2303 谷超 - 颱風討論

By Mary
at 2023-06-06T21:04

Table of Contents

WTPQ50 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2303 GUCHOL (2303) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 12.8N 134.8E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 14.8N 133.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 081200UTC 16.5N 130.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 091200UTC 17.8N 130.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 101200UTC 19.6N 130.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
120HF 111200UTC 22.9N 131.8E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Michael
at 2023-06-08T22:46

希望不要再吃沉降

By Joe
at 2023-06-11T00:28

恭喜升格

By Catherine
at 2023-06-13T02:10

預報不影響陸地 https://i.imgur.com/31Pa73e.png

By Edwina
at 2023-06-15T03:52

請帶雨來吧

By Irma
at 2023-06-13T18:07

快把南海水氣吸過來吧

By Joe
at 2023-06-15T19:49

會影響鋒面嗎

By Noah
at 2023-06-13T18:07

超哥好好北上

By Yedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷我超

By Kumar
at 2023-06-13T18:07

會帶來北風，幫助滯留鋒移至臺灣上空

By Oliver
at 2023-06-15T19:49

超哥麻煩離我遠一點

By Heather
at 2023-06-13T18:07

造成下週鋒面鋒消的元兇==

By Wallis
at 2023-06-15T19:49

一個說移至上空，一個說鋒消 @@

By Eden
at 2023-06-13T18:07

看樣子台灣又要準備吃下沉氣流了@@

By Anonymous
at 2023-06-15T19:49

下周會拉西南氣流嗎

By Charlotte
at 2023-06-13T18:07

大谷超人，應該是蠻強的

By Mary
at 2023-06-15T19:49

卡大也說會讓下波鋒面結構變差

By Iris
at 2023-06-13T18:07

15號那波應該不是現在預測會下來的封面
而是之後南海的低壓東北上來的看到時候是熱低

By Rae
at 2023-06-15T19:49

還是鋒面中的擾動引響

By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-13T18:07

其實原本是預測的6/10鋒面影響也隨預報逐漸延後了

By Enid
at 2023-06-15T19:49

會影響台灣的水氣嗎

By Ida
at 2023-06-13T18:07

請不要下雨謝謝

By Selena
at 2023-06-15T19:49

哦，原來從滯留鋒修成移動型鋒面了

By Frederica
at 2023-06-13T18:07

爛颱風又要來破壞梅雨鋒面了...

By Rachel
at 2023-06-15T19:49

北風原本就存在，西方槽很強，沒有颱風依然能把鋒面
推到台灣上空。反倒是古超接近時大幅減弱了鋒前西南
風，造成鋒面還沒到台灣上空就消散

By Audriana
at 2023-06-13T18:07

給我來不然自己消失

By Hedy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

所以谷超只要一直停留在東方海面上台灣就永不降雨？

By Leila
at 2023-06-13T18:07

古古

By Thomas
at 2023-06-15T19:49

下一個又輪到騙人颱泰利

By John
at 2023-06-13T18:07

下禮拜三四那是西南季風/氣流嗎？

By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49

大氣條件轉為對颱風生成有利，所以季風槽偏東了?

