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

要po那篇讓媒體高潮(菸
要賺點閱率也不是這樣的

By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

至少論壇把該說的都有說至於轉到媒體那邊往往就

By Ethan
at 2022-10-01T04:57

為搏取收視率誇大一部份的用詞產生識讀上的誤解

By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

媒體挑想講的強調的台霉日常

By Frederic
at 2022-10-01T04:57

17日才能確定路徑，秋颱都蠻有趣的

By Queena
at 2022-10-03T14:01

論壇該說的都說了媒體要斷章取義那是媒體的問題了

By Hamiltion
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這幾年的颱風都是走Nike路線

By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

windy那個根本唬爛吧走一走倒車來台灣

By Sandy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

我不會被騙的

By Selena
at 2022-10-03T14:01

已經修掉了

By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

媒體也是風迷吧眼裡只有來台灣那條線

By Annie
at 2022-10-03T14:01

正常啦就說頭被打到

By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57

等到東海就知道了

By Lydia
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC半夜那報根本是納莉2.0 但跟整體系集差很遠

By William
at 2022-10-01T04:57

不然就看看系集成員有沒有這個趨勢吧

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

媒體不會去看系集啊只看到決定性的預報就高潮

By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57

基隆進中部出wow

By Rachel
at 2022-10-03T14:01

期待奇怪的路線

By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57

假的

By Lily
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不期不待，沒有傷害

By Poppy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

其實下午的CMC也做出由北往南走的預報只是沒南到台
灣還是登中國去了

By Ula
at 2022-10-03T14:01

系集平均又轉北了，可惜

By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-01T04:57

不意外呀XD通常這種預報不都曇花一現

By Linda
at 2022-10-03T14:01

假的，又閃開台灣

By Oscar
at 2022-10-01T04:57

一個大環流颱風…怎麼可能靠低層的東北季風導引往
南掉，推都推不動了

By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

https://i.imgur.com/4O5xZMp.jpg

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-01T04:57

期待拉下北風真正的秋涼

By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01

指叉球

By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57

看來21號之後會轉涼喔尤其是夜晚

By Kyle
at 2022-10-03T14:01

秋意越來越濃了

By David
at 2022-10-01T04:57

中部以北夜晚有機會下探21 22度

By Yuri
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不期待就沒傷害

By Vanessa
at 2022-10-01T04:57

梅花登陸浙江舟山了

By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不會來啦

By Noah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

到了月底東北風還一路吹到了中南半島

By Genevieve
at 2022-10-03T14:01

展望明年

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57

威了整個夏季的高壓現在看起來也不見起色

By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

明年復明年，明年何其多

By Carol
at 2022-10-01T04:57

展望十年
展望百年
看能不能等到颱風登陸台灣的那一年

By Victoria
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不是說今年反聖嬰年底結束嗎，展望明年應該可以吧XD

By Carolina Franco
at 2022-10-01T04:57

win10說本地天氣https://i.imgur.com/lXLW9K8.png
即將打破歷史新低？

By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

我一直在等颱風，把某中資大樓外推陽台種的樹吹爆

By Michael
at 2022-10-01T04:57

說反聖嬰讓颱風容易靠近台灣但又有看到說反聖嬰讓
副高壓太強颱風不易生成

By Eartha
at 2022-10-03T14:01

改掉了也差太多XD

By Freda
at 2022-10-01T04:57

容易靠近和生成不易不衝突啊

By Agatha
at 2022-10-03T14:01

沒關係我會耐心等到有颱風登陸那一天QQ

By Aaliyah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://ibb.co/25sj9NQ 我不會被騙的XD

By Freda
at 2022-10-03T14:01

個人印象最近Win10的天氣常常講氣溫歷史新低..

