2211 軒嵐諾 - 颱風討論

Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-08-31T09:23

Table of Contents

今天早上10點氣象局直播的截圖

https://i.imgur.com/thV1qv6.png

JTWC 第12報
C4 颱風 軒嵐諾
世界協調時間 8月31號 00:00
位置:北緯 25.9度 東經 130.3 度
中心氣壓: 924百帕
中心付近最大風速: 135 KTS

JTWC預測路徑:https://i.imgur.com/9IHLfrL.gif

EC 30 18Z 144小時 系集:https://i.imgur.com/mOyXVvw.png

GFS 30 18Z 系集: https://i.imgur.com/kF8ffDi.png

OHC圖: https://i.imgur.com/LJKMs2f.png

軒嵐諾的私密照片: https://i.imgur.com/oLVI2OI.gif

軒嵐諾的星座命盤: https://i.imgur.com/KDM4sqv.png

同場加映JMA預測路徑:https://i.imgur.com/tFKmHpQ.jpg

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-02T17:20
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-05T01:17
真的跑了
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-07T09:14
推~
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-09T17:10
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-12T01:07
西軍西起來~
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-14T09:04
軒軒遺落的那團會變新系統嗎
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-16T17:01
比前一天預報西偏?
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-19T00:58
gfs和ec 後期系集還是很分歧
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-21T08:54
感覺西修了一點?
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-09-23T16:51
EC系集西了不少
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
按照預報 西南落差不多要開始明顯起來了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:52
現在的西南分量已經很明顯 甚至比預測的還大一點
速度也比預期中的要快很多
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
西修蠻多的
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這個V會殺得很深 本不夠厚的快逃命(?)
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-09-24T19:52
還是很分散啊……
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-22T11:55
如果真的過來影響時間可能會在3-4號?
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
好久沒颱風靠這麼近
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
大爆V
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T19:52
還是超V
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-22T11:55
VVV
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:52
燦樹:我只是比較無感,但我很近喔..
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-22T11:55
帥氣的路線
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
往台灣過來的線 比前幾天多了不少
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-22T11:55
為何愈修愈西?
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-09-24T19:52
有幾條跟CWB區域模式有點像
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-09-22T11:55
速度越快 偏西越多?
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:52
真的變成V了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
ec系集還是很發散 有快一半會發陸警
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:52
偏西是因為昨天98w的頑強抵抗
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-22T11:55
ec這樣修有種煙花ptsd發作 決定多看幾報XDD 除非各
數值的明顯倒戈
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98加油98加滿
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-22T11:55
所以變數增加了
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
速度比預期快很多!
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-22T11:55
EC圖出現了幾條西北颱路徑☺
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
彭佳嶼-基隆海域準備好了嗎?
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-22T11:55
目前這距離還是不能排除這幾年的各種彈開轉向吧
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:52
煙花至少有海警啊~
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98W加油!
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-24T19:52
已經逼近那霸市了
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-09-22T11:55
依後期的高壓配置轉北才是正常
比煙花更遠的可能性還比較大
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-24T19:52
目前應該是在第二次眼牆置換 看看風場擴大情況如何
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-22T11:55
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集 都更新完了
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集 都更新完了
JTWC、JMA路徑預測圖、EC系集、GFS系集 都更新完了
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:52
大家期待的時候會東修 大家絕望的時候又西修
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://youtu.be/C1A1nj79_-M
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
速度比預期快很多,不過現在的那霸機場即時影像依舊
很安靜
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-22T11:55
我主觀認為軒仔會比煙花更東 畢竟環境場就那樣
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不求多,就極西點超過124E就好
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-22T11:55
GFS有一條是U型XD
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-09-24T19:52
13W最後的波紋消失之後 狀況就會比較單純
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-09-22T11:55
CWB宜蘭暴風圈侵襲率39%→47%
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-24T19:52
ec現在又在那邊給人希望 後面又修回大v給人絕望XD
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-22T11:55
潛勢預報圈擴大
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-24T19:52
V的轉折點看有沒有機會到124或是越過124
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-22T11:55
只期待風場擴大後幫北部水情緩解一下 很需要
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:52
140-145E附近的低壓如果再稍微發展,就會差蠻多
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T17:50
https://imgur.com/C8z7Av5 雷達上清楚雙眼牆結構
