2211 軒嵐諾 - 颱風討論

By John
at 2022-08-30T15:47

Table of Contents

以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!!

以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!!

以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!! 晚安!

JTWC 第10報
C4 颱風軒嵐諾
世界協調時間 8月30號 12:00
位置:北緯 26.5度東經 133.6 度
中心氣壓: 926 百帕
中心付近最大風速: 130 KTS

JTWC預測路徑:https://i.imgur.com/8PmnaJJ.gif

EC 30 00Z 144小時系集:https://i.imgur.com/bTMGsBH.png

GFS 30 00Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/H4atrly.png

OHC圖: https://i.imgur.com/Ey7D0nD.gif (待更新)

軒嵐諾的私密照片:https://i.imgur.com/VXCihzZ.gif

軒嵐諾的星座命盤:https://i.imgur.com/PrkW9q2.png

同場加映JMA預測路徑:https://i.imgur.com/2SXtngM.jpg

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Faithe
at 2022-08-30T17:34

好美的颱風

By Elma
at 2022-08-30T19:22

難怪讓這麼多人著迷

By Brianna
at 2022-08-30T21:09

天女散花

By Ethan
at 2022-08-30T22:57

https://bit.ly/3pWNAeA

By Steve
at 2022-08-31T00:44

EC系集最西邊那條不就薇拉XDD

By Thomas
at 2022-08-31T02:31

到底勾勾要怎麼打呢

By Jack
at 2022-08-31T04:19

EC系集好像慢慢收斂了

By Linda
at 2022-08-31T06:06

氣象站是不是取材自台灣啊
戰

By Madame
at 2022-08-31T07:54

還有約一天時間給98w跑跟增強

By Faithe
at 2022-08-31T09:41

有收斂趨勢，但說不定還有翻盤機會欸

By Mary
at 2022-08-31T11:29

喔不開始收斂了nonono ~~~~

By Frederica
at 2022-08-31T13:16

強烈颱風？台灣AT力場表示：來啊

By Ethan
at 2022-08-31T15:04

不會這次剛好這麼準吧...

By Heather
at 2022-08-31T16:51

奇怪的推文增加了

By Audriana
at 2022-08-31T18:38

沖繩：.....

By Madame
at 2022-08-31T20:26

真的不來了嗎

By Enid
at 2022-08-31T22:13

ICON直接撞進來

By Megan
at 2022-09-01T00:01

ICON那不算什麼 HWRF才是真正的神劇本

By Hazel
at 2022-09-01T01:48

沒人在乎你要不要出遊

By Emily
at 2022-09-01T03:36

誰管你出不出遊= =

By Rae
at 2022-09-01T05:23

這周末(9/5 6 7)要去綠島玩水，這還有得玩嗎...?

By Linda
at 2022-09-01T07:11

如果去每個版都留言拜託颱風不要來成功機率比較高

By Audriana
at 2022-09-01T08:58

唷

By Quintina
at 2022-09-01T10:46

也許家門口就有水可以玩了

By Kelly
at 2022-09-01T12:33

推文一堆你家要做什麼關大家什麼事啊？

By Puput
at 2022-09-01T14:20

侵台的系集增加了

By Odelette
at 2022-09-01T16:08

來一下補水QQ

By Freda
at 2022-09-01T17:55

在家玩玩就好嘞

By Ivy
at 2022-09-01T19:43

基隆很需要補補水啊

By Megan
at 2022-09-01T21:30

來座一下呀手牽手一起來

By Ula
at 2022-09-01T23:18

本板不歡迎介紹個人行程

By Linda
at 2022-09-02T01:05

出遊干我屁事

By Elma
at 2022-09-02T02:53

某樓出家也不關我的事

By Lily
at 2022-09-02T04:40

怎麼每次颱風來就一堆出遊拜託的

By Rachel
at 2022-09-02T06:27

我是週五要去新莊看羅力引退賽要是延賽會崩潰QQ

By Zanna
at 2022-09-02T08:15

你家做什麼關人啥事？

By Daniel
at 2022-09-02T10:02

延賽的機率蠻大的，尤其又是新莊

By Odelette
at 2022-09-02T11:50

講真的一堆人整天希望颱風來說不希望來就不行？

By Hardy
at 2022-09-02T13:37

缺水地區補水比什麼都重要……

By David
at 2022-09-02T15:25

說不希望來可以~但是不用報告自己的行程吧~自以為是

By Poppy
at 2022-09-02T17:12

拜託颱風來給我宅在家的理由

By Doris
at 2022-09-02T19:00

當然不行這大氣版啊沒颱風來大氣版整個夏天跟關
版沒兩樣

By Isla
at 2022-09-02T20:47

這樣要來不來也不由科學論證，純粹祈願的兩邊人群，

By Anthony
at 2022-09-02T22:35

還是去八卦版吵架比較快

By Andrew
at 2022-09-03T00:22

戰這個有意義嗎???