By Linda
at 2023-06-13T18:07

空梅又空颱風調雨順

By Caitlin
at 2023-06-15T19:49

惹人厭的颱風製造悶熱又破壞降雨環境

By Mia
at 2023-06-13T18:07

超愛這種破壞滯留鋒面的颱風善良的颱風

By Isla
at 2023-06-15T19:49

看EC，菲東下星期就會有泰利了

By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-13T18:07

又是AT立場全開的一天

By Aaliyah
at 2023-06-15T19:49

石門/翡翠都已回到60%以上

By Enid
at 2023-06-13T18:07

https://i.imgur.com/BL7kMJj.jpg

By Todd Johnson
at 2023-06-15T19:49

如果6月持續都有午後熱對流對水庫幫助不小

By Lydia
at 2023-06-13T18:07

感謝大谷超人帶來好天氣

By Lily
at 2023-06-15T19:49

12-16要去東京，希望別影響QQ

By Olivia
at 2023-06-13T18:07

該不會下週也沒了…

By Xanthe
at 2023-06-15T19:49

看來未來討論2023的梅雨季時，一個又一個的颱風導
致空梅會是結論

By Hedy
at 2023-06-13T18:07

啥好天氣颱風，谷超沒有強到那個程度

By William
at 2023-06-15T19:49

不要再搞梅雨了QQ

By Callum
at 2023-06-13T18:07

但谷超這距離應該也不會吃到下沉吧

By Suhail Hany
at 2023-06-15T19:49

下周沒有梅雨了？？？？？？

By Andy
at 2023-06-13T18:07

雖然真的會破壞封面Q

By Emma
at 2023-06-15T19:49

上一世的谷超是無感幽靈颱還有發海警

By Xanthe
at 2023-06-13T18:07

*鋒面

By Joe
at 2023-06-15T19:49

連鋒面都可以展望，笑死

By Blanche
at 2023-06-13T18:07

慢走不算88

By Olga
at 2023-06-15T19:49

他應該是沒有強到能讓台灣吃下沉

By Cara
at 2023-06-13T18:07

為什麼看到谷超一直想叫它品超

By Kumar
at 2023-06-15T19:49

今天午後熱對流進度不錯雲層越來越厚了

By David
at 2023-06-13T18:07

嗯早上天空就有烏雲

By Elma
at 2023-06-15T19:49

EC報出13日起連續多天的鋒面滯留

By Oscar
at 2023-06-13T18:07

天啊我12號要去大阪蜜月，希望不要影響

By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49

還有變數吧看觀察

By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-13T18:07

今天對流很猛

By Oscar
at 2023-06-15T19:49

下多點

By Erin
at 2023-06-13T18:07

連暴風圈侵台的概率都極低

By Edward Lewis
at 2023-06-15T19:49

高壓退了應該會更早北轉

By Joe
at 2023-06-13T18:07

沒有要來就閃遠一點吧不要又破壞梅雨鋒面了

By Puput
at 2023-06-15T19:49

CWB也上望貓二了，海溫真的不像聖嬰發展年

By Connor
at 2023-06-13T18:07

Niño 4已超過+0.5度，信風減弱中，西太和海洋大陸
SST將會上昇的更緩慢

By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49

颱風騙你

By Daniel
at 2023-06-13T18:07

請問本週末到東澳粉鳥林露營是否會刮強風和雨呢？

By Damian
at 2023-06-15T19:49

樓上有沒有兩個十塊

By Rae
at 2023-06-13T18:07

不怕被長浪捲入太平洋的話可以去露營看看…

By Bethany
at 2023-06-15T19:49

嬸嬸太平洋的嬸嬸傷心

By Frederic
at 2023-06-13T18:07

我等的船還不來我等的人還不明白

By Zora
at 2023-06-15T19:49

還以為是傷心西太平洋是唱給颱風聽的XD

By Faithe
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超中心爆對流了

By Ingrid
at 2023-06-15T19:49

祈禱12號北部是好天氣

By Dora
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超雖然掛上一些西南季風但東風波結構一直沒改善

By Freda
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷超是不是要捲大爛眼xd

By Jack
at 2023-06-13T18:07

另外台灣中部對流超旺盛今晚這波很補

By Dinah
at 2023-06-15T19:49

http://i.imgur.com/KAZqRRm.jpg 南部水庫惦惦吃三
碗公

By Kelly
at 2023-06-13T18:07

嘉義台南高雄交界的凹處剛好是曾文水庫這幾天下到
爆紫

By Lucy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

新竹市：

By Audriana
at 2023-06-13T18:07

新竹市沒下也沒關係，山區之前一直有就夠了。

By Suhail Hany
at 2023-06-15T19:49

12日開始是不是ITCZ跑到臺灣南部了?

By Hedda
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超其實蠻有可能拉南海低壓帶上來，形成一個大低
壓帶，加劇季風震盪