By Gilbert
at 2022-10-01T04:57

變成很大一顆

By Kelly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本要很小心南馬督範圍大可能直撲

By Ivy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南海對流也很旺盛耶

By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01

今年夏天有段時間副高卡的位置很適合颱風侵颱，但
偏偏就生不出來阿Xd

By Enid
at 2022-10-01T04:57

看windy往後拉連兩顆接力往日本撞@@

By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

菲東環境就爛到搓不出東西

By Zenobia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

現在其實還是搓不出最近幾個颱風都在中緯形成

By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

反聖嬰卡在那邊颱風拿她沒辦法只好在副熱帶生成

By Mason
at 2022-10-01T04:57

下週的西太仍然是羅士比波頻繁出現的環境，擾動也持
續有發展機會

By James
at 2022-10-03T14:01

臺北盆地午後雨開炸

By Puput
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南瑪都後面又一顆往日本日本真慘

By Bethany
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC00Z這報在九州卡有點久

By Kristin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

中南部這幾天怎麼都沒午後陣雨了

By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

真是謝啦景美下午被炸一波

By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

直接在九洲卡到掛

By Olive
at 2022-10-03T14:01

卡到整個夏天西南季風都進不來，跟去年真是天差地

By Kumar
at 2022-10-01T04:57

遠，不利侵台的環境輪流發生

By Ida
at 2022-10-03T14:01

今天預報好像沒抓到台北盆地午後雷雨？

By Dorothy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

沒有西南季風，颱風只會是6字形

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-03T14:01

今年北方系統很早就開始活躍了對颱風侵台更不利

By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南馬都感覺會留下一坨雲在發展成另一個颱風吧

By Yuri
at 2022-10-03T14:01

果然範圍廣大的南馬都長大起來非常漂亮

By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這顆南邊有接上西南季風，北有槽前輻散的爆發，會是
一顆很有破壞力的颱風，對日韓來說威脅很大

By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

對台灣來說就是進入東北風無限吹的日子

By Linda
at 2022-10-01T04:57

看看9月底有沒有機會出現秋老虎把颱風導過來吧，不
過也是台灣今年最後的機會了

By Sarah
at 2022-10-03T14:01

依照目前路線應該日本會比較抖韓國除非南馬都有

By Dinah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

在更偏西的可能不然日本可能要很小心

By Una
at 2022-10-03T14:01

現在的路徑根本日本三島大縱走xd

By Kama
at 2022-10-01T04:57

準備捲眼了

By Elma
at 2022-10-03T14:01

目前看來最抖的應該是九州而且影響有點久

By Noah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

臺灣目前雨量真的足夠了
尤其是中北部

By Vanessa
at 2022-10-03T14:01

梅花居然還活得比莫柏久...xd

By Michael
at 2022-10-01T04:57

又昇龍拳

By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01

短期內再來一個南瑪都山區就真的要小心了

By Ophelia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南瑪都應該是不會來
除非超級酷的劇本

By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

尾巴感覺帶不走

By Dinah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

尾巴有機會再發展出另個系統吧繼續看下去

By Edith
at 2022-10-03T14:01

別帶走，給台灣一個期待

By Andrew
at 2022-10-01T04:57

會是另一個彈開系統嗎？ @@

By Sandy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

CMC一直堅持會南下來台灣

By Cara
at 2022-10-01T04:57

是跟南瑪都的尾巴有互繞才會下來？

By Rae
at 2022-10-03T14:01

被整個大低壓帶拽下來但不科學

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大型氣旋要單被大低壓帶扯下來大低壓帶要超猛XD

By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

那麼大隻不管甚麼方式要被帶下來都很難吧
就算是唯一指叉球成功丟進好球帶的瘋婆也是小小隻

By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-10-01T04:57

現在這型態少說可以給35m/s了吧

By Ula
at 2022-10-03T14:01

歷史上有過從基隆登陸的颱風嗎？

By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57

可以給35m/S了，T值4.5了

By Zora
at 2022-10-03T14:01

而且這梅花還不能判定消散嗎

By William
at 2022-10-01T04:57

要登陸青島市中心了這颱風專門挑大城市登陸XD

By Elma
at 2022-10-03T14:01

approved 1977 V字颱風始主形薇拉是登陸基隆附近
而且風眼是直接通過台北市區xd

By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57

今年冬季是不是又要反聖嬰了是的話連續好多年了欸

By Ina
at 2022-10-03T14:01

環流大就是好吸隨便就把西南季風吸起來
梅花太小隻甚麼都吸不起來

By Emma
at 2022-10-01T04:57

2016梅姬記得也是在九月底大範圍也有稍微拉起一點西
南風到台灣附近

By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南瑪都掉下來的話就變成納莉2.0了幾乎是不可能

By Elizabeth
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南瑪都有機會把南海的雲拉到台灣南部來嗎？