By Anonymous
at 2022-09-03T02:09

都快沒水了出遊關我屁事

By Mia
at 2022-09-03T03:57

這個v 我哭，來補點水啊拜託

By Quintina
at 2022-09-03T05:44

為啥會這樣勾上去呢好奇

By Megan
at 2022-09-03T07:32

高壓脊向西南伸&北方槽線接近

By Megan
at 2022-09-03T09:19

好希望來哦，基隆需要補水

By Adele
at 2022-09-03T11:07

放假仔和出遊仔好久沒在大氣看到了

By Olive
at 2022-09-03T12:54

這顆真的美

By David
at 2022-09-03T14:42

好美

By Tracy
at 2022-09-03T16:29

想請教這樣外圍環流有機會補到水嗎

By Enid
at 2022-09-03T18:16

希望能靠近台灣一點，讓外圍環流帶來雨水

By Brianna
at 2022-09-03T20:04

來補水吧

By Bethany
at 2022-09-03T21:51

順便降溫

By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-03T23:39

基隆應該可以

By Olivia
at 2022-09-04T01:26

這圖，真美啊

By Irma
at 2022-09-04T03:14

這幾年颱風已經很少了結果好像還很愛挑假日來亂...

By Candice
at 2022-09-04T05:01

其實不用來就可以補水了，還是不要有災害比較好

By Una
at 2022-09-04T06:49

我也是週五要看羅力引退….可以那天剛好不下雨嗎….

By Margaret
at 2022-09-04T08:36

基隆補個水吧大哥

By Candice
at 2022-09-04T10:24

來補水過冬

By Enid
at 2022-09-04T12:11

不用緊張啦

By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-04T13:58

引退賽那天的預報降雨機率100%

By Jessica
at 2022-09-04T15:46

現在好圓喔但我還是偏愛懸臂廣的
小鋼炮不是菜

By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-04T17:33

http://i.imgur.com/CONTtl8.jpg
環境偏乾，外圍雨帶少，應該可以維持一段時間都不置
換

By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-04T19:21

https://i.imgur.com/feP5HQX.jpg

By Donna
at 2022-09-04T21:08

底層還是穩穩的真的超強

By Frederica
at 2022-09-04T22:56

這幾乎尖的轉角還是不太實際…

By Joseph
at 2022-09-05T00:43

應該能跟一些155的頂級守門員比
可惜小環流配小眼沒飛機就是吃虧

By Enid
at 2022-09-05T02:31

是不是有人推文被刪了？
這板可以刪推文嗎？

By Margaret
at 2022-09-05T04:18

這轉彎夾了快45度角，第一次看到

By Irma
at 2022-09-05T06:05

今年唯一一顆

By Kumar
at 2022-09-05T07:53

這轉角超大

By Frederica
at 2022-09-05T09:40

但基隆看起來這路徑補得到水還不錯

By Anonymous
at 2022-09-05T11:28

http://i.imgur.com/BYUdiGF.jpg

By Odelette
at 2022-09-05T13:15

http://i.imgur.com/QQ9AiYe.jpg

By Christine
at 2022-09-05T15:03

這個密度……

By Doris
at 2022-09-05T16:50

真‧小鋼砲

By Jake
at 2022-09-05T18:38

終於看到一個比較有破壞力的颱風了

By Hedy
at 2022-09-05T20:25

https://imgur.com/nXFr3EW GEFS 06Z

By Erin
at 2022-09-05T22:13

那個角度到底是什麼鬼

By Gilbert
at 2022-09-06T00:00

這底層真完美

By Jacob
at 2022-09-06T01:47

上面的好像又更偏臺灣一些
但這系集仍然是偏散

By Robert
at 2022-09-06T03:35

如果半徑能上280，海警機率就很大了

By George
at 2022-09-06T05:22

280要吃掉98W才會有吧

By Cara
at 2022-09-06T07:10

現在還算小顆，到台灣東方海面就變大顆

By Gilbert
at 2022-09-06T08:57

沖繩瑟瑟發抖中

By Carol
at 2022-09-06T10:45

CWB下午的有預測到至少250以上，等看看98W後續或是

By Una
at 2022-09-06T12:32

周圍水氣？

By Quintina
at 2022-09-06T14:20

區域模式的路徑有趣了

By Tom
at 2022-09-06T16:07

這底層強悍度大J居然還沒給155 現在甚至連140都沒..