By Rae
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷超在下一盤很大的棋

By Robert
at 2023-06-13T18:07

下禮拜降雨模式南部水情可能有幫助

By Rae
at 2023-06-15T19:49

因為本來預測這波梅雨鋒面蠻微弱的，不太給南部解

By Anthony
at 2023-06-13T18:07

渴，算前菜

By Thomas
at 2023-06-15T19:49

板上展望明年梅雨的恐慌仔應該沒想到午後熱對流XD

By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-13T18:07

光午後熱對流就把中北部灌得這麼飽才六月耶

By Dora
at 2023-06-15T19:49

CWB似乎認為12號以後不是梅雨鋒面影響，而是低壓帶
帶來降雨

By Hazel
at 2023-06-13T18:07

抽籤仔進桶消失了不然應該更好笑

By Cara
at 2023-06-15T19:49

那個其實就是梅雨鋒面了，少見的在台灣上空鋒生的類
型

By Enid
at 2023-06-13T18:07

如果有安排13 14 15要去台東玩是不是可以考慮取消
了QQ

By Suhail Hany
at 2023-06-15T19:49

抽籤仔確實有嚇到我了...我是不是太迷信了

By Ophelia
at 2023-06-13T18:07

99w如果能撐住陸地損耗的話也可能後續會靠近

By Genevieve
at 2023-06-15T19:49

台東? 還好吧? 預報是雷陣雨的天氣不是下整天

By Liam
at 2023-06-13T18:07

還是你期望13 14 15 都是豔陽高照的"好天氣"?

By Steve
at 2023-06-15T19:49

預計11日-15日去旅遊的當然想要好天氣呀這週都看
的到

By Rachel
at 2023-06-13T18:07

雖然會有點小離題但熱爆(溫度)+紫爆(紫外線)的台東

By John
at 2023-06-15T19:49

拍照很美但會讓人不想離開車上冷氣太久(下車爆汗

By Lauren
at 2023-06-13T18:07

除了狂風暴雨其他類型的天氣都有各自合適的玩法

By Andy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

目前看12號天氣好像還好 13午後開始才下比較大 12-1
3要去爬玉山不知道適不適合

By Irma
at 2023-06-13T18:07

我也是15 16 17要去離島玩午後雷陣雨還能接受就
怕下整天QQ

By Rachel
at 2023-06-15T19:49

其實那種梅雨鋒面已經類似西南氣流降雨了

By James
at 2023-06-13T18:07

是不是梅雨，會有誰定義嗎？

By Hedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49

曾文蓄水率回到10%

By Blanche
at 2023-06-13T18:07

大氣板會定義。不然這裡要討論啥

By David
at 2023-06-15T19:49

曾文水庫要看有沒有辦法在月底突破到2億加上烏山
頭水庫才能二期稻作

By Necoo
at 2023-06-13T18:07

梅雨鋒面本來就能定義吧

By Eartha
at 2023-06-15T19:49

也不是給大氣板定義的硬要嘴很有事欸XD

By Gilbert
at 2023-06-13T18:07

推文真的各種鬧、爬玉山很適合啊，不要浪費國家資

By Yedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49

源就好

By Ophelia
at 2023-06-13T18:07

不懂下禮拜還要賭爬玉山的心態就算沒下雨也是白牆

By Jacky
at 2023-06-15T19:49

其實梅雨鋒面或是低壓帶影響有時候沒那麼好區分

By Lucy
at 2023-06-13T18:07

整條鋒面上都是低壓區真的不好分

By Agnes
at 2023-06-15T19:49

爬山要自己注意吧，覺得不適合就取消

By Irma
at 2023-06-13T18:07

山區土壤含水量應該很高了下雨補水應該更有效率

By Zenobia
at 2023-06-15T19:49

梅雨鋒和低壓帶的差別在於是否有斜壓性質

By Jacky
at 2023-06-13T18:07

但已經是6月了南北間的溫差已經縮小中

By Delia
at 2023-06-15T19:49

颱風快來

By Olive
at 2023-06-13T18:07

但希望能下雨就好

By Charlotte
at 2023-06-15T19:49

宜蘭那邊今天熱對流好誇張

By Edward Lewis
at 2023-06-13T18:07

宜蘭從來不缺雨

By Audriana
at 2023-06-15T19:49

想起有一年六月宜蘭看熱氣球結果下午大大大暴雨

By Carol
at 2023-06-13T18:07

下週二起全台大暴雨嗎？

By Edward Lewis
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷超準備捲雲捲風眼了，變成東側羅士比波，西側季風
槽的結構

By Poppy
at 2023-06-13T18:07

希望順順下就好

By Tom
at 2023-06-15T19:49

那會有什麼影響嗎？

By Carol
at 2023-06-13T18:07

比較好奇去年夏天基隆缺水簡直難以想像

By Olivia
at 2023-06-15T19:49

去年高壓強大到連午後雷雨都沒有天氣型態太穩定

By Christine
at 2023-06-13T18:07

湖山水庫轉眼少30%？

By Quintina
at 2023-06-15T19:49

http://i.imgur.com/gm1X4tg.jpg 請愛用水利署官方

By Callum
at 2023-06-13T18:07

有時候整條滯留鋒也會有小型的低壓出現

By Freda
at 2023-06-15T19:49

梅雨鋒面斜壓性通常都很弱，所以其實很難和低壓帶做
區分。陳泰然老師當年在開始梅雨研究時還會用季風槽
來稱呼梅雨鋒面

By Lily
at 2023-06-13T18:07

捲眼成功，大爛眼

By Thomas
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷超果然捲出個爛眼哈哈
不過應該會生中度吧