By Delia
at 2022-10-03T14:01

南馬都南邊的雲系太驚人

By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57

統計上也是連三年反聖嬰

By Charlotte
at 2022-10-03T14:01

GFS又在調戲風迷感情了XD

By Caroline
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS XDDD
https://i.imgur.com/0J3AOzc.jpg

By Iris
at 2022-10-03T14:01

GFS330 夢裡甚麼都有

By Thomas
at 2022-10-01T04:57

GFS騙那麼久了還是別成真比較好不然半夜12點下班
都不知道怎麼回家==

By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01

GFS送幸福下面一位～

By Mason
at 2022-10-01T04:57

就看甚麼時候會被調掉不過這顆緯度比較低

By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01

下一報就修掉了

By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57

狼來了

By Frederica
at 2022-10-03T14:01

風眼都出了還在輕颱…

By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57

嗯，快貓二強度了

By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC在月底到是報出蠻典型的秋颱共伴

By Quanna
at 2022-10-01T04:57

早上可以開眼環流真大

By Franklin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

小笠原:不是...讓我休息一下

By Catherine
at 2022-10-01T04:57

給我12度線！！！

By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

https://i.imgur.com/Dt5CmeB.jpeg
局長都說沒影響了 GFS還是去洗洗睡吧

By Faithe
at 2022-10-01T04:57

Gfs不是早就預測北轉了嗎倒是現在南馬督又大又美
又會是一隻貓四或者貓五嗎

By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本又要很陡了這範圍還會再擴大
Cwb還在150km 最好是跟梅花一樣小xd

By Susan
at 2022-10-01T04:57

變成又大又美的颱風了

By Kama
at 2022-10-03T14:01

GFS和EC都有預測9月下旬有共伴

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57

今年夏天似乎台灣沒有什麼西南氣流也沒有低壓帶盤
據說算是比較少見的情況

By Adele
at 2022-10-03T14:01

轉眼間又開始進入秋颱季節了
如果有共伴大概苦主又是東北部跟北部了

By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57

反聖嬰+強東風距平西南季風都被卡死了

By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

中南部秋颱除非類似象神瑞伯那種直撲的秋颱類型
不然降雨都不太多

By Andy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

940了

By Belly
at 2022-10-03T14:01

笑死cwb半徑一下從150變成220 果然之前又是給太小
現在給220也還是偏小至少可給250以上了

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這隻給300km也不為過

By Una
at 2022-10-03T14:01

眼溫16.94度，可惜B環不合格，只能給6.0

By Dora
at 2022-10-01T04:57

反正都走了給500ㄅ(誤

By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01

眼溫20.11度，不過風眼偏大，也不受機構喜愛

By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57

25N的WMG眼加上W環，可以給130kts

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01

AMSU則是掃描到121KTS

By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://i.imgur.com/wNd5HYV.jpeg

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-03T14:01

CWB該給強颱了吧?

By Aaliyah
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這種型態給45m/s是眼睛有問題?

By Jack
at 2022-10-03T14:01

GFS預測會在日本一路掃上去到北海道干午扣零

By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57

老J給STY

By Bethany
at 2022-10-03T14:01

CWB只給45？？？超級傻眼

By Andrew
at 2022-10-01T04:57

半徑也給得很小? 最好有比軒小啦xd 還在混阿
早上突然從150km變220 現在就定住了?

