2114 璨樹 - 颱風討論

Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-09-09T21:47

Table of Contents

海上警報前最後一次更新(?)

JTWC 第14報

Typhoon CHANTHU

As of 12:00 UTC Sep 09, 2021:

Location: 16.1°N 126.0°E

Maximum Winds: 120 kt Gusts: N/A (還是C4)

Minimum Central Pressure: 942 mb

JTWC 路徑圖: https://i.imgur.com/umpArup.gif

EC 09 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/0Www73N.png

https://i.imgur.com/tqPvW6X.png

GFS 09 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/2wPpExN.png

風切圖: https://i.imgur.com/tTuMydg.gif

輻散圖: https://i.imgur.com/zwNxOCP.gif

OHC圖: https://i.imgur.com/MLirp7A.gif (待更新)

璨樹: https://i.imgur.com/zPngu7v.gif

96W 的系集 (EC、GFS系集都不看好 96W)

EC 09 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/Fvst1O9.png

GFS 09 06Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/1iZyC3L.png

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2021-09-11T02:18
花東派站出來
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2021-09-12T06:50
幾乎可以確定不會來了,大家散了吧。
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2021-09-13T11:21
登陸的機會大嗎?
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2021-09-14T15:52
日本路徑: https://i.imgur.com/fkI0tYR.jpg
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2021-09-15T20:23
還很難確定會不會來吧
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2021-09-17T00:54
唉唉週日颱
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2021-09-18T05:25
笑死,一路向東,這兩天高潮噴的水都要比璨樹的降雨
量還多了吧。
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2021-09-19T09:57
到底怎麼幾乎確定的啊??
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-09-20T14:28
目前CWB跟EC都預測登陸,那裡不會來了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2021-09-21T18:59
24小時過去系集和機構的誤差圈還是沒明顯縮小
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2021-09-22T23:30
神都已經開示了 都沒在聽XD
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-09-24T04:01
這次好像日本氣象廳預測比較準一點
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2021-09-25T08:33
又不是等差級數
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2021-09-26T13:04
宜蘭和花蓮哪個縣市登陸的機會比較高?
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2021-09-27T17:35
CWB預測會登陸代表會來?看來你不太了解CWB。
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-09-28T22:06
宜蘭比較高
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2021-09-30T02:37
北部開始受環流影響了
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2021-10-01T07:08
不太表會來也不代表不會來啊
代表
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2021-10-02T11:40
如果神開示就要跟他的信徒一樣盲目相信
那以後也不用討論 看他開金口(挑時機挑模式念)就好
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2021-10-03T16:11
aegis43210 謝謝您
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2021-10-04T20:42
如果這樣就能幾乎確定,那應該可以寫個論文...
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2021-10-06T01:13
還神勒
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-10-07T05:44
我覺得還沒定案,開始北上可能是關鍵,目前還是明
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2021-10-08T10:16
CWB擴大半徑至180KM
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2021-10-09T14:47
顯偏西走
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2021-10-10T19:18
大概又要閃過了
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2021-10-11T23:49
也太快影響了吧agh386690 這應該連外圍環流都還不是
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2021-10-13T04:20
北上角度或是弧度的確是這次的關鍵
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2021-10-14T08:52
這應該還不是環流吧
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2021-10-15T13:23
台灣颱風論壇現在也是用EC路徑來講解啊,但如果今
天偏西一點再北上也有可能影響不同啊
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2021-10-16T17:54
只要在偏西個24小時再往北偏 大概就篤定登陸了
目前就看它能撐多久才北偏
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-10-17T22:25
離週六晚剩48小時,或許還有變數
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2021-10-19T02:56
我只知道明天會很熱鬧
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2021-10-20T07:27
引戰的可以桶了roka
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2021-10-21T11:59
cwb的預測是10號早上8點就開始北偏北北西
所以大概在10小時就可以看是否出現北偏
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2021-10-22T16:30
穩有兩種
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2021-10-23T21:01
若跑快一點也能讓登錄機率增加
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2021-10-25T01:32
越往北偏登陸影響機率就提高
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2021-10-26T06:03
會不會勾到菲律賓東北角 又偏西...
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2021-10-27T10:35
就是觀察明早08會否如CWB預測往北
如果到明晚才北北西 就很篤定了
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2021-10-28T15:06
要看明天開北偏角度有沒有更大
不然目前為止走的是系集較南的路徑
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2021-10-29T19:37
登陸偏西最後還是會補償回去原路徑
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2021-10-31T00:08
偏北分量不夠的話看起來會撞到菲律賓東北角
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2021-11-01T04:39
roka可以桶了吧
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2021-11-02T09:10
