天氣小觀:東北季風狂,漸入季秋涼 - 颱風討論
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-10-04T19:21
at 2022-10-04T19:21
Table of Contents
文人之秋,思念之情,明午後~晚間起,全台各地就在東北季風的一連吹襲下,
基隆:秋風颯颯,雨落成詩,點點滴滴敲打著窗外楓香,紫薇落花飄,天涯藐藐,地角悠悠。
台北:回憶湧現,在一個秋雨連綿的天氣裡,杜鵑的浪漫都化在雨,榕樹早已扶不住柔情。
桃園:狂風吹落桃樹花,我自多情拾芬芳,落花有意隨流水,流水無情戀落花。
台中:五葉松鬱鬱蔥蔥,緋寒櫻稀稀落落,永劫回歸,生命中不能承受之輕。
台南:深夜秋風掃鳳凰,不見蝴蝶入蘭芳,古云長風破浪會有時,直掛雲帆濟滄海。
高雄:春棉紅蕊秋棉雪,夏棉蒼翠冬棉缺;百花秋月涼風雪,若無閒事掛心頭,便是人間好時
節。
1032百帕蒙古冷高壓已經南下中,冷鋒快速壓到東海,
明天清晨接近台灣北部海面,受暖空氣勢力阻擋下,
大約要到明天中午才會抵達北台灣,不過冷空氣主力還卡在華北平原,
因此東亞沿海而下抵達台灣的涼空氣受暖海影響就很明顯。
也由於冷高壓南下受到一些阻礙,
明天走海路從渤海直下的東北季風風速不夠強,溫度降溫幅度不大,
但這一波冷高壓影響時間卻會拖很長,
因為冷高壓主中心往南受阻情況下,
直接從華北往東移日本海,
因此冷高壓主中心變性就不會太明顯,東北季風一直吹,
當然就不會有回南風暖起來。
下週再一個1040百帕的蒙古冷高壓南下,有了這次的打底,
下週的冷高壓中心南下較為順利,台灣降溫會更明顯些。
值得注意的是,
模式週六起,東北季風的輻合重雨區會落在東北部再次延伸到東部,
這是因為原先台灣高空的太平洋高壓勢力開始被迫調整,
台灣東部近海出現反氣旋輻散場,受台灣高聳地形影響,氣流從花蓮往宜蘭加速,
於是,
1.
低層急流(地面)的左前方:東北風到東北東風,=> 左前方為台灣東北部、東部。
(冷高壓東移日本海,東北季風為偏東北方的"東北風到東北東風"左前方台灣東北部)
2.
高層急流(大氣中低層)的右後方:從花蓮往宜蘭的反氣旋輻散
=> 右後方為台灣東北部、東部
在1&2高低空搭配下,就有容易有強降雨發生的機率了。
再來就是看南方受東北季風南下後,地面秀發展起來的氣旋擾動情況了。
(以上供參囉)
--
基隆:秋風颯颯,雨落成詩,點點滴滴敲打著窗外楓香,紫薇落花飄,天涯藐藐,地角悠悠。
台北:回憶湧現,在一個秋雨連綿的天氣裡,杜鵑的浪漫都化在雨,榕樹早已扶不住柔情。
桃園:狂風吹落桃樹花,我自多情拾芬芳,落花有意隨流水,流水無情戀落花。
台中:五葉松鬱鬱蔥蔥,緋寒櫻稀稀落落,永劫回歸,生命中不能承受之輕。
台南:深夜秋風掃鳳凰,不見蝴蝶入蘭芳,古云長風破浪會有時,直掛雲帆濟滄海。
高雄:春棉紅蕊秋棉雪,夏棉蒼翠冬棉缺;百花秋月涼風雪,若無閒事掛心頭,便是人間好時
節。
1032百帕蒙古冷高壓已經南下中,冷鋒快速壓到東海,
明天清晨接近台灣北部海面,受暖空氣勢力阻擋下,
大約要到明天中午才會抵達北台灣,不過冷空氣主力還卡在華北平原,
因此東亞沿海而下抵達台灣的涼空氣受暖海影響就很明顯。
也由於冷高壓南下受到一些阻礙,
明天走海路從渤海直下的東北季風風速不夠強,溫度降溫幅度不大,
但這一波冷高壓影響時間卻會拖很長,
因為冷高壓主中心往南受阻情況下,
直接從華北往東移日本海,
因此冷高壓主中心變性就不會太明顯,東北季風一直吹,
當然就不會有回南風暖起來。
下週再一個1040百帕的蒙古冷高壓南下,有了這次的打底,
下週的冷高壓中心南下較為順利,台灣降溫會更明顯些。
值得注意的是,
模式週六起,東北季風的輻合重雨區會落在東北部再次延伸到東部,
這是因為原先台灣高空的太平洋高壓勢力開始被迫調整,
台灣東部近海出現反氣旋輻散場,受台灣高聳地形影響,氣流從花蓮往宜蘭加速,
於是,
1.
低層急流(地面)的左前方:東北風到東北東風,=> 左前方為台灣東北部、東部。
(冷高壓東移日本海,東北季風為偏東北方的"東北風到東北東風"左前方台灣東北部)
2.
高層急流(大氣中低層)的右後方:從花蓮往宜蘭的反氣旋輻散
=> 右後方為台灣東北部、東部
在1&2高低空搭配下,就有容易有強降雨發生的機率了。
再來就是看南方受東北季風南下後,地面秀發展起來的氣旋擾動情況了。
(以上供參囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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