By Jacob
at 2023-06-13T18:07

至少比上一代強多了xd

By Wallis
at 2023-06-15T19:49

北部海面好熱鬧

By Harry
at 2023-06-13T18:07

那一大坨會移進來嗎？

By Jack
at 2023-06-15T19:49

那坨預測上本來就不會進來不用看了

By Jacob
at 2023-06-13T18:07

好奇谷超對梅雨究竟是削弱還是加強

By Doris
at 2023-06-15T19:49

https://i.imgur.com/z8Q2Vh9.jpg

By Linda
at 2023-06-13T18:07

古超完全是減弱鋒面

By Hedy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

windy上gfs與e c 雨量預估差異超大，gfs幾乎是沒有
下多少雨
補充：預測未來十天內雨量

By Linda
at 2023-06-13T18:07

gfs跟ec誰雨量預測比較準？

By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49

看起來gfs要準一次了？

By Cara
at 2023-06-13T18:07

不過這種雨量太難預測，都是天天更新

By Jake
at 2023-06-15T19:49

台灣區域小又更為困難

By Bennie
at 2023-06-13T18:07

降雨真的是每報一變，至少雨是確定會下的

By Bennie
at 2023-06-15T19:49

看起來那一坨要進來了

By Bennie
at 2023-06-13T18:07

那陀應該進來機率不高有可能北面通過

By Faithe
at 2023-06-15T19:49

鋒面壓在頭上

By Quintina
at 2023-06-13T18:07

快到了欸

By Valerie
at 2023-06-15T19:49

那陀應該就掃過去(?'

By James
at 2023-06-13T18:07

下點雨也好熱死

By Poppy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

山區好像又開始有了

By Tom
at 2023-06-13T18:07

剛剛騎鐵馬上陽明山，飄雨中

By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49

北部外海那塊碰到了哀哈

By Lauren
at 2023-06-13T18:07

沒想到曾文居然是打下半場的回波起來了

By Andy
at 2023-06-15T19:49

好大坨..@@

By Eden
at 2023-06-13T18:07

曾文下多點

By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49

鋒面壓不進來…

By Jacob
at 2023-06-13T18:07

是今天晚上的嗎

By Carol
at 2023-06-15T19:49

現在南海完全看不出之後會有低壓帶的感覺

By Charlotte
at 2023-06-13T18:07

要展望了？

By Harry
at 2023-06-15T19:49

模式的結果來自北方橫槽將相當大幅度南伸且位於黃海

By Charlotte
at 2023-06-13T18:07

同時副高在谷超北上後從菲律賓海向西推擠
中間西南季風就在兩邊梯度加大下跟著噴了

By Harry
at 2023-06-15T19:49

總感覺谷超是壓垮太平洋高壓較北脊線狀態的最後稻草

By Harry
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超CWB升中度了

By Dora
at 2023-06-15T19:49

已經有零星的回波開始摸到北海岸了

By Mary
at 2023-06-13T18:07

台北松山突然大雨

By Oliver
at 2023-06-15T19:49

金山大雷雨

By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-13T18:07

打雷啦～

By Victoria
at 2023-06-15T19:49

基隆開始一陣暴雨

By Carol
at 2023-06-13T18:07

中壢搖滾中

By Victoria
at 2023-06-15T19:49

內湖暴雨

By Charlotte
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超現在大概貓二強度，今年菲東環境真是不錯

By Dora
at 2023-06-15T19:49

永和搖滾中

By Kama
at 2023-06-13T18:07

谷超要禿頭了

By Eartha
at 2023-06-15T19:49

下週後期西風帶看起來要嘗試北跳了

By Olga
at 2023-06-13T18:07

鋒面靠下來了

By Emma
at 2023-06-15T19:49

谷超吃到更多乾空氣，北側眼牆破了QQ

By Liam
at 2023-06-13T18:07

至少它已經達成C2了比上一代好多了

2303 谷超 - 颱風討論

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