By Leila
at 2022-10-03T14:01

不用對CWB的定強太認真啦XD

By Agatha
at 2022-10-01T04:57

反正也沒人會拿CWB的數據做研究和分析

By Emma
at 2022-10-03T14:01

130kts對45m/s 好像也還好

By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57

130對應的是53 差很多好嗎

By Cara
at 2022-10-03T14:01

另外Jtwc修正砍到125

By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57

現在可以給135KTS，完美的WMG眼加w環

By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01

但明天晚上要開始吃乾空氣和高緯度的對流高度下降，
趁最後多刷點ACE吧，南瑪都

By Olga
at 2022-10-01T04:57

W環太薄或是不勻稱所以給135封頂嗎？

By Annie
at 2022-10-03T14:01

已經出現外眼牆了準備置換

By Rae
at 2022-10-01T04:57

嗯，W環不勻稱

By Kristin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

眼溫21.1度，今年新高

By Valerie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

JTWC: 135kts

By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01

猛烈な

By Lauren
at 2022-10-01T04:57

JMA預測到佐世保市附近還有43m/s左右強度....

By Hardy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

應該是巔峰了，眼溫下降中，不過STY已經超乎預期

By Jacob
at 2022-10-01T04:57

jtwc預測還是有機會到140kt 貓五的程度看能不能了

By Gary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

cwb終於給強颱了今年第二個強颱

By Agatha
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南馬督東南面那團似乎已經脫鉤了觀察會否發展起來

By Enid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本本島有史以來的特別級警報

By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南瑪都的颱風尾真驚人

By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本早上的實測數據出來了，中心氣壓914百帕

By Jake
at 2022-10-01T04:57

離貓五只有一步之遙，但看起來是巔峰了

By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

危

By Annie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

日本要準備接下這顆盤然大物了xd

By Dinah
at 2022-10-03T14:01

55/68/300登陸日本我看破一切紀錄

By Blanche
at 2022-10-01T04:57

日本媒體開始挖伊勢灣颱風出來比較了
跟韓國上次拿莎拉.梅米出來一樣= =

By Olga
at 2022-10-03T14:01

該不會南瑪都又要被日本命名了希望不要...

By Ula
at 2022-10-01T04:57

一定破紀錄+1

By Anthony
at 2022-10-03T14:01

CWB 915/53/65/280/100

By Charlotte
at 2022-10-01T04:57

Jma/大型/猛烈/910/55/75

By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01

外圍風場超大距離超遠的台北都是西北風

By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

所以這隻是有史以來侵襲日本強度最強的嗎??

By Zenobia
at 2022-10-03T14:01

應該不是最強的吧前幾年那隻哈吉貝更強阿
而且以貓五登陸日本的遠古還有更猛的這隻還沒貓五
這隻只能說是今年侵襲日本至今最嚴重的吧

By Joseph
at 2022-10-01T04:57

哈吉貝登陸只有C2

By Christine
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這隻登陸前應該也減弱不少了

By Tracy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這隻按照大J預測登陸前應該也只剩貓二而已
哈吉貝不管是顛峰強度還是當時影響範圍之廣應該是

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-10-03T14:01

比南馬都還要嚴重才是南馬督危險大概就是速度未來
會變慢許多可能影響日本時間相對比較久雨量要小心

By Zenobia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

日本記得也是蠻怕強降雨的山區土石流

By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

世界哪個國家不怕慢颱灌水啦

By Hedwig
at 2022-10-01T04:57

怎麼看對日本都是很大的威脅

By Megan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這顆真的大物

By Eartha
at 2022-10-01T04:57

19年法西登陸的時候還有C3

By Ingrid
at 2022-10-03T14:01

小J預測明天南瑪都到屋久島強度沒變真可怕

By Christine
at 2022-10-01T04:57

這顆算強度增強版的2004陶卡基

By Carol
at 2022-10-03T14:01

https://reurl.cc/kEk2An 登陸時中心氣壓有機會刷
新紀錄

By Tom
at 2022-10-01T04:57

1934室戶颱風高知室戶岬 911.6百帕

By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

72hr累積雨量https://i.imgur.com/oAEPOaF.png

By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57

沖繩風浪很大https://i.imgur.com/lZ62qW5.png

By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01

還以為比較像佳芭颱風

By Olive
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://youtu.be/JIXOMtkV2Yg 風雨最前線屋久島

By Charlie
at 2022-10-03T14:01

那年同時的艾莉颱風也是西北颱

By John
at 2022-10-01T04:57

追風達人下注了，九州鹿兒島縣枕崎市!

