天氣小觀:回到平均七月初大氣環境 - 颱風討論
By Aaliyah
at 2022-07-12T11:20
at 2022-07-12T11:20
Table of Contents
以往,
平均七月初的大氣環境就是太平洋高壓壟罩中心與北方鋒面和"南方不成材的熱帶擾動",
模式預報未來一週回歸如此,菲律賓呂宋島近海的90W就是個不成材的熱帶擾動,
預報不看好發展為颱風,主要原因在於南亞高壓的熱帶東風噴流出現在南海,
地面西南季風,高空東北噴流,如此一來,垂直風切環境對颱風很不友善,
同時,由於南亞高壓往東亞震盪,
在大氣高層,南亞高壓往東亞震盪,有利TUTT出現在西北太平洋高空,是否出現冷心低壓
待觀察。
在大氣中層,太平洋高壓西伸華南頂著北方西風槽,西風槽順勢從後方壓往日本,日韓轉
涼。
對台灣來說,
後期太平高壓受西風槽影響東退,改由西南季風帶上赤道海洋氣團,
中南部迎風面開始降雨囉,北部偏向午後熱對流了...
(簡單說說囉)
--
平均七月初的大氣環境就是太平洋高壓壟罩中心與北方鋒面和"南方不成材的熱帶擾動",
模式預報未來一週回歸如此,菲律賓呂宋島近海的90W就是個不成材的熱帶擾動,
預報不看好發展為颱風,主要原因在於南亞高壓的熱帶東風噴流出現在南海,
地面西南季風,高空東北噴流,如此一來,垂直風切環境對颱風很不友善,
同時,由於南亞高壓往東亞震盪,
在大氣高層,南亞高壓往東亞震盪,有利TUTT出現在西北太平洋高空,是否出現冷心低壓
待觀察。
在大氣中層,太平洋高壓西伸華南頂著北方西風槽,西風槽順勢從後方壓往日本,日韓轉
涼。
對台灣來說,
後期太平高壓受西風槽影響東退,改由西南季風帶上赤道海洋氣團,
中南部迎風面開始降雨囉,北部偏向午後熱對流了...
(簡單說說囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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