天氣小觀:模式預報增添變數,東亞第一道鋒面 - 颱風討論
By Mason
at 2022-07-31T07:59
at 2022-07-31T07:59
Table of Contents
天氣小觀:模式預報增添變數,東亞第一道鋒面出現
冬季系統真的是太急了,模式預報下週末東亞第一道鋒面出現,
一看竟是西伯利亞冷高壓發動的攻擊,冷鋒從東北移向華北,
成為東亞的第一道鋒面。
如此一來,太平洋高壓伸向東亞就對上阻力,也增添了變數;
模式預報也開始微調。
最新模式預報調整太平洋高壓分裂單體進入東亞,換句話說,
由於北方冷鋒的出現,西風槽從太平洋高壓弱點切入,
這時節西風槽還無能力切斷太平洋高壓脊,但也讓太平洋高壓場改變配置,
原先橫向的高壓脊配置變成西北東南向,
因此,
南海變成氣旋活躍區,就等下週末觀察了。
未來一週還是先看太平洋高壓推動季風低壓通過台灣。
(簡單說說囉)
--
冬季系統真的是太急了,模式預報下週末東亞第一道鋒面出現,
一看竟是西伯利亞冷高壓發動的攻擊,冷鋒從東北移向華北,
成為東亞的第一道鋒面。
如此一來,太平洋高壓伸向東亞就對上阻力,也增添了變數;
模式預報也開始微調。
最新模式預報調整太平洋高壓分裂單體進入東亞,換句話說,
由於北方冷鋒的出現,西風槽從太平洋高壓弱點切入,
這時節西風槽還無能力切斷太平洋高壓脊,但也讓太平洋高壓場改變配置,
原先橫向的高壓脊配置變成西北東南向,
因此,
南海變成氣旋活躍區,就等下週末觀察了。
未來一週還是先看太平洋高壓推動季風低壓通過台灣。
(簡單說說囉)
--
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