天氣速觀:不一樣,夏末訊息敲來! 週日東北風 - 颱風討論
By Oliver
at 2022-08-26T20:20
at 2022-08-26T20:20
Table of Contents
天氣速觀:不一樣,夏末訊息敲來! 週日東北風出現
模式預報調整,夏季高壓開始出現今年不可逆的南退,
未來一週,
西風噴流重新打壓南亞高壓,返回北緯40度以南,南亞高壓脊退回北緯30度,
接著的就是9月初的大氣秋季開始。
從衛星雲圖來看,北方西伯利亞的冬季系統已展開攻勢看來比預期順利些,
冷高壓從蒙古下至華北,東北亞的高空冷渦旋與太平洋高壓也早早開戰了,
太平洋高壓強勢下,台灣目前完全受夏季系統保護(夏季迷)/控制(冬季迷)。
然而,
冬季系統的類東北季風明天在華中交會南海北上的西南季風,
四川地區有封閉低壓出現,
此外,
走東亞沿海而下的類東北季風路徑順暢直下東海,
但受高海溫影響變性,因此台灣仍不受影響。
到了週日,冷高壓東移出海變性,東北風與西南風在台灣東方近海小小互旋,
東北風的雲雨帶吹進北部東北部,
中南部背風低壓的午後熱對流更有利,有機會大雷雨出現。
週一,台灣東方近海的小小旋減弱,
但台灣的風場陷入混沌不定,
更有利台灣東南東方遠海移過來的東風波擾動發展起來,
模式預報認為的幾種可能,
1. 東風波擾動發散發展變成季風低壓型態
2. 東風波擾動收斂發展變成熱帶性低氣壓
當然就是9月的地面秀開張了,
甚至,後頭還有另一個東風波擾動會跟著發展。
於是,冬夏大氣系統力量的天平就變得很微妙了,這之後再看。
(以上供參囉)
--
模式預報調整,夏季高壓開始出現今年不可逆的南退,
未來一週,
西風噴流重新打壓南亞高壓,返回北緯40度以南,南亞高壓脊退回北緯30度,
接著的就是9月初的大氣秋季開始。
從衛星雲圖來看,北方西伯利亞的冬季系統已展開攻勢看來比預期順利些,
冷高壓從蒙古下至華北,東北亞的高空冷渦旋與太平洋高壓也早早開戰了,
太平洋高壓強勢下,台灣目前完全受夏季系統保護(夏季迷)/控制(冬季迷)。
然而,
冬季系統的類東北季風明天在華中交會南海北上的西南季風,
四川地區有封閉低壓出現,
此外,
走東亞沿海而下的類東北季風路徑順暢直下東海,
但受高海溫影響變性,因此台灣仍不受影響。
到了週日,冷高壓東移出海變性,東北風與西南風在台灣東方近海小小互旋,
東北風的雲雨帶吹進北部東北部,
中南部背風低壓的午後熱對流更有利,有機會大雷雨出現。
週一,台灣東方近海的小小旋減弱,
但台灣的風場陷入混沌不定,
更有利台灣東南東方遠海移過來的東風波擾動發展起來,
模式預報認為的幾種可能,
1. 東風波擾動發散發展變成季風低壓型態
2. 東風波擾動收斂發展變成熱帶性低氣壓
當然就是9月的地面秀開張了,
甚至,後頭還有另一個東風波擾動會跟著發展。
於是,冬夏大氣系統力量的天平就變得很微妙了,這之後再看。
(以上供參囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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