天氣小觀:冷空氣偏強,暖空氣打游擊戰,明反擊 - 颱風討論
By Lauren
at 2022-03-27T20:16
at 2022-03-27T20:16
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:冷空氣偏強,暖空氣打游擊戰,明起暖空氣開始反擊
模式預報從兩段鋒面變成冷暖大戰的春季雷暴鋒面,
但地面場冷空氣勢如破竹,暖空氣只好從高空改打游擊戰,
於是原先春季雷暴鋒面,變成斷斷續續的鋒面降雨。
事實上,
由於春季尤其春季前期,東亞海溫低,
太平洋高壓緯度低,加上南支槽前的印度洋暖溼氣流,
因此,
暖空氣阻擋冷空氣的關鍵區域往往就是華南戰場。
在地面場,
昨天週六的冷空氣南下與南海暖空氣在華南沿岸遭遇後,
冷暖短暫交手後,雙方實力差距頗大,
冷空氣很快控場華南到台灣的大氣地面層。
在高空場,
由於西風南支槽持續帶進印度洋暖濕水氣,
與太平洋高壓的西南風暖空氣會合,對峙西風槽後的偏北氣流,
成功阻止了西風槽持續往南伸,台灣的溫度不至於再往下探。
目前儘管地面場有東北季風控場,
高空場已不像冬季的南支槽的印度洋華南雲雨帶,
在太平洋高壓崛起後,自帶南海-太平洋水氣上來,
冷暖交戰且進且退,
明起高空暖空氣逐漸反擊,暖濕水氣北上更多,
但儘管北方地面冷高壓出海,但這次冷高壓規模夠大,
因此,冷暖還要再打個一兩天,明天的降雨看來也會更明顯了。
值得注意的是,
北極渦旋已經移到北亞,冷空氣一波接一波往東亞,
未來一週還有更大規模的冷高壓南下,
儘管春季大氣秀高空,
但地面大規模冷高壓南下時,就要地面大氣的情況了,
1.
冷高壓夠強,就是類冬季東北季風地形雨;
2.
冷高壓不夠強,更要注意大氣地面秀,
外圍冷高壓南下路徑長,於是出現類秋季東北季風與偏東風輻合雨,
如果再遇上夏季系統的偏南風,甚至會出現小氣旋雨,
苦主就是北宜了,
模式長期預報似乎清明連假開始有強降雨,再觀察囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
模式預報從兩段鋒面變成冷暖大戰的春季雷暴鋒面,
但地面場冷空氣勢如破竹,暖空氣只好從高空改打游擊戰,
於是原先春季雷暴鋒面,變成斷斷續續的鋒面降雨。
事實上,
由於春季尤其春季前期,東亞海溫低,
太平洋高壓緯度低,加上南支槽前的印度洋暖溼氣流,
因此,
暖空氣阻擋冷空氣的關鍵區域往往就是華南戰場。
在地面場,
昨天週六的冷空氣南下與南海暖空氣在華南沿岸遭遇後,
冷暖短暫交手後,雙方實力差距頗大,
冷空氣很快控場華南到台灣的大氣地面層。
在高空場,
由於西風南支槽持續帶進印度洋暖濕水氣,
與太平洋高壓的西南風暖空氣會合,對峙西風槽後的偏北氣流,
成功阻止了西風槽持續往南伸,台灣的溫度不至於再往下探。
目前儘管地面場有東北季風控場,
高空場已不像冬季的南支槽的印度洋華南雲雨帶,
在太平洋高壓崛起後,自帶南海-太平洋水氣上來,
冷暖交戰且進且退,
明起高空暖空氣逐漸反擊,暖濕水氣北上更多,
但儘管北方地面冷高壓出海,但這次冷高壓規模夠大,
因此,冷暖還要再打個一兩天,明天的降雨看來也會更明顯了。
值得注意的是,
北極渦旋已經移到北亞,冷空氣一波接一波往東亞,
未來一週還有更大規模的冷高壓南下,
儘管春季大氣秀高空,
但地面大規模冷高壓南下時,就要地面大氣的情況了,
1.
冷高壓夠強,就是類冬季東北季風地形雨;
2.
冷高壓不夠強,更要注意大氣地面秀,
外圍冷高壓南下路徑長,於是出現類秋季東北季風與偏東風輻合雨,
如果再遇上夏季系統的偏南風,甚至會出現小氣旋雨,
苦主就是北宜了,
模式長期預報似乎清明連假開始有強降雨,再觀察囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
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