明晚才北北西就表示西部縱走有機會了?
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2021-11-03T13:42
那roka很會看圖分析欸 嘻嘻
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2021-11-04T18:13
就說明天晚上再看了,不用急
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2021-11-05T22:44
明晚才北北西應該是登陸機率最高的
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2021-11-07T03:15
該不會又要閃了XD
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2021-11-08T07:46
不客氣
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-11-09T12:18
路線系集還在天女散花,是那裡確定
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2021-11-10T16:49
不過CWB預測08是明早就開始北北西了
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2021-11-11T21:20
目前走的路徑與系集平均還是蠻接近的
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2021-11-13T01:51
以前好像看過撞菲東北,然後偏西幾小時後直接轉東
北的,撞菲對路徑長期影響不大
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-11-14T06:22
應該還是要觀察何時轉北
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-11-15T10:53
照EC06Z的系集平均來說現在應該要開始穩定西北了
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2021-11-16T15:25
目前預測的是轉北的角度都蠻大的 北北西去了
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-11-17T19:56
CWB也是大幅東修
https://i.imgur.com/EYHVi1P.png
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2021-11-19T00:27
也就是目前往西走越多,北上就越靠近本島
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2021-11-20T04:58
如果是2016年前 現在都在防颱了吧xd 還在搞路徑xd
現在感覺都可以等到前24小時在防颱即可xd
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2021-11-21T09:29
我覺得cwb只是分二、三次修而已, 跟jma一次修足不
一樣
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2021-11-22T14:01
但目前比EC決定性預報走的還快
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2021-11-23T18:32
就算中心不登陸 不代表暴風圈不影響啊 尤其是北部
跟東部還是要做好防颱準備
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2021-11-24T23:03
以前這時候新聞都在報防颱了... 現在還在吵路徑
David avatar
By David
at 2021-11-26T03:34
其實沒有啦,這種會北轉的颱風,以前就很難報了
這二年是少了那種七、八月,馳流場穩定西行進來的颱
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2021-11-27T08:05
大幅?略東修吧,誤差圈還是很大
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2021-11-28T12:36
如果走CWB的路線 台北風會多大阿?
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-11-29T17:08
所以等一下11點30要發布海上警報嗎?
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2021-11-30T21:39
風,至於這種進入九月會遇到高壓弱點或槽線的,以前
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-12-02T02:10
以前北轉颱也是有很好報的 這兩年是忽東忽西的
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2021-12-03T06:41
就很難報了
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-12-04T11:12
誰叫太平洋高壓這幾年7.8月很想嘗試當北極高壓XD
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2021-12-05T15:44
我是覺得這兩三年沒以前北轉颱那麼快速得知
今年還有24小時決勝負的xd
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-12-06T20:15
CWB路線,台北至少11級陣風
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2021-12-08T00:46
那也要角度對才能吹到11級
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2021-12-09T05:17
垂直上去的角度台北應該吹不到G11
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2021-12-10T09:48
而且中度颱風以上登陸一定會出現的web大又還沒發言
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2021-12-11T14:19
我覺得這顆也是24小時決勝負
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2021-12-12T18:51
大J不再上望三巔…
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-12-13T23:22
說不定會變成白鹿跟閃電那樣逐時決戰w
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2021-12-15T03:53
明天就90度北轉直接沒事吧
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2021-12-16T08:24
預計明天清晨發布海上颱風警報,下午發陸警。
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2021-12-17T12:55
目前與GFS預報的更接近,但模式都明顯預報偏慢
EC更是慢不少
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2021-12-18T17:27
https://i.imgur.com/XFOYiFX.jpg
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2021-12-19T21:58
JTWC這樣走的路徑,西側的強風應該很快就磨光了
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2021-12-21T02:29
給我再往東邊一點啦!不要來台灣!!!!!
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2021-12-22T07:00
近一小時還是西偏西北西 如果撞菲東北角就會小傷了
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-12-23T11:31
https://i.imgur.com/MaenLFK.gif
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2021-12-24T16:03
撞菲機率應該是不高了 反而要注意轉北時間點
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2021-12-25T20:34
老J看差巔峰很正常
以往他們對置換颱風的強度預測都不友善
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2021-12-27T01:05
幾點海警?
Una avatar
By Una
at 2021-12-28T05:36
撞不到呂宋島的,放心,現在主流數值都很強,24hr內
誤差很小
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2021-12-29T10:07
目前12小時EC誤差就50公里了,比預報偏西很多
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2021-12-30T14:38
鬼斯可愛
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-12-31T19:10
速度是變慢嗎 還變快
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-01-01T23:41
拜託96w再撐一下
讓西分量再多點
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-01-03T04:12
那希望24小時誤差不要超過70km了;;;
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-01-04T08:43
機構數值現在有點追著颱風跑的意思