By Edith
at 2022-10-03T14:01

他不去屋久島喔XD

By Heather
at 2022-10-01T04:57

船好像停開了= =

By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看一下預測碰到日本後移動速度會加快

By Hazel
at 2022-10-01T04:57

屋久島G11 風圈還沒正式碰到

By Rachel
at 2022-10-03T14:01

特別警報發布了日本本土第一次因颱風發特別警報

By Christine
at 2022-10-01T04:57

看錯了那好像是高潮警報= =

By George
at 2022-10-03T14:01

按預報可能中颱上限-強颱下限登九州

By Irma
at 2022-10-01T04:57

九州近海海溫不低不會減弱太多

By Hedwig
at 2022-10-03T14:01

為什麼南瑪都東南方的雲團會脫離颱風本體？是南瑪都

By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57

不夠強嗎？

By Oscar
at 2022-10-03T14:01

EC有算出南瑪都脫離的那團雲系發展出小系統，未來可
以觀察看看

By Madame
at 2022-10-01T04:57

那團有發展是否就是未來走巴士那團?\

By Steve
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看起來掉隊的應該是天女散花的那團

By Necoo
at 2022-10-01T04:57

日本九州ㄘㄨㄚˋ裂旦啊…

By Tom
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看看會中屋久島、口永良部島還是硫黃島了

By Jessica
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2v9uSaUAEBSHy.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2v_sAaAAACLGZ.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fc2wCCvaAAAyCfD.jpg

By Emma
at 2022-10-03T14:01

鹿児島県 - 特別警報[波浪]

By Tom
at 2022-10-01T04:57

還有暴風、高潮特別警報

By Regina
at 2022-10-03T14:01

這次九州又要斷哪條鐵路，希望沒事…

By Brianna
at 2022-10-01T04:57

指宿枕崎線瑟瑟發抖中

By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01

發布了特別警報

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57

早上日本的實測修正為中心氣壓911hPa

By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01

巔峰應該有905上下的實力，雖然本身環流大但巔峰應
該還是有C5下限左右的實力

By Ida
at 2022-10-01T04:57

905…，看來明年Best track要修到貓五了

By Jake
at 2022-10-03T14:01

明天中午中心要接觸了準備見真章

By Ivy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

眼要不見了

By Edward Lewis
at 2022-10-03T14:01

氣象局還預測以53m/s接近九州... 應該多少會減弱一
些吧...

