2301 珊瑚 - 颱風討論

Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2023-04-21T10:55

Table of Contents


WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 156.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 156.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 10.5N 155.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 10.9N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 11.4N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.8N 152.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.1N 149.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.2N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 156.1E.
21APR23. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-04-26T00:32
感謝大大幫珊瑚在板上留個正式紀錄
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-04-30T14:09
終於有人理它了xd
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-05-05T03:45
小J出乎意料的在昨天升格
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-05-09T17:22
小j過往突襲式升格也不是第一次 所以沒有很意外
John avatar
By John
at 2023-05-08T09:52
2023風季開跑
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2023-05-12T23:29
今年颱風生成的位置會距離台灣越來越遠?
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2023-05-08T09:52
還是一直都距離台灣很遠位置差不多?
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-05-12T23:29
今年會有颱風來台灣晃晃嗎
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2023-05-08T09:52
依最新聖嬰預報,聖嬰現象會在夏季後發展,秋颱生成
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-05-12T23:29
位置的確會離臺灣比較遠
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2023-05-08T09:52
可遇不可求,遇到就心懷感激
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2023-05-12T23:29
聖嬰年的颱風比較容易達強度上限,到台灣的話多會是
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-05-08T09:52
強颱,但天花板好像不高,然後隔年天花板好像會提升
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-05-12T23:29
盼孟加拉灣氣旋(拭淚)
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-05-08T09:52
愛深埋珊瑚海
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-05-12T23:29
孟灣氣旋歐 算一算很高機率是下一次MJO到印度洋
準備點燃西南季風
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-05-08T09:52
W大懂我~
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2023-05-12T23:29
轉身離開
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2023-05-08T09:52
看BSISO的季節又要到了
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-05-12T23:29
聖嬰年是不是比較有機會侵台? 台灣終究還是得要有颱
風侵襲 否則缺水會比淹水更無力…
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-05-08T09:52
根據統計,反聖嬰年才有比較多颱風侵台
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2023-05-12T23:29
但是論西南氣流抵臺的件數,好像正反聖嬰差別不大?
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2023-05-08T09:52
只是西南氣流和颱風本身對各地區水庫補水的效益不一
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2023-05-12T23:29
,有些很依賴颱風補水,有些只要西南氣流就補一堆
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-05-08T09:52
按cwb 的氣侯監測資料,看不出聖嬰反聖嬰和颱風侵
台數的關聯
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-05-12T23:29
這幾年的表現像是有在管歷史統計的嗎…
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2023-05-08T09:52
有緣的兩千公里都給你開過來撞 反之(ry
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-05-12T23:29
聖嬰反聖嬰 對台灣影響反而是春雨的影響比較多
颱風的侵襲反而還好 不過反聖嬰年侵襲數的確是稍多
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2023-05-08T09:52
看是不是又是風調雨不順的一年… @@
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-05-12T23:29
聖嬰發展年的夏季雨水較多 但不見得是颱風影響 都
是無法成餅的麵糊…
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2023-05-08T09:52
至於近年的反聖嬰年呢…抱歉 連能製餅的麵糊都沒有
…又乾又熱
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2023-05-12T23:29
快掛了
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-05-08T09:52
已經好几年沒有像樣的颱風季了....
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2023-05-12T23:29
何止颱風 連梅雨都快感受不到了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2023-05-08T09:52
想想 有多久沒抱怨雨下不停了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2023-05-12T23:29
大概2018年 八月後吧 就沒有持續很久的雨勢了xd
2018 有823砲彈 西南氣流 整個月雨勢不斷
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2023-05-08T09:52
2018年也是 熱低數量影響蠻多的一年 颱風0登陸xd
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-05-12T23:29
南部今年有0823那顆熱低程度的話就可以補水了
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-05-08T09:52
而且當時那顆後面還有西南氣流
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-05-12T23:29
有0823那顆應該不只是補水而已 淹水都可能
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-05-08T09:52
中南部 排水系統沒重修 823那種還是會淹。
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-05-12T23:29
2021三道梅雨鋒面、台南一堆測站6月單月雨量破千
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2023-05-08T09:52
2022也是三道梅面鋒面...
連梅雨都快感受不到了 ????
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-05-12T23:29
2018算是TD大年吧(x
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-05-08T09:52
2021年8月上旬西南氣流+盧碧TD 南部一堆測站8月單
月雨量破千...
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2023-05-12T23:29
2021年沒颱風直接襲臺,但是六七八三個月雨量很多
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-05-08T09:52
南化六月中旬後就滿庫、鯉魚潭、德基也從不到1%滿庫
曾文也在八月滿庫
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2023-05-12T23:29
2018年8月更不用說,高雄測站單月雨量1,600mm
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2023-05-08T09:52
https://imgur.com/gallery/TLURT38
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2023-05-12T23:29
按氣象局定義 8月不算在梅雨季了
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-05-08T09:52
https://i.imgur.com/TkvAowk.jpg
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-05-12T23:29
所以是海溫上升年(反聖嬰減弱也算),夏季雨量多
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-05-08T09:52
剛簡易查了 2021 臺北 <-> 高雄 6-8月雨量差距滿大
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-05-12T23:29
https://imgur.com/a/OEinSoj
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-05-08T09:52
https://imgur.com/a/vykNcm1
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-05-12T23:29
823 那個到北部一樣淹啦 跟排水系統關係不大 去年10
月台北一波大雨也是淹
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-05-08T09:52
噗! GFS +384小時 在孟加拉灣畫餅 XD
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-05-12T23:29
4月、5月的印度洋好像常常出現南北半球各一顆餅
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-05-08T09:52
因為四五月季內振盪準備帶起西南季風 對流區後端
的赤道羅士比波氣旋對裡面容易出現熱帶氣旋
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-05-12T23:29
https://i.imgur.com/IynE0ff.jpg
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2023-05-08T09:52
去年的印度洋雙胞胎~
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-05-12T23:29
GFS +384小時 也是印度洋南北半球各一顆 科科
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-05-08T09:52
謝謝w大說明~
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-05-12T23:29
https://i.imgur.com/regQsud.jpg
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2023-05-08T09:52
2019 年的印度洋南北雙胞胎~