By Frederic
at 2022-09-06T17:54

JTWC繼續T6.5...真的是夠了

By Edith
at 2022-09-06T19:42

特別去看了區域模式...哇

By George
at 2022-09-06T21:29

JMA猛烈

By Xanthe
at 2022-09-06T23:17

移速一樣維持30公里

By Olga
at 2022-09-07T01:04

強颱最小半徑的記錄是多少（七級及十級風圈)

By Queena
at 2022-09-07T02:52

我記得2005龍王七級180，十級？？
軒嵐諾不知道有沒有破最小半徑強颱？

By Hazel
at 2022-09-07T04:39

龍王小歸小快把我家吹垮了XD 17級以上

By Bethany
at 2022-09-07T06:27

今年目前為止西太第一美颱，可惜了

By Jacob
at 2022-09-07T08:14

JMA預報在台灣東方出現12小時的西北西緩慢移動，不
過後面還是回到原本預報

By Kama
at 2022-09-07T10:02

https://i.imgur.com/fDxD6eY.gif

By Yedda
at 2022-09-07T11:49

https://i.imgur.com/jaGdgIp.gif
上次很準的區域模式是想要西部搖滾喔

By Linda
at 2022-09-07T13:36

龍王是200

By Susan
at 2022-09-07T15:24

上面的圖只能說歡樂 XD

By Heather
at 2022-09-07T17:11

現在把區域模式當神拜來的及嗎 @@
可以再神準一次阿

By Lauren
at 2022-09-07T18:59

不知道CWB會怎麼處理這報XD

By Una
at 2022-09-07T20:46

爛颱風

By Heather
at 2022-09-07T22:34

若成真風迷們可爽了，沈寂好久了

By Erin
at 2022-09-08T00:21

準的是TWRF 這是WRFD

By Olivia
at 2022-09-08T02:09

WRFD 3km版本 06Z報了個柯羅莎XD

By Victoria
at 2022-09-08T03:56

西軍準備暖身了西軍站出來

By William
at 2022-09-08T05:43

西軍!!!!西軍站出來!!!