離那霸還有一點距離
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西啦 進來坐
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:52
趕快崩才能加大不加價
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-09-22T11:55
預報好像比原本西了 我記得昨天根本沒過125E
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:52
CWB 9/4給到300/100欸,海警發起來
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2022-09-22T11:55
平西王,出動Rrrrr
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-24T19:52
系集對140-145E的低壓也是有訊號的,這樣真的會西
很多
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
CWB西修
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東邊沒低壓,可能接近正北,有低壓很可能就西北過
John avatar
By John
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西進來啊
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-24T19:52
煙花是偏宮古島附近北轉 目前各大機構是宮古~石垣
之間
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-22T11:55
有幾個路徑有點危險
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-24T19:52
後期風場這麼大,125E以西通過北東都會很有感了
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
現在模式都報這麼準 都沒驚奇了
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不期不待 但真的該補點水了
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-22T11:55
無懸念 收官了
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:52
目前55m/s的強度在偏高緯度可能還真罕見
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-22T11:55
要進入眼牆置換了,會先減弱一些
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-24T19:52
靠近一點再看 畢竟這幾年耍人的颱風不少
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-24T19:52
等到下來剛好準備V轉時的那個位置,剛好泡在暖池高
輻散,真香
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-22T11:55
快走 本島不歡迎戲弄我們心情的颱風
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-24T19:52
感覺海警機率提高
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-22T11:55
有無機會上60/75,可以期待
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-24T19:52
今年第一個海警要來了嗎
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
後期擴大成300就是為了海警吧...
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-09-24T19:52
氣象局後面預測上300 好久沒看到了
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-22T11:55
C
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
本來預測就會越來越肥,因為眼牆置換+把98W吃掉
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-22T11:55
巔峰不見得能爬回去 但是風場擴大可以有感
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T19:52
正常後期就會擴大啊
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://i.imgur.com/j6BszSZ.gif
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
曾文水庫急需降雨支援
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
突破東經130度!
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:52
快要到不可跨越之壁了
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-22T11:55
那霸居民表示希望南轉…現在開始颳風了…T^T
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:52
前面小鋼砲就給220了 後期看預報環流肥超多
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-22T11:55
薇拉表示:學弟你要挑戰我一日台東台北行?歡迎挑
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-24T19:52
陸上颱風警報機率高嘛?
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
目前預報 不高
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-24T19:52
比最早西很多
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T17:50
繼續西起來!
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
只希望補點水
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不要西啊!
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-22T11:55
給我下去西!
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
現在只有海警機會比較高吧
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-22T11:55
該吃點維他命西
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://imgur.com/kNgO8vF 00Z各國路徑 共識?
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西啦 拜託
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:52
西
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-22T11:55
勾起來往北
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-24T19:52
CCCCCCCC
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
差不多了
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-24T19:52
這幾年只要鄉民喊西,颱風大多會提早北轉或偏東
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-22T11:55
各路徑好像集中了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:52
系集依然發散 看南落的狀況吧
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
Gg
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
同樣地,這幾年只要鄉民不要喊西,颱風大多也會提
早北轉或偏東
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這幾年不管鄉民喊什麼不都是北跟東嗎XD
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
這幾年只有慢走不送是成真的
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-22T11:55
看來北部的水庫要被補好補滿了
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
南落不曉得能不能在刷一次強度
前面型態這麼好只有140kt 西太真是沒颱權
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-22T11:55
只求水庫能補水~
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-09-24T19:52
能過宮古何不石垣 能夠石垣何不與那國(繼續幻想)
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-22T11:55
唉,整天在那邊西不西還不如多補充點氣象知識
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-24T19:52
那霸開始嘎風了…
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-22T11:55
CWB上修雨量了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東啦,拜託