確定會下雨,還會在集水區造雨嗎?

Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-04-19T03:06
這次鋒面預測看起來,烏山頭和曾文應該會進帳不少 不過這邊就好奇了,雖然水庫已經在降雨熱區了。 那會不會因為太缺水了,所以再施放焰劑增加降水量呢? - ...

天氣小觀:明午後強鋒面接近,聽見下雨的聲音

Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2023-04-18T20:39
天氣小觀:明起南支槽東移,午後強強鋒面接近,東海氣旋聽見下雨的聲音 大雨要來了! 北方大陸、東北地區、東北亞一片冷空氣的冬季系統掌控, 中南半島、南海地區、太平洋一片暖空氣的夏季系統掌控, 在冷暖交界處,一丁點波動都會high起來, 那就是南支槽東移,南北氣流交會,東海氣旋發展,春雨鋒面通過台灣, 台灣h ...

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Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-04-16T11:12
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早期電視台的氣象分區

Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2023-04-15T14:46
因為地理版有網友建議來大氣版提問 所以地理版的問題也順便發表在此 大約在1990年代~2000年初期 老三台(台視、華視、中視)台灣部分的氣象報告分區大致上是這樣 1.台北市 2.基隆北海岸(基隆+北縣北海岸地區) 3.台北(縣區除北海岸地區外)+桃園 4.新竹苗栗 5.台中彰化 6.南投 7.雲林嘉義 ...

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Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2023-04-14T21:04
時序來到4月中,再過半個月就要開始梅雨季了, 夏季迷永遠是夏季迷,歡喜地等東北季風退場後, 就是期待夏季系統別再悶,快點瘋狂一夏; I love you, I love you, I love you And where you go Iand#39;ll follow, Iand#39;ll follo ...