天氣小觀:下週蒙古冷高壓吹出的東北季風報到 - 颱風討論
By Elma
at 2022-09-16T09:14
at 2022-09-16T09:14
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:下週蒙古冷高壓吹出的東北季風報到
9月中旬,西伯利亞冷高壓帝國勢力已經建立
真正的東北季風要來了,
模式預報下週,首次蒙古冷高壓吹出的東北季風直達台灣,是大氣的正統東北季風,
接下來,
季風大戰更加白熱化,大氣地面秀繼續高潮,
而且長期模式看來一路高潮到秋颱共伴,要持續留意。
目前梅花颱風離台灣稍遠之姿北上東海後,
南瑪都颱風跟著從那霸東北方北上,
原先EC驚悚的預報納莉路徑,原因在於南亞高壓勢力的調整,
往年到了9月,
南亞高壓受西風噴流的壓迫已經到了不得不調整勢力的時候,
於是,南亞高壓會從青藏高原往南退,
恰逢下週孟加拉灣有季風低壓準備形成,
高空的反氣旋輻散加強南亞高壓順勢以西側南退,東側北進的方式調整勢力,
於是從孟加拉灣往東亞的南亞高壓單體東側,
下沉氣流導致500百帕的副高場勢力在華南上空增強,
並導引南瑪都折向西南往台灣變成納莉第2。
當然,
冬季系統並不會放任這種大氣環境發展出來,
EC模式隨後也修正了預報,
藉由南瑪都颱風與西風槽的互動,阻止了華南副高接手引導,
反而讓西風槽帶走,同時槽後的地面蒙古冷高壓著南下,
規模當然是入秋第一波冬季系統大軍往台灣。
看來真的要秋涼了,
一上高城萬里愁,蒹葭楊柳似汀洲。
溪雲初起日沉閣,山雨欲來風滿樓。
鳥下綠蕪秦苑夕,蟬鳴黃葉漢宮秋。
行人莫問當年事,故國東來渭水流。
(以上供參囉)
--
9月中旬,西伯利亞冷高壓帝國勢力已經建立
真正的東北季風要來了,
模式預報下週,首次蒙古冷高壓吹出的東北季風直達台灣,是大氣的正統東北季風,
接下來,
季風大戰更加白熱化,大氣地面秀繼續高潮,
而且長期模式看來一路高潮到秋颱共伴,要持續留意。
目前梅花颱風離台灣稍遠之姿北上東海後,
南瑪都颱風跟著從那霸東北方北上,
原先EC驚悚的預報納莉路徑,原因在於南亞高壓勢力的調整,
往年到了9月,
南亞高壓受西風噴流的壓迫已經到了不得不調整勢力的時候,
於是,南亞高壓會從青藏高原往南退,
恰逢下週孟加拉灣有季風低壓準備形成,
高空的反氣旋輻散加強南亞高壓順勢以西側南退,東側北進的方式調整勢力,
於是從孟加拉灣往東亞的南亞高壓單體東側,
下沉氣流導致500百帕的副高場勢力在華南上空增強,
並導引南瑪都折向西南往台灣變成納莉第2。
當然,
冬季系統並不會放任這種大氣環境發展出來,
EC模式隨後也修正了預報,
藉由南瑪都颱風與西風槽的互動,阻止了華南副高接手引導,
反而讓西風槽帶走,同時槽後的地面蒙古冷高壓著南下,
規模當然是入秋第一波冬季系統大軍往台灣。
看來真的要秋涼了,
一上高城萬里愁,蒹葭楊柳似汀洲。
溪雲初起日沉閣,山雨欲來風滿樓。
鳥下綠蕪秦苑夕,蟬鳴黃葉漢宮秋。
行人莫問當年事,故國東來渭水流。
(以上供參囉)
--
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