By Eden
at 2022-09-08T07:31

JTWC 130KT 分析的該去看眼科了

By Oliver
at 2022-09-08T09:18

笑死 130kts Amaral真的的可以滾回家了

By Mason
at 2022-09-08T11:06

西軍們集結起來吧

By John
at 2022-09-08T12:53

EC06Z系集繼續往西修正

By Rae
at 2022-09-08T14:41

這個擺到北大西洋直接150+了吧

By Donna
at 2022-09-08T16:28

好期待又怕受傷害

By Quintina
at 2022-09-08T18:16

@@98w應該受到影響了吧整個消風不少
先南落已經開始在影響98W了

By Enid
at 2022-09-08T20:03

EC06Z往西修鰻明顯的
98的中心還有繼續對流還行

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-08T21:51

期待又怕受傷害+1，今年第一次蹲大氣版蹲這麼開心

By Dora
at 2022-09-08T23:38

這種遇到高壓衰退要估計衰退幅度也是蠻有趣的

By Ina
at 2022-09-09T01:25

EC是各數值最東的所以向西修正不意外

By Caitlin
at 2022-09-09T03:13

起碼給個135kts吧…

By Heather
at 2022-09-09T05:00

往西這麼多才開始互旋，往西修也合理

By Xanthe
at 2022-09-09T06:48

而且也還沒開始真正互旋xd

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-09T08:35

這是單看SATCON的結果吧自己都有分析出德法7.0了

By Ethan
at 2022-09-09T10:23

也不一定會互旋雙颱效應還有其他方式呈現

By Brianna
at 2022-09-09T12:10

互旋拉伸小跟大合併互斥都是

By Dorothy
at 2022-09-09T13:58

CWB給53 從126.2修到125.8

By Bethany
at 2022-09-09T15:45

之前預測是合併或者互旋如果是互斥就好玩了

By Michael
at 2022-09-09T17:32

EC還有個問題是對小環流不敏感這報的初始場是990

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-09T19:20

小可愛強颱

By Andy
at 2022-09-09T21:07

http://i.imgur.com/BgO58AT.jpg
外眼形成

By Genevieve
at 2022-09-09T22:55

超小 XDDDD

By Yuri
at 2022-09-10T00:42

cwb這報算西修嗎

By Noah
at 2022-09-10T02:30

算有略西修更接近海警範圍

By Ida
at 2022-09-10T04:17

EC最新系集大幅西修

By Lily
at 2022-09-10T06:05

西起來！

By Hedwig
at 2022-09-10T07:52

很少看到這麼詭異的路徑

By Hardy
at 2022-09-10T09:40

Cccccc

By Hardy
at 2022-09-10T11:27

C啦哪次不C

By Ethan
at 2022-09-10T13:14

假如真的過來某人的祭品要被剁了

By Faithe
at 2022-09-10T15:02

←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←←

By Bethany
at 2022-09-10T16:49

這路徑其實只算少見啦還沒詭異 V字形颱風
不過前提要真的能V起來啦目前還沒南偏

By Queena
at 2022-09-10T18:37

走西北的成員變多

By Connor
at 2022-09-10T20:24

因為現在還在西南西移動

By Wallis
at 2022-09-10T22:12

該出現的東西沒出現轉向時間就會一直延後

By Callum
at 2022-09-10T23:59

有煙花創傷症候群了等更靠近後再說 QQ

By Oliver
at 2022-09-11T01:47

等海警出現再說(大誤)

By Christine
at 2022-09-11T03:34

下一個侵襲區域應該是大東群島了
而且到現在速度還是在飆車

By Candice
at 2022-09-11T05:21

cwb這次半徑給的蠻慷慨的 220/70km...海警機率高了

By Harry
at 2022-09-11T07:09

https://i.imgur.com/J0JcfTt.jpg

By Susan
at 2022-09-11T08:56

照過去這種範圍颱風 CWB應該頂多只給180-200

By Joseph
at 2022-09-11T10:44

十分精確XD

By Margaret
at 2022-09-11T12:31

ben大遲遲沒有現身，是不是意味著這次可以多點期待

By Poppy
at 2022-09-11T14:19

JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集都更新完了
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集都更新完了
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集都更新完了
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集都更新完了

By Lily
at 2022-09-11T16:06

推用心

By Ursula
at 2022-09-11T17:54

真的，很有心，推一下原po

By Linda
at 2022-09-11T19:41

住那霸現在很抖，完全不知道要怎麼準備防颱了

By Ophelia
at 2022-09-11T21:29

諾大概今天凌晨就會進入沖繩雷達的範圍了

By Frederic
at 2022-09-11T23:16

大東群島準備進風圈囉

By Annie
at 2022-09-12T01:03

補水很重要但這顆進來就不妙了XD

By Kristin
at 2022-09-12T02:51

V起來！！（？股版？？？

By Noah
at 2022-09-12T04:38

大爆V

By Anonymous
at 2022-09-12T06:26

這顆圓滾滾的又小顆卡娃依捏

By Cara
at 2022-09-12T08:13

比較想看他 V變成U起來xd

By Hedda
at 2022-09-12T10:01

推原po 用心整理！

By Mia
at 2022-09-12T11:48

上面有人V 我是不是該喊A下來 XD

By Charlotte
at 2022-09-12T13:36

V起來多軍勝利

By Caroline
at 2022-09-12T15:23

VVVVVV

By Adele
at 2022-09-12T17:10

&起來

By Kristin
at 2022-09-12T18:58

推原PO

By Ursula
at 2022-09-12T20:45

VVVVVVV

By Dorothy
at 2022-09-12T22:33

謝謝原po更新實用資訊！

By Tom
at 2022-09-13T00:20

如果走CWB區域預報模式北部的雨可以灌很多吧

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-13T02:08

↙過來

By Rachel
at 2022-09-13T03:55

希望可以讓水庫的水多一點如果暴風圈觸陸更好

By Linda
at 2022-09-13T05:43

多蛙VV叫，溫水煮多蛙

By Isabella
at 2022-09-13T07:30

至少補點水，QQ

By Ethan
at 2022-09-13T09:18

新山和翡翠應該可以鬆口氣了希望

By Eartha
at 2022-09-13T11:05

去年西軍輸的一敗塗地，今年有機會贏回來嗎XD?