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-01-05T13:14
96W加油啊
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-01-06T17:46
EC這報又西回來一點
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-01-07T22:17
風神定律又要搬出來了 XDDD
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-01-09T02:48
如果沿東海岸北上,西側一下子就爛掉了
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-01-10T07:19
中心貼著東部沿海北上很難不被河口吸引 如果因此登
陸台北風力應該有10級起跳 仍要看實際登陸點在哪
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-01-11T11:50
能誤差到偏西超過100km最好
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-01-12T16:21
超過100km最好+1
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-01-13T20:53
他其實走西部對他最無傷
走東部,可能到北部海面就只剩輕颱
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-01-15T01:24
話說看雲圖 康森跟96w根本就燦樹的左右護法xd
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-01-16T05:55
96w看起來應該會被燦樹給撕裂死翹翹吧 雲系開始變差
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-01-17T10:26
反正是週日來沒放假 希望偏東降低損失
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-01-18T14:57
所以希望他多撐一下在死掉xd
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-01-19T19:29
HRES47r2的24hr誤差如果到100KM...,那真的應該快點
升級了
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-01-21T00:00
話說宜蘭基隆東邊開始有水氣進來啦
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-01-22T04:31
也算死得其所了
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-01-23T09:02
這幾小時明顯變慢了 接下來看角度
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-01-24T13:33
請問去金門會有危險嗎?非常謝謝
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-01-25T18:04
金門應該沒啥事
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-01-26T22:36
來台灣來台灣 好久沒颱風來了
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-01-28T03:07
金門應該不太影響
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-01-29T07:38
看雲圖沒變慢啊
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-01-30T12:09
https://i.imgur.com/zrAaA0u.jpg
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-01-31T16:40
風場稍微擴大一些了
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-02-01T21:12
金門應該沒事,重點是松山飛不飛啊XD
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-02-03T01:43
現在金門班機也不多,也是要考慮的因素
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-02-04T06:14
好久沒這麼美的颱風了
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-02-05T10:45
準備要開眼 這次眼鏡比較大了
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-02-06T15:16
https://reurl.cc/n5VkNv
https://i.imgur.com/kASg6na.gif 200-700的
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-02-07T19:47
這颱風這麼小 北部也不見得10級風啦
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-02-09T00:19
希望變大眼妹xd
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-02-10T04:50
即使沒登陸距離近的話10級風基隆還是有機會
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-02-11T09:21
後面北上速度放慢不知道是不是卡鞍
William avatar
By William
at 2022-02-12T13:52
現在路線台北幾乎一定11、12級風吧
但再東偏的話可能就沒了
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-02-13T18:23
上來途中還會繼續增肥
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-02-14T22:55
快吸入大量西南季風 就能越來越肥了xd
最好連96W跟康森一起納入xd
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-02-16T03:26
現在這路徑跟納坦超像
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-02-17T07:57
納坦都能12 這個能登陸一定更高
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-02-18T12:28
納坦還有速度加乘 其實它強度也不弱
我記得納坦有到940百怕
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-02-19T16:59
東修派站出來!
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-02-20T21:30
納坦巔峰有c3的樣子
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-02-22T02:02
945百怕 更正一下應該是這個數值
納坦就是轉向沒有減速的例子之一
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-02-23T06:33
單看氣壓不對啦 我是覺得能更高
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-02-24T11:04
納坦當初轉北完全沒減速就上去了
速度加成風速
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-02-25T15:35
但納坦暴風半徑大很多
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-02-26T20:06
看登陸前能不能被吸 我記得薔蜜登陸前飆車
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-02-28T00:38
天氣之子又來囉
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-03-01T05:09
不過很意外當時納坦半徑有給到250 因為看起來超小
隻 哈哈
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-03-02T09:40
被吸進去最明顯的應該是12年蘇拉
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-03-03T14:11
納坦其實範圍沒那麼大 2004 CWB好幾颱風半徑都...
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-03-04T18:42
一定轉走
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-03-05T23:14
剛才腦中飄了蘇xx颱風 忘了蘇拉
卡鞍速度慢 地形就很重要了
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-03-07T03:45
CWB風季 CWB給的好幾個颱風半徑範圍都很迷
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-03-08T08:16
07柯羅莎好像也是被吸進去的
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-03-09T12:47
是不是有人要進桶了XD
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-03-10T17:18
現在看雲圖 其實7級風圈半徑應該是可以給200
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-03-11T21:49
2004 陶卡基給200 納坦給250...
