18W 生成 - 颱風討論

By Annie
at 2021-09-06T09:49

Table of Contents

95W 升格 18W了

JTWC第1報

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/052251ZSEP2021
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 127.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 127.5E

https://i.imgur.com/8wl9K0K.gif

EC系集:https://i.imgur.com/WgsriQe.png

GFS系集:https://i.imgur.com/1inOUqp.png

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Noah
at 2021-09-08T01:39

94系集:https://i.imgur.com/cZJTUQl.png

By William
at 2021-09-09T17:30

路徑看來應該不會影響台灣吧?

By Skylar Davis
at 2021-09-11T09:21

但是有沒有可能帶來雨量的灌住?現在都沒西南風了.

By Frederic
at 2021-09-13T01:12

94W CWB路徑:https://i.imgur.com/aG2FRF0.png

By James
at 2021-09-14T17:03

CWB 不看好 94W

By Linda
at 2021-09-16T08:53

九月結束前水庫裝滿最好畢竟弱反聖嬰還是有機會

By Annie
at 2021-09-18T00:44

干擾春雨

By Harry
at 2021-09-19T16:35

希望石門水庫到月底時還有100%~~

By Edwina
at 2021-09-21T08:26

CWB的強度預測怎麼跟兩大數值差這麼多?

By Lauren
at 2021-09-23T00:16

今年怎麼都搞這種二隻三隻一起亂的情況

By Aaliyah
at 2021-09-24T16:07

照JTWC的路徑,18W真的可以活著離開呂宋島嗎?

