天氣小觀:馬勒卡颱風發展良好,遠海北上 - 颱風討論
By Zora
at 2022-04-10T07:05
at 2022-04-10T07:05
Table of Contents
馬勒卡颱風接上大氣高層副熱帶噴流良好的極向輻散場,強度穩定發展增強,
春季的太平洋高壓緯度低,因此馬勒卡颱風北移時,
太平洋高壓很快從南邊補上,路徑上馬勒卡颱風遠海北上無誤。
不過,
由於年初鄂霍次克海冰偏少,日本海溫偏高,渤海、黃海更偏高;
因此北方冷空氣南下不容易且減弱很快,
加上,
馬勒卡颱風往北時,釋放的潛熱有利暖高壓脊,
模式顯示大氣中低層的冷西風槽很快淺化,修正了原本強冷空氣南下。
模式預報,未來一週馬勒卡颱風遠海北上,人畜無害,強度穩定發展
過了北緯20度後,大氣高層西風帶,路徑上有偏東分量,
過了北緯25度後,大氣中層西風帶,西風帶主導轉東北很快變性。
也由於馬勒卡颱風的出現,未來一週
週三前的馬勒卡偏西移動,暖高壓影響台灣偏熱,
週三,馬勒卡颱風轉彎,冷鋒接近前,最熱,
週四冷鋒通過的降雨降溫也都較溫和。
真正值得注意的是一週過後,
馬勒卡颱風的後續效應,北方有大低壓帶出現,東北季風要北退了。
看起來,週四~週六是最後一波真。東北季風囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
春季的太平洋高壓緯度低,因此馬勒卡颱風北移時,
太平洋高壓很快從南邊補上,路徑上馬勒卡颱風遠海北上無誤。
不過,
由於年初鄂霍次克海冰偏少,日本海溫偏高,渤海、黃海更偏高;
因此北方冷空氣南下不容易且減弱很快,
加上,
馬勒卡颱風往北時,釋放的潛熱有利暖高壓脊,
模式顯示大氣中低層的冷西風槽很快淺化,修正了原本強冷空氣南下。
模式預報,未來一週馬勒卡颱風遠海北上,人畜無害,強度穩定發展
過了北緯20度後,大氣高層西風帶,路徑上有偏東分量,
過了北緯25度後,大氣中層西風帶,西風帶主導轉東北很快變性。
也由於馬勒卡颱風的出現,未來一週
週三前的馬勒卡偏西移動,暖高壓影響台灣偏熱,
週三,馬勒卡颱風轉彎,冷鋒接近前,最熱,
週四冷鋒通過的降雨降溫也都較溫和。
真正值得注意的是一週過後,
馬勒卡颱風的後續效應,北方有大低壓帶出現,東北季風要北退了。
看起來,週四~週六是最後一波真。東北季風囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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