天氣小觀:未來一週看氣旋一顆兩顆三顆四顆連成線 - 颱風討論
By Madame
at 2022-05-17T21:47
at 2022-05-17T21:47
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:未來一週看氣旋一顆兩顆三顆四顆連成線
追加的這一劑東北季風果然大氣環境就變了樣,
原因當然是東北季風出任務,竟然驅趕南海北部西南季風的建立,
南海北部變成東北風,但南海南部依舊是想要爆發的西南季風,
於是東北風繼續與西南風相遇,鋒面高空秀變成了氣旋地面秀,
與其說未來一週的梅雨,
不如說,手牽手,望著天,看氣旋一顆兩顆三顆四顆連成線。
目前南海中部一顆氣旋正在旋轉,儘管海溫環境不錯,
但高空西風帶尚未北移,容易受西風槽牽引進入惡劣的垂直風切環境,
模式預報未來一週,對夏季系統而言,就是東北季風帶來的後遺症;
一顆顆不成氣候的氣旋往台灣通過,
要到下一個鋒面南下,屆時中緯度系統引發南海西南季風爆發。
目前來看要等8~9天以後了。
但不管是不成氣候的氣旋秀或是下一波鋒面回到梅雨高空秀+南海西南季風爆發;
相同的是,
太平洋高壓都很弱,台灣天氣只有"相對穩定"和"容易下雨",
相對穩定是氣旋與氣旋中間的過渡區,容易下雨當然是氣旋影響了。
值得注意的是,由於氣旋到台灣時,也會逐漸變性為溫帶氣旋,
氣旋擴大,旋臂變成鋒面,然後又帶更多東北風南下,
於是,南海又有新的氣旋出現,又往台灣而來,
如此一來,
可能有好長一段時間會沒完沒了,
不成氣候的氣旋一個接一個;真是特別的梅雨季呀。
(以上供參囉)
--
追加的這一劑東北季風果然大氣環境就變了樣,
原因當然是東北季風出任務,竟然驅趕南海北部西南季風的建立,
南海北部變成東北風,但南海南部依舊是想要爆發的西南季風,
於是東北風繼續與西南風相遇,鋒面高空秀變成了氣旋地面秀,
與其說未來一週的梅雨,
不如說,手牽手,望著天,看氣旋一顆兩顆三顆四顆連成線。
目前南海中部一顆氣旋正在旋轉,儘管海溫環境不錯,
但高空西風帶尚未北移,容易受西風槽牽引進入惡劣的垂直風切環境,
模式預報未來一週,對夏季系統而言,就是東北季風帶來的後遺症;
一顆顆不成氣候的氣旋往台灣通過,
要到下一個鋒面南下,屆時中緯度系統引發南海西南季風爆發。
目前來看要等8~9天以後了。
但不管是不成氣候的氣旋秀或是下一波鋒面回到梅雨高空秀+南海西南季風爆發;
相同的是,
太平洋高壓都很弱,台灣天氣只有"相對穩定"和"容易下雨",
相對穩定是氣旋與氣旋中間的過渡區,容易下雨當然是氣旋影響了。
值得注意的是,由於氣旋到台灣時,也會逐漸變性為溫帶氣旋,
氣旋擴大,旋臂變成鋒面,然後又帶更多東北風南下,
於是,南海又有新的氣旋出現,又往台灣而來,
如此一來,
可能有好長一段時間會沒完沒了,
不成氣候的氣旋一個接一個;真是特別的梅雨季呀。
(以上供參囉)
--
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