天氣速觀:距東北季風登場不到24小時 - 颱風討論
By Quanna
at 2021-10-15T20:34
at 2021-10-15T20:34
Table of Contents
今晚起蒙古冷高壓加速南下了,明天入夜後東北季風就報到了,
而且,
模式預報未來一週連續3個蒙古冷高壓南下,
如果是在隆冬根本是大寒流了;
從500百帕高空場5760gpm一口氣壓到北緯30度,
冷氣團從今天白天東北亞,明晚直探北緯30度以南的東亞內陸。
台灣有暖海,冷暖大戰當然就直接開打了;
預報,
第一波蒙古冷高壓今晚開始南下,下星期一從江蘇出海;
第二波蒙古冷高壓下星期二南下,下星期三減弱;
第三波蒙古冷高壓下星期四南下,下星期天從江蘇出海。
因此,
北台灣除了下星期三~四會有點熱以外,其他時間看來都很涼爽了。
值得注意的是,
儘管這次冬季系統攻勢兇猛,但剛好就是北極尚未結冰的海域
因此,可以期待北極海冰大幅增加了。
降雨的話就不用說了,高空轉西風帶後,
高層噴流-西風噴流的右後方就落在台灣北部、東北部;
低層噴流-東北季風的左前方就落在台灣東北部。
重雨區-苦主當然就是北宜了。
結論:
冬季系統的大反撲會很精采,模式預報台灣海峽陣風可能出現11級暴風。
因此西部沿海要坐穩囉。
(快速說說囉)
--
而且,
模式預報未來一週連續3個蒙古冷高壓南下,
如果是在隆冬根本是大寒流了;
從500百帕高空場5760gpm一口氣壓到北緯30度,
冷氣團從今天白天東北亞,明晚直探北緯30度以南的東亞內陸。
台灣有暖海,冷暖大戰當然就直接開打了;
預報,
第一波蒙古冷高壓今晚開始南下,下星期一從江蘇出海;
第二波蒙古冷高壓下星期二南下,下星期三減弱;
第三波蒙古冷高壓下星期四南下,下星期天從江蘇出海。
因此,
北台灣除了下星期三~四會有點熱以外,其他時間看來都很涼爽了。
值得注意的是,
儘管這次冬季系統攻勢兇猛,但剛好就是北極尚未結冰的海域
因此,可以期待北極海冰大幅增加了。
降雨的話就不用說了,高空轉西風帶後,
高層噴流-西風噴流的右後方就落在台灣北部、東北部;
低層噴流-東北季風的左前方就落在台灣東北部。
重雨區-苦主當然就是北宜了。
結論:
冬季系統的大反撲會很精采,模式預報台灣海峽陣風可能出現11級暴風。
因此西部沿海要坐穩囉。
(快速說說囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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