By Wallis
at 2022-09-13T12:52

輸很多年嚕

By Kumar
at 2022-09-13T14:40

我是來到大氣版還是股版…

By Mia
at 2022-09-13T16:27

防颱能做的就是飲用水跟食物外，還有浴缸裝滿水手

By Isabella
at 2022-09-13T18:15

以為進錯板..

By Freda
at 2022-09-13T20:02

電筒扇子行動電源備著

By Carol
at 2022-09-13T21:50

靠~以為來到股版

By Ivy
at 2022-09-13T23:37

推更新

By Mia
at 2022-09-14T01:25

是套多深啦XD 一直V

By Rae
at 2022-09-14T03:12

什麼事情都能等但羅力引退賽就只有一次機會哭啊

By Susan
at 2022-09-14T04:59

平常先發問天引退賽問天也是很合理的

By Hedda
at 2022-09-14T06:47

我看到股版的感覺XD

By Xanthe
at 2022-09-14T08:34

引退賽應該是涼了

By Ophelia
at 2022-09-14T10:22

引退賽QQ

By Sierra Rose
at 2022-09-14T12:09

JTWC 12Z 修正 140kts 917mb
本年度第一個C5誕生

By Regina
at 2022-09-14T13:57

話說引退賽關這版鳥事幹嘛不去八卦問

By Noah
at 2022-09-14T15:44

真的很怕期待越深傷害越深還是等真的夠近在看

By Mia
at 2022-09-14T17:32

看了下Ec 系集，好像變得比較多條接近台灣?

By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-14T19:19

總算修了，眼溫長期在20度以上，早就該給了

By Steve
at 2022-09-14T21:07

GFS 12z沒什麼變

By Kumar
at 2022-09-14T22:54

而且AMSU掃到148KTS

By Mason
at 2022-09-15T00:41

晚間各數值持續西調趨勢蠻明顯的
https://i.imgur.com/SP375nR.gif

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-15T02:29

CWB的區域模式為何跟全球模式路徑都不一樣?

By Puput
at 2022-09-15T04:16

這顆進來超不妙的吧…

By Queena
at 2022-09-15T06:04

目前進來機率低，擔心外圍環流就好

By Emma
at 2022-09-15T07:51

這顆暴風圈碰到威力就蠻強了

By Ina
at 2022-09-15T09:39

感覺外圍環流很小，很紮實

By Eartha
at 2022-09-15T11:26

各國的路徑和數值預報都一直在西修，發布海警的機率
大增，陸警機率也在上升中

By Cara
at 2022-09-15T13:14

預測西修

By Linda
at 2022-09-15T15:01

但不管會不會登陸，只要暴風圈掃到按照規定就是要發
陸警，就看下來時會多胖了

By Hedy
at 2022-09-15T16:48

GFS18Z奈米東修

By Puput
at 2022-09-15T18:36

昨晚嗑藥的WRFD，12Z也東修回去了

By Quintina
at 2022-09-15T20:23

https://imgur.com/wKF0RPL 18Z各國路徑

By Wallis
at 2022-09-15T22:11

北大東均風陣風破8月紀錄

By James
at 2022-09-15T23:58

曾文水庫：我需要水水

By Anonymous
at 2022-09-16T01:46

平西王派的站出來

By Vanessa
at 2022-09-16T03:33

前幾年都是登陸修到北偏，希望這顆相反

By Jack
at 2022-09-16T05:21

看起來要進入眼牆置換？

By Thomas
at 2022-09-16T07:08

大東島搖滾畫面出來了
https://youtu.be/_bfh7X_6iwM

By Freda
at 2022-09-16T08:56

最近幾小時路徑比JMA預報略往南偏……

By Dinah
at 2022-09-16T10:43

還是覺得這個路徑很奇妙XDDDD

By Sarah
at 2022-09-16T12:30

這已經比甩尾還猛了

By Mia
at 2022-09-16T14:18

12W這種移動的角度感覺是要玩互旋

By Jake
at 2022-09-16T16:05

發新文了!

By Eden
at 2022-09-16T17:53

快進來吧

2211 軒嵐諾 - 颱風討論

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