By Frederica
at 2022-10-01T04:57

尾之間G12

By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

尾之間G14 破站史紀錄

By Hedwig
at 2022-10-01T04:57

看來比預測東偏，可能碰到種子島。追風達人在指宿

By Poppy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

cwb南馬督減弱成中度颱風了現在型態的確變差很多

By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

實際昨天早上預測的路徑比昨天早上的預報偏東好多，
如果以台灣來看可能就是東登跟西登的差別了。

By Frederic
at 2022-10-03T14:01

其實目前又開始偏西北了在九州西岸上岸機率還是很

By Poppy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

高的

By Necoo
at 2022-10-03T14:01

鹿兒島熊本看看有沒有先登這兩地方

By Kumar
at 2022-10-01T04:57

屋久島海平面氣壓954.7百帕

By Hazel
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看日本直播蠻有感的

By Thomas
at 2022-10-01T04:57

938.2百帕了

By Caitlin
at 2022-10-03T14:01

屋久島舊紀錄是938.7百帕

By Gary
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大j最新報減弱為105kt

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看起來中心大約正好通過屋久島？

By Cara
at 2022-10-01T04:57

屋久島陣風50.9m/s，介於15跟16級之間

By Callum
at 2022-10-03T14:01

936.2

By Susan
at 2022-10-01T04:57

正中屋久島…

By Valerie
at 2022-10-03T14:01

看來會在穎娃附近再登錄

By Doris
at 2022-10-01T04:57

935.1

By Andy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

屋久島風雨暫歇

By Zanna
at 2022-10-01T04:57

鹿児島看直播風浪越來越大欸

By Zora
at 2022-10-03T14:01

933.4

By Erin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

http://i.imgur.com/9rgIqOh.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/V7f8vW0.jpg

By Catherine
at 2022-10-03T14:01

屋久島進風眼實測928.3

By Caitlin
at 2022-10-01T04:57

海平面氣壓932.3 開始回升了

By Zanna
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本要硬吃這顆的生命週期，很硬喔

By Valerie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

屋久島很明顯風向反方向

By Joseph
at 2022-10-03T14:01

大雨特別警報[宮崎県]

By Dorothy
at 2022-10-01T04:57

928應該有48公尺到51公尺的強度

By Sandy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

似乎跑到佐多岬附近登陸了

By Charlie
at 2022-10-01T04:57

追風達人從指宿跑到枕崎，又跑回指宿，看來暫時不會

By Ursula
at 2022-10-03T14:01

再移動

By Anonymous
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南馬督應該已經登陸了

By Mary
at 2022-10-03T14:01

指宿進入風眼 940.2百帕

By Adele
at 2022-10-01T04:57

大J最新報登陸前強度95kts 貓二應該救貓二登陸

By Agnes
at 2022-10-03T14:01

追風達人在指宿回報說他的氣壓計有誤差，實際應該有
938.8

By Belly
at 2022-10-01T04:57

南馬督這次可能會不斷出海在登陸再出海在登陸xd

By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

目前至少已經登陸過三次出海三次了吧xd

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-01T04:57

又再度登陸 xd 這個一直我又出來了我又進去了xd

By Hedy
at 2022-10-03T14:01

至少登陸三次了，屋久島、指宿市、鹿兒島市
如果有掃到櫻島的話就四次XD

By Delia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

應該是四次了

By Margaret
at 2022-10-03T14:01

而且可能還會持續增加次數路徑還有登陸機會

By Emily
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://i.imgur.com/TGejoHJ.jpg 強大環流

By Hamiltion
at 2022-10-03T14:01

雨量感覺會追上05娜比宮崎県神門24小時累積已645mm

By Oliver
at 2022-10-01T04:57

颱風目前在有明海

By Vanessa
at 2022-10-03T14:01

現在風力只剩輕颱了

By Mia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

目前颱風七進七出日本

By Daph Bay
at 2022-10-03T14:01

又登陸一次了八進了

By Jessica
at 2022-10-01T04:57

八進八出了南馬嘟是有多愛日本xd

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日本還沒解禁自由行，颱風就自己先玩了

By Steve
at 2022-10-01T04:57

梅花：輸了...

By Lily
at 2022-10-03T14:01

硬是要掠過能登半島

By Wallis
at 2022-10-01T04:57

九登沒意外還會再加一次十次

By Elvira
at 2022-10-03T14:01

併入鋒面了

By Lydia
at 2022-10-01T04:57

JMA認定轉化成溫帶氣旋十進十出日本

By Candice
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日幣這麼便宜南馬督捨不得離開日本了

By Queena
at 2022-10-01T04:57

我看九州的yter說防颱說了一週，看來不是錯覺

By Jacob
at 2022-10-03T14:01

日推有人發文說開車開到半邊被吹到飛起來

By Ursula
at 2022-10-01T04:57

https://bit.ly/3BSCApl

By Susan
at 2022-10-03T14:01

很危險耶不小心就會翻車

By Daniel
at 2022-10-01T04:57

上面的推特被人抓到是2018年別人拍的

2214 南瑪都 - 颱風討論

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