天氣小觀:未來一週,太平洋高壓在日本,真風季 - 颱風討論
By Callum
at 2022-07-25T20:49
at 2022-07-25T20:49
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:未來一週,太平洋高壓在日本,真風季開始
一年之中,太平洋高壓在日本的夏季要來了,
這表示台灣落於季風活躍區,當然也是熱帶擾動活躍區,
模式預報,未來一週熱帶擾動從台灣東方接近。
目前在關島附近的東風波擾動,隨著太平洋高壓移往日本,
擾動往台灣東方海面而來,然而,
東風波擾動沒有接上西南季風的情況下發展慢,
再加上台灣東方的熱海已經高達30度,
因此,模式預報看法有點分歧。
GFS模式認為,太平洋高壓移往日本後,
台灣東方海面的原東風波倒槽很快發展出一個低壓擾動,
隨後與關島附近的過來的東風波擾動互動,
類似藤原效應互旋性移動。
EC模式認為,
關島附近的東風波擾動週末移至台灣東方海面後總算接上西南季風,
強度逐漸發展起來,但由於太平洋高壓引導氣流微弱,
因此在台灣東方海面滯留緩移,對台灣影響當然就大得多。
但,台灣東方海面的垂直風切並不算友善,因此擾動發展不會太快。
不管如何,夏季最精采的風季登場,總是令夏季迷振奮...
不過,與此同時,冬季系統有甦醒的趨勢,北極渦旋反轉增強,
下週8月北極海面開始零星短暫出現0度以下的溫度,
並且先後帶出第一波寒冷氣團先後侵襲亞洲遠東、阿拉斯加、加拿大、北亞
看來今年冬季系統甦醒前(北極0度出現前)的起床氣就這麼兇...
(以上供參囉)
--
一年之中,太平洋高壓在日本的夏季要來了,
這表示台灣落於季風活躍區,當然也是熱帶擾動活躍區,
模式預報,未來一週熱帶擾動從台灣東方接近。
目前在關島附近的東風波擾動,隨著太平洋高壓移往日本,
擾動往台灣東方海面而來,然而,
東風波擾動沒有接上西南季風的情況下發展慢,
再加上台灣東方的熱海已經高達30度,
因此,模式預報看法有點分歧。
GFS模式認為,太平洋高壓移往日本後,
台灣東方海面的原東風波倒槽很快發展出一個低壓擾動,
隨後與關島附近的過來的東風波擾動互動,
類似藤原效應互旋性移動。
EC模式認為,
關島附近的東風波擾動週末移至台灣東方海面後總算接上西南季風,
強度逐漸發展起來,但由於太平洋高壓引導氣流微弱,
因此在台灣東方海面滯留緩移,對台灣影響當然就大得多。
但,台灣東方海面的垂直風切並不算友善,因此擾動發展不會太快。
不管如何,夏季最精采的風季登場,總是令夏季迷振奮...
不過,與此同時,冬季系統有甦醒的趨勢,北極渦旋反轉增強,
下週8月北極海面開始零星短暫出現0度以下的溫度,
並且先後帶出第一波寒冷氣團先後侵襲亞洲遠東、阿拉斯加、加拿大、北亞
看來今年冬季系統甦醒前(北極0度出現前)的起床氣就這麼兇...
(以上供參囉)
--
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