自己看陶卡基就知道給200有多迷了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-03-13T02:21
哈哈 很誇張欸 陶卡基我有印象 衛星雲圖上看起來超
大隻
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-03-14T06:52
為啥我看颱風資料庫的納坦衛星雲圖怪怪的啊
George avatar
By George
at 2022-03-15T11:23
台灣東西寬不過100+ km 偏一點結果截然不同
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-03-16T15:54
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-03-17T20:25
啊啊沒有,因為跟前一個颱風重疊XD
前面是陶卡基的
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-03-19T00:57
納坦目測200左右而已
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-03-20T05:28
那樣看更好比較兩個的大小
你就知道CWB給陶卡基200有多迷了
陶卡基當時不少風迷說至少可以給300km
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-03-21T09:59
看機動觀測 似乎開始偏北了
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-03-22T14:30
真的,感覺應該納坦跟陶卡基要反過來
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-03-23T19:01
當時濤北上的過程還讓台灣西部颳起強風
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-03-24T23:32
柯羅莎是要吸不吸抵抗很久的樣子
吸進來還是首推桃芝颱風
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-03-26T04:04
https://reurl.cc/zWy0Gy 過去3小時看來還是西北西
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-03-27T08:35
昨天到現在24小時內,路線一路從台海修到東海岸北上
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-03-28T13:06
,實在不懂還在凹颱風會來有什麼意思,唉。
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-03-29T17:37
這顆的大小東岸北上 西部是不是也很難刮起強風
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-03-30T22:08
是不是眼牆轉換完?開針眼了?
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-04-01T02:40
又開針眼?
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-04-02T07:11
大家別被激怒,不要回應就好喔
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-04-03T11:42
以目前態勢西部要刮強風就是要登陸過山
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-04-04T16:13
但目前看來登陸過山機率極低
所以這次對中南部危險是小的
登陸西部目前看來不可能啦XD
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-04-05T20:44
然後"似乎"是不是有一點點短暫往西南西跳一下?
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-04-07T01:15
西部要誇強風也可以選擇登陸西部xd
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-04-08T05:47
到底是125E會先過呢還是16.5N會先過呢
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-04-09T10:18
所以西部要飆風還是推西部大縱走路線
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-04-10T14:49
沒西南西吧 可能只是眼睛的短期擺動
西部大縱走現在難了 花蓮以北登陸機會大些
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-04-11T19:20
如果有朝西南西一陣子會怎樣
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-04-12T23:51
還不能排除西部登陸,但機會很小
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-04-14T04:23
明天股市會大漲
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-04-15T08:54
怎麼突然聊到股市
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-04-16T13:25
對 沒錯 剛剛再仔細看 的確是上下跳動
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-04-17T17:56
剛剛好像開針眼?我有看錯嗎?
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-04-18T22:27
放心,明天傳產全面反彈
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-04-20T02:58
明天會漲啦
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-04-21T07:30
颱風一來一堆鍵盤白癡都現形了 可以趕快桶一桶嗎
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-04-22T12:01
我覺得會先過125E
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-04-23T16:32
想到個人和kb板都曾經氣到被警告XD
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-04-24T21:03
現在就是平常心看待,颱風不要慢速攪冷水就可接受
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-04-26T01:34
不用生氣,看到違規推文檢舉就對了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-04-27T06:06
黑名單按下去就好啦~
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-04-28T10:37
要慶幸這次是假日來的 少了很多放假迷問放假
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2022-04-29T15:08
不然版面更亂
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-04-30T19:39
風場終於擴大了 再加40!
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-05-02T00:10
一些來鬧的推文都檢舉就好了在那引戰
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-05-03T04:41
雲圖型態好很多了欸
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-05-04T09:13
別一下西修太多,每報西修10km就好,比較有feel
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-05-05T13:44
菲律賓PAGASA https://i.imgur.com/0BHpw9S.png
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-05-06T18:15
cwb目前路徑也是接近ec西修後結果
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-05-07T22:46
風眼好像又變形了XDD
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-05-09T03:17
因為北分量也開始出現了
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-05-10T07:49
所以現在是對台灣一定有影響 但會不會登陸未知對吧~
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-05-11T12:20
給我甩在宜蘭><
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-05-12T16:51
廢物颱風
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-05-13T21:22
菲律賓 PAGASA https://i.imgur.com/P3YxOxj.png
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-05-15T01:53
JMA 00報維持差不多路徑,中心從與那國跟花蓮中通過
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-05-16T06:25
小J這一報只是更新定位 預報要等2點
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-05-17T10:56
原來如此,感謝~