By Harry
at 2021-09-26T07:58

考驗各單位颱風預報能力的一年，今年各單位功力大增
應該說經驗值大增

By Isla
at 2021-09-27T23:49

它會不會碰呂宋島可能還要觀察，照大j走法一定重傷

By Hazel
at 2021-09-29T15:39

已經在卷眼了發展的好快！

By Damian
at 2021-10-01T07:30

https://i.imgur.com/Zocngp3.gif

By Zanna
at 2021-10-02T23:21

石門水庫集水區一直有在下雨一直99%

By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-10-04T15:12

GFS調弱94W，調強18W

By Franklin
at 2021-10-06T07:03

GFS 00Z直接放棄94W發展

By Selena
at 2021-10-07T22:53

18W調強導致94W調弱偏西

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-10-09T14:44

鯉魚潭+德基9月底補滿就好畢竟中部是乾濕最明顯的

By Necoo
at 2021-10-11T06:35

區域

By Catherine
at 2021-10-12T22:26

不過這兩天發現烏山頭水量掉的好快

By Anonymous
at 2021-10-14T14:16

這樣也是好事，台灣目前不能再承受颱風的暴雨

By Delia
at 2021-10-16T06:07

18W也是有可能爬上來，一報一改，慢慢觀察

By Hedy
at 2021-10-17T21:58

18W太扯了已經有疑似眼牆結構了

By Delia
at 2021-10-19T13:49

也難怪GFS報94W被它活活壓死

By Hedda
at 2021-10-21T05:39

http://i.imgur.com/KLeyPK9.jpg

By Jacky
at 2021-10-22T21:30

18w才一個早上發展神速www

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-10-24T13:21

那個位置常發展神速，之前颱風走到那也常爆發

By Ingrid
at 2021-10-26T05:12

真的瞬息萬變

By Frederic
at 2021-10-27T21:02

然後，南海的是不是準備要轉起來？

By Quintina
at 2021-10-29T12:53

眼睛很明顯

By Mason
at 2021-10-31T04:44

2021西北太風季看來終於要有點樣子了

By Selena
at 2021-11-01T20:35

應該ACE很少，影響不大

By Belly
at 2021-11-03T12:26

http://i.imgur.com/fCocw2f.jpg

By Yedda
at 2021-11-05T04:16

EC初始場18W明顯過弱，94W偏強

By Andrew
at 2021-11-06T20:07

高空輻散和流出是否特別好…？實在太猛

By Elvira
at 2021-11-08T11:58

https://i.imgur.com/JmfXmCa.gif 風切微弱

By Elvira
at 2021-11-10T03:49

https://i.imgur.com/sie9nfu.gif 輻散不錯

By Agnes
at 2021-11-11T19:39

雖然超車發展不過他離陸地很近

By David
at 2021-11-13T11:30

輻散沒有因為94W而受限制,完全打臉JTWC @@

By Zenobia
at 2021-11-15T03:21

如果提早登陸薩馬島到時又會有變化
突然想到去看的天鵝跟閃電 ww

By Doris
at 2021-11-16T19:12

ec這報就是18w登陸發展受限讓94w趁機發展起來了

By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-11-18T11:02

去年

By Iris
at 2021-11-20T02:53

EC這報的94W非常西

By Elvira
at 2021-11-21T18:44

不過根本沒有模式有抓到18W吧 GFS也是沒有抓到，實
在太小隻模式解析度跟不上了

By Zora
at 2021-11-23T10:35

https://i.imgur.com/w1pUfYS.png GFS 06 00Z

By Daph Bay
at 2021-11-25T02:26

風場掃描已經有幾根35kt了等等JMA會不會直接跳
過GW給名呢

By Selena
at 2021-11-26T18:16

EC的94W要撞進來了?

By Audriana
at 2021-11-28T10:07

真的變化太快，換成EC看好94w

By Jacob
at 2021-11-30T01:58

18w如果早一點撞菲，94w的發展就不會受限

By Brianna
at 2021-12-01T17:49

不對 EC這報這麼近的距離可以有兩個950的TC嗎ww

By Thomas
at 2021-12-03T09:39

結果沒進來家門口急轉彎

By Irma
at 2021-12-05T01:30

EC這報東部海面直接轉上去

By Kama
at 2021-12-06T17:21

EC這個不就2016馬勒卡XD

By Sierra Rose
at 2021-12-08T09:12

帶狀高壓果然撐不住

By Donna
at 2021-12-10T01:02

9月8日路徑才會明朗，因為數值大概要三天前才能確定
槽線的變化

By Emma
at 2021-12-11T16:53

跟18w在南海重新發展也有關係吧
直接一個彈上去

By Genevieve
at 2021-12-13T08:44

有
如果沒有南海18W 不會那麼快就北上去

By Blanche
at 2021-12-15T00:35

結果EC本報登陸台灣

By Emily
at 2021-12-16T16:25

兩個系統互相牽制再等幾天再看XD

By Carolina Franco
at 2021-12-18T08:16

副高也增強太快了吧XD

By Anonymous
at 2021-12-20T00:07

副高就突然發瘋了

By Agnes
at 2021-12-21T15:58

很像上次，但又不可能一樣，這就是天氣變化莫測!?

By Ina
at 2021-12-23T07:49

二個之間的消長差一點結果就差很多，今年真有趣

By Hardy
at 2021-12-24T23:39

18w如果撞陸，94w就可能快速發展，但18w也有可能北

By Gilbert
at 2021-12-26T15:30

副高突然發飆還是等系集吧

By Necoo
at 2021-12-28T07:21

北西而沒撞陸，那又是不同世界了，繼續看戲

By Ethan
at 2021-12-29T23:12

如果槽線北收，太平洋高壓就會和陸地高壓連結在一起
，形成像18山竹那樣的高壓壩

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-12-31T15:02

這報也太歡樂了吧XD

By Eartha
at 2022-01-02T06:53

EC這報很像尼莎

By Rebecca
at 2022-01-04T17:42

今天晚上媒體又會恐來恐去了@@

By Wallis
at 2022-01-06T09:33

穩定的錯啦

By Faithe
at 2022-01-08T01:24

隔壁棚的Larry開了個巨眼 ~~最愛破爛巨眼颱了

By Hedda
at 2022-01-09T17:15

Larry要變環狀熱帶氣旋了

By Charlie
at 2022-01-11T09:05

副高又開始亂入了

By Valerie
at 2022-01-13T00:56

JTWC 第2報給18W 40KTS的強度評價

By Dinah
at 2022-01-14T16:47

不用今天其實上個禮拜就有新聞在恐了XD

By Andrew
at 2022-01-16T08:38

哈欠…

By Callum
at 2022-01-18T00:28

https://i.imgur.com/y8MOCRH.jpg

By Susan
at 2022-01-19T16:19

コンソン

By Una
at 2022-01-21T08:10

可以再開新的了，18W升格康森

By Rachel
at 2022-01-23T00:01

週末颱又要來了嗎

By Irma
at 2022-01-24T15:51

這個周末要上班

By George
at 2022-01-26T07:42

http://i.imgur.com/etiFFhI.jpg

By Kumar
at 2022-01-27T23:33

又剛好挑星期天放假的時候來喔

By Adele
at 2022-01-29T15:24

typhoon2000.ph那邊加上燦樹了耶，是19W？

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-01-31T07:14

19w(準燦樹)應該是沒意外

By Anonymous
at 2022-02-01T23:05

https://i.imgur.com/c1UW68F.gif

18W 生成 - 颱風討論

All Comments

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