天氣速觀:第二個大冷高壓南下 - 颱風討論
By Hedwig
at 2022-10-09T20:37
at 2022-10-09T20:37
Table of Contents
天氣速觀:第二個大冷高壓南下
前幾天入秋第一個大冷高壓冷氣團侵襲東亞北部後,
目前第二個冷高壓再接再厲南下中,與第一個不同的是,
冷高壓中心直接南下,這次華東地區也會受冷氣團侵襲,
台灣中北部明天也會充分感到秋寒,
在冷空氣強勢下,週一午後,乾空氣會令雨勢停下。
儘管如此,台灣附近仍在熱海的環境下,之後的天氣,
台灣關心的還是秋雨了(或說北東部關心的還是秋雨了)。
事實上從10月6日台灣東部近海高空的大氣中層就已經出現反氣旋輻散場,
一開始,
從東部近海輻散場沿著宜花地形往北氣流加速,加速的高空氣流右後側就落於宜蘭,
因此宜蘭山區在東北季風地面抬升後開始豪雨。
之後,
從10月6日~10月8日,輻散場逐漸形成的單體高壓中心在沖繩那霸,
台灣東部高山地形助長了高壓西側氣流南北向分叉的加速輻散處,
往北氣流從花蓮近海往東海,
往南氣流從花蓮近海往巴士海峽,
於是東北部到東部的高空輻散條件變佳,豪雨區從宜蘭擴及整個花蓮,甚至北台東。
而,
花蓮與宜蘭畚箕地形不同,花蓮地形走向偏向和東北季風平行,因此豪雨區落在海岸處。
宜蘭的畚箕地形眾所皆知,東北季風吹入後反向輻合在宜蘭溪南山區,
但輻合好並不是有利強降雨發生,還要有有高空場的配合,
苦的是,
高空環境入秋冬後還蠻配合的。
1.
往年9月太平洋高壓開始南退,東北季風開始出現,
這時,南亞高壓勢力在台灣西方,太平洋高壓勢力在台灣東方,
因此,
台灣東西方的大氣高空都有夏季高壓勢力,當東北季風南下時,
西風噴流讓南亞高壓向東調整勢力,
西風槽令太平洋高壓向南調整勢力,
這時,
(1)
若大氣中層的單體高壓在台灣以西,則高壓東側反氣旋輻散落於東海往台灣海峽,
反氣旋輻散氣流的右後方落於"北宜",以北基為主。
反之,
(2)
大氣中層的單體高壓在台灣以東,則高壓西側反氣旋輻散落於東部近海,
一般往北氣流因為與西風槽前氣流互動得到加強,
因此,反氣旋輻散加速氣流的右後方落於"北宜花",以宜蘭為主。
2.
10月~11月,冬季系統崛起,南亞高壓往東退到併入太平洋高壓的過程,
此時,太平洋高壓單體中心大多在台灣東方,
高壓西側反氣旋輻散氣流從東部近海往北,高空氣流加速時,最大苦主就是宜蘭。
3.
12月,西風槽逐漸壓下來時,高空場的輻散場變成槽前氣流,
槽前的加速氣流當然就是從東北部外海往日本,高空加速氣流的右後方苦主就是"北宜"。
4.一旦,冬季系統完全掌控西風帶完全壓到台灣上空後,
平直的西風帶反而不容易有強降雨發生,
當然,主要就是東北季風較穩定的地形雨。
從以上結論,冬季系統擊潰夏季系統的這段期間,
太平洋高壓的南退,西風槽的南壓,提供了許多強降雨的高空輻散條件,
而,
東北部苦的就是秋季大氣地面秀經常不令人失望的把握這種時機演出,
一週過後似乎有秋颱加入,再觀察囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
前幾天入秋第一個大冷高壓冷氣團侵襲東亞北部後,
目前第二個冷高壓再接再厲南下中,與第一個不同的是,
冷高壓中心直接南下,這次華東地區也會受冷氣團侵襲,
台灣中北部明天也會充分感到秋寒,
在冷空氣強勢下,週一午後,乾空氣會令雨勢停下。
儘管如此,台灣附近仍在熱海的環境下,之後的天氣,
台灣關心的還是秋雨了(或說北東部關心的還是秋雨了)。
事實上從10月6日台灣東部近海高空的大氣中層就已經出現反氣旋輻散場,
一開始,
從東部近海輻散場沿著宜花地形往北氣流加速,加速的高空氣流右後側就落於宜蘭,
因此宜蘭山區在東北季風地面抬升後開始豪雨。
之後,
從10月6日~10月8日,輻散場逐漸形成的單體高壓中心在沖繩那霸,
台灣東部高山地形助長了高壓西側氣流南北向分叉的加速輻散處,
往北氣流從花蓮近海往東海,
往南氣流從花蓮近海往巴士海峽,
於是東北部到東部的高空輻散條件變佳,豪雨區從宜蘭擴及整個花蓮,甚至北台東。
而,
花蓮與宜蘭畚箕地形不同,花蓮地形走向偏向和東北季風平行,因此豪雨區落在海岸處。
宜蘭的畚箕地形眾所皆知,東北季風吹入後反向輻合在宜蘭溪南山區,
但輻合好並不是有利強降雨發生,還要有有高空場的配合,
苦的是,
高空環境入秋冬後還蠻配合的。
1.
往年9月太平洋高壓開始南退,東北季風開始出現,
這時,南亞高壓勢力在台灣西方,太平洋高壓勢力在台灣東方,
因此,
台灣東西方的大氣高空都有夏季高壓勢力,當東北季風南下時,
西風噴流讓南亞高壓向東調整勢力,
西風槽令太平洋高壓向南調整勢力,
這時,
(1)
若大氣中層的單體高壓在台灣以西,則高壓東側反氣旋輻散落於東海往台灣海峽,
反氣旋輻散氣流的右後方落於"北宜",以北基為主。
反之,
(2)
大氣中層的單體高壓在台灣以東,則高壓西側反氣旋輻散落於東部近海,
一般往北氣流因為與西風槽前氣流互動得到加強,
因此,反氣旋輻散加速氣流的右後方落於"北宜花",以宜蘭為主。
2.
10月~11月,冬季系統崛起,南亞高壓往東退到併入太平洋高壓的過程,
此時,太平洋高壓單體中心大多在台灣東方,
高壓西側反氣旋輻散氣流從東部近海往北,高空氣流加速時,最大苦主就是宜蘭。
3.
12月,西風槽逐漸壓下來時,高空場的輻散場變成槽前氣流,
槽前的加速氣流當然就是從東北部外海往日本,高空加速氣流的右後方苦主就是"北宜"。
4.一旦,冬季系統完全掌控西風帶完全壓到台灣上空後,
平直的西風帶反而不容易有強降雨發生,
當然,主要就是東北季風較穩定的地形雨。
從以上結論,冬季系統擊潰夏季系統的這段期間,
太平洋高壓的南退,西風槽的南壓,提供了許多強降雨的高空輻散條件,
而,
東北部苦的就是秋季大氣地面秀經常不令人失望的把握這種時機演出,
一週過後似乎有秋颱加入,再觀察囉。
(以上供參囉)
--
Tags:
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By Joe
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