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-05-18T15:27
小J的預報要台灣時間的03 09 15 21時才會更新
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-05-19T19:58
中間的都只是更新定位
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-05-21T00:29
日本為東經135度的時區 比台灣快一小時
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-05-22T05:00
廢物颱風
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-05-23T09:32
氣象局七級暴風圈升到180了
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-05-28T06:44
十級暴風圈才60
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-05-29T11:15
還是好迷你
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-05-30T15:46
看璨樹加油點能不能升到200吧
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-05-31T20:18
風眼又消失了...
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-06-02T00:49
短期要吃胖要很努力才行啊
George avatar
By George
at 2022-06-03T05:20
真的很久沒有像樣的颱風了 希望這次不要再讓人失望
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-06-04T09:51
在日本南邊的是高壓還是副高?
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-06-05T14:22
璨樹加油
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-06-06T18:53
路線看來大勢抵定,觀望秀姑巒溪口吸力如何
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-06-07T23:25
不會來了哈哈
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-06-09T03:56
還在那邊不會來了……
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-06-10T08:27
有人真的很好笑....XD
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-06-11T12:58
東海岸很多河口提供高速吸引服務
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-06-12T17:29
不用理他們拉 讓他們自己去...
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-06-13T22:01
走到風切變大的地方了 希望能安全度過
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2022-06-15T02:32
話說好像已經過125E了
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-06-16T07:03
想說怎麼風眼糊掉了
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-06-17T11:34
明天環境看起來優,風切弱又有好的輻散
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-06-18T16:05
希望可以在增強到58~60/MS
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-06-19T20:36
樓上的風速太精美以至於我不敢想像>_<
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-06-21T01:08
CWB的全球模式也修太多 從台灣東邊海面北上 摸都摸
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-06-22T05:39
不到 12Z這 一報又往西修回台灣海峽北上...
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-06-23T10:10
而且是真的會勾到菲律賓東北部的那個角
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-06-24T14:41
會不會早上起來 又全面往西修回來XDD
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-06-25T19:12
GFS中心從台東與綠島間外海通過
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-06-26T23:44
如果從台東綠島間通過 有很高機率會登陸 離陸地太
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-06-28T04:15
近了 會被河口吸進來
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-06-29T08:46
如果勾到呂宋那個角 是有可能往西拖一點
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-06-30T13:17
CWB區域數值又往東修回登陸約在北花蓮登陸
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-07-01T17:48
西
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-07-02T22:19
https://i.imgur.com/OlC2iHl.jpg
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2022-07-04T02:51
https://i.imgur.com/vwtXY1M.jpg
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-07-05T07:22
日本也往西了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-07-06T11:53
中國NMC https://i.imgur.com/ki7aIGP.png 西修
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-07-07T16:24
台灣CWB https://i.imgur.com/KK1OihF.png 東修
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-07-08T20:55
看起來真的微勾到呂宋的角了
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-07-10T01:27
準備北轉

今天下午在北部的雲

Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2021-09-09T21:11
https://i.imgur.com/GAhM5sC.jpg https://i.imgur.com/KB0Bx4V.jpg 很像整片颱風的雲 這是什麼雲? -- https://bit.ly/3zXJ9D ...

2114 璨樹

Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-09-09T15:47
JTWC 第13報 Super Typhoon CHANTHU (只剩 C4了) As of 06:00 UTC Sep 09, 2021 Location: 15.7°N 127.2°E Maximum Winds: 130 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pres ...

2114 璨樹

Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2021-09-09T09:42
JTWC 第12報 Super Typhoon CHANTHU (重返 C5榮耀) As of 00:00 UTC Sep 09, 2021: Location: 15.5°N 128.1°E Maximum Winds: 140 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pre ...

2114 璨樹

Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-09-08T21:52
JTWC 第10報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 12:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021: Location: 15.5°N 130.3°E Maximum Winds: 135 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pressure: 930 mb J ...

2114 璨樹

Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2021-09-08T16:28
JTWC 第9報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 06:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021 Location: 15.6°N 131.3°E Maximum Winds: 140 kt Gusts: N/A Minimum Central Pressure: 922 mb JTW ...