天氣小觀:晚夏奮起的南亞高壓,93W的表演秀 - 颱風討論
By Edith
at 2022-08-19T20:03
at 2022-08-19T20:03
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:晚夏奮起的南亞高壓,93W的表演秀
下週時節來到晚夏,不過夏天結束的敲鐘在下週沒有任何敲響,
冬季迷失望,夏季迷OK...
原因是,
模式預報調強了南亞高壓,於是,
未來一週,南亞高壓的奮起,橫跨整片亞洲南部,
當然有一個不穩定因素就是93W.
位處菲律賓東方的93W,由於南亞高壓威能,
南側偏強的熱帶高空東風噴流導致的惡劣垂直風切環境沒有改善,
儘管93W發展不容易,但完全不能小看這顆,
在慢速移動,且有滯留的狀況下,
逐漸帶起低層西南季風的北上,以及後期與北方冬季系統的互動都是變數。
8月底的大氣環境有趣了。
事實上,說到底都是93W的變化,
可以是轉為季風低壓,溫帶氣旋,也可是發展成熱帶氣旋,
可以北上,可以南下,也可以往東西;
一切就要看這顆慢吞吞的小氣旋,如何在夏冬大氣系統之間的表現了。
秋季,
降溫的大陸冷涼空氣遇上海洋表面的熱浪,揭開秋季大氣地面秀的布幕。
因此,與其說下週會不會下雨,不如說下週的大氣地面秀如何了...
(以上供參囉)
--
下週時節來到晚夏,不過夏天結束的敲鐘在下週沒有任何敲響,
冬季迷失望,夏季迷OK...
原因是,
模式預報調強了南亞高壓,於是,
未來一週,南亞高壓的奮起,橫跨整片亞洲南部,
當然有一個不穩定因素就是93W.
位處菲律賓東方的93W,由於南亞高壓威能,
南側偏強的熱帶高空東風噴流導致的惡劣垂直風切環境沒有改善,
儘管93W發展不容易,但完全不能小看這顆,
在慢速移動,且有滯留的狀況下,
逐漸帶起低層西南季風的北上,以及後期與北方冬季系統的互動都是變數。
8月底的大氣環境有趣了。
事實上,說到底都是93W的變化,
可以是轉為季風低壓,溫帶氣旋,也可是發展成熱帶氣旋,
可以北上,可以南下,也可以往東西;
一切就要看這顆慢吞吞的小氣旋,如何在夏冬大氣系統之間的表現了。
秋季,
降溫的大陸冷涼空氣遇上海洋表面的熱浪,揭開秋季大氣地面秀的布幕。
因此,與其說下週會不會下雨,不如說下週的大氣地面秀如何了...
(以上供參囉)
--
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