天氣速觀:酷夏突然沒了,微弱鋒面接近 - 颱風討論
By Ula
at 2021-08-17T08:23
at 2021-08-17T08:23
Table of Contents
生活之夏,有點不生活了;
原本看來 酷夏 => 墨鏡 => 大太陽 => 酷夏 (不是期望 酷夏 => 熱浪 => 煉獄)
但,
現在有了奇妙變化。
模式預報明天微弱鋒面接近,封面雲雨帶往台灣北部壓,台灣天氣有些不穩定
模式認為冷暖空氣交戰在北部沿海,但"一度"交戰區會來到台灣海峽北部,
如果真的進到台灣就變成:首波鋒面報到了,難道立秋過後,台灣也立秋了
不過,冷高壓很快東移,冷空氣減弱;因此明天一天鋒面接近,後天就東移了。
很快會恢復
模式顯示未來一週,鋒面一道道南下東亞,但就屬這道鋒面會接近台灣;
這表示冬季系統很積極的甦醒了(伸手伸腳伸懶腰)。
由於中亞有阻塞高壓出現,未來一週第一波強冷空氣也要南下蒙古,西伯利亞-蒙古秋天的開始,
到了冬季,這裡會變成冬季系統的指揮中心。
再看夏季系統,
太平洋高壓正逐漸偏西調整,南亞高壓也不甘示弱地向東伸,
由於MJO移往印度洋,下沉區落到西北太平洋,這有利太平洋高壓增強,但抑制了季風槽。
不過爭氣的東風波動一個接一個,
模式顯示,關島16W接近菲律賓後會再帶出一個新的熱帶擾動,
同時後續隨著擾動發展,再接上西南季風,因此,下週以後熱帶海洋的精采可期。
當然了,
東亞則變成冷暖相遇區了。
至於台灣,由於今年的大氣環境看來,就會在冬季系統一波波的攻擊下進入9月秋季
因此,太平洋高壓中心直接壟罩台灣的機率微乎其微,
難得今年七八月少見熱浪了。
(快速說說囉)
--
原本看來 酷夏 => 墨鏡 => 大太陽 => 酷夏 (不是期望 酷夏 => 熱浪 => 煉獄)
但,
現在有了奇妙變化。
模式預報明天微弱鋒面接近,封面雲雨帶往台灣北部壓,台灣天氣有些不穩定
模式認為冷暖空氣交戰在北部沿海,但"一度"交戰區會來到台灣海峽北部,
如果真的進到台灣就變成:首波鋒面報到了,難道立秋過後,台灣也立秋了
不過,冷高壓很快東移,冷空氣減弱;因此明天一天鋒面接近,後天就東移了。
很快會恢復
模式顯示未來一週,鋒面一道道南下東亞,但就屬這道鋒面會接近台灣;
這表示冬季系統很積極的甦醒了(伸手伸腳伸懶腰)。
由於中亞有阻塞高壓出現,未來一週第一波強冷空氣也要南下蒙古,西伯利亞-蒙古秋天的開始,
到了冬季,這裡會變成冬季系統的指揮中心。
再看夏季系統,
太平洋高壓正逐漸偏西調整,南亞高壓也不甘示弱地向東伸,
由於MJO移往印度洋,下沉區落到西北太平洋,這有利太平洋高壓增強,但抑制了季風槽。
不過爭氣的東風波動一個接一個,
模式顯示,關島16W接近菲律賓後會再帶出一個新的熱帶擾動,
同時後續隨著擾動發展,再接上西南季風,因此,下週以後熱帶海洋的精采可期。
當然了,
東亞則變成冷暖相遇區了。
至於台灣,由於今年的大氣環境看來,就會在冬季系統一波波的攻擊下進入9月秋季
因此,太平洋高壓中心直接壟罩台灣的機率微乎其微,
難得今年七八月少見熱浪了。
(快速說說囉)
--
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