天氣速觀:璨樹颱風偏東搖擺,偏北風由左側南下 - 颱風討論
By Aaliyah
at 2021-09-15T02:30
at 2021-09-15T02:30
Table of Contents
璨樹颱風位置比預期偏東,且偏東搖擺,
北方地面冷高壓東北季風經璨樹颱風轉成偏北風南下與西南季風對撞,
開演了秋季第一場大氣地面秀(台北突然降雨),
模式今天偏北風南下與西南季風輻合較不穩定。
不過預報真正璨樹颱風東移是週五,而藉由璨樹颱風北上的西南季風也會離開台灣,
取而代之的是類東北季風南下和太平洋高壓的偏東風,
太平洋高壓偏強的話,類東北季風南下會轉成偏東風,
至於下周就是冬夏系統正式開戰了,
模式目前顯示,由於太平洋高壓勢力不弱,因此下週鋒面暫時到不了台灣;
反而,
春季多鋒面雨,夏季多對流雨,秋季多氣旋雨,冬季多地形雨。
因此下週要觀察的是南方是否有氣旋雨和"類東北季風"輻合降雨;
不過這時間還長就是,
再來就是一週過後,冬季系統崛起,北方1030百帕以上地面冷高壓出現了。
(簡單說說囉)
--
北方地面冷高壓東北季風經璨樹颱風轉成偏北風南下與西南季風對撞,
開演了秋季第一場大氣地面秀(台北突然降雨),
模式今天偏北風南下與西南季風輻合較不穩定。
不過預報真正璨樹颱風東移是週五,而藉由璨樹颱風北上的西南季風也會離開台灣,
取而代之的是類東北季風南下和太平洋高壓的偏東風,
太平洋高壓偏強的話,類東北季風南下會轉成偏東風,
至於下周就是冬夏系統正式開戰了,
模式目前顯示,由於太平洋高壓勢力不弱,因此下週鋒面暫時到不了台灣;
反而,
春季多鋒面雨,夏季多對流雨,秋季多氣旋雨,冬季多地形雨。
因此下週要觀察的是南方是否有氣旋雨和"類東北季風"輻合降雨;
不過這時間還長就是,
再來就是一週過後,冬季系統崛起,北方1030百帕以上地面冷高壓出現了。
(簡單說說囉)
--
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颱風
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