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-09-22T11:55
感覺往下掉的比預期快
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-24T19:52
對沖繩來說等於回馬槍
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-22T11:55
小的快被吃掉了
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:52
現在西分量多,往北轉的時候東分量就會多
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-09-22T11:55
要下墜了
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:52
現在西分量跟未來東分量有什麼關係.....
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-22T11:55
南落更多的話應該會離台灣更近?
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-24T19:52
上次煙花時是說南的越多 彈起來角度就約大
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-22T11:55
還有就是看兩者整合後 東邊會不會有系統出現
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-24T19:52
GFS 00z開獎
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-22T11:55
昨天晚上去附近超市買屯糧就幾乎沒得買了,只剩零
食糖果,現在這邊的新聞都說要有長期奮戰的準備
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-24T19:52
看系集,東邊出現系統的機會應該是有的
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-22T11:55
其實煙花和軒的環境不太一樣吧 只是剛好路徑都是下
墜球
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:52
要來台灣就是要多西一點 這樣要轉北時就太近跑不
掉了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-22T11:55
軒的環境很複雜阿 所以可能要版主開示一下
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-24T19:52
ec不知道是不是因為145e那個軒的尾巴留下來的系統導
致這幾報的v張開角度越來越大
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w被吃了之後,現在環境比較單純了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不然大部分系集的預測都是到最南點的後直接正北甚至
有偏北北東的
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-22T11:55
很可能是,東邊出現系統,往西北的機會大,如果沒
有,這麼大的系統在這個高壓配置下,就會RMT轉北
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-24T19:52
西起來
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-22T11:55
其實EC一開始第一報高潮的時候就有算出東邊有系統,
第二報才整個修掉,現在有慢慢有這個趨勢
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:52
系集有一派就這樣是轉西北登台的吧
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://i.imgur.com/sqvw7kj.jpg 這雷達掃出來的
雨帶好小…
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-09-24T19:52
猛啊
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-22T11:55
但是核心很猛
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:52
置換不知道還要多久 快一點就能配合暖池爆發了
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-22T11:55
然後順便刷一下八重山群島的陣風紀錄
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-24T19:52
所以一邊觀察它南落,一邊也要留意東邊是否有系統
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這隻如果登陸不是開玩笑的
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
軒仔的下墜速度快到不可思議 XD
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2022-09-22T11:55
看起來東邊是有系統會發展起來,要留意了
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
簡直就是快速指叉球
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
東邊有系統會怎樣?!
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:52
EC預報 入台北1緯度範圍內機率25%
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
東邊有系統就更靠近台灣呀
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
打錯了 經緯度才對
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-09-22T11:55
還好有補水不進來也可以啦
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
Lennard-Jones potential?
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://i.imgur.com/G9DoHWi.png
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-09-24T19:52
等東邊系統真的生成,或者確定不會生成,到時的數
值就會比較一致了
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這麼遠也會影響?
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:52
兩個撞在一起不知會怎樣
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-09-22T11:55
影響可大囉
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
撞再一起HWRF會很開心
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
且看且走
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-24T19:52
下午的系集看怎麼反應
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
GFS午報沒啥變化,仍直直北上
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東邊有系統 會讓高壓無法卡到軒仔的東邊吧
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-22T11:55
最後台東登陸就精彩了…大翻車
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東邊看起來是冷低?
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
東邊有個CCL誘發的底層擾動 可以觀察看看
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
12w的移動速度還是很快
而且好像又變扁了...?
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w選手還在嘗試往另一個方向移動進行抵抗
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98W怎麼一直在差不多的地方
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
德國一直都很堅持會登陸
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東邊那個發展的話會抑制軒北上嗎?
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-22T11:55
太遠了不會吧 強度也不夠
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-24T19:52
感覺發海警的機率不低 陸警就不確定了
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-22T11:55
重點不是強不強 而是能不能卡得恰到好處
假如98W沒死透那變數就更大了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不需要強度 東側系統就只是卡位用
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-22T11:55
遙想當年酋長也是留了一個尾巴 最後一路西北西過
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98W:拒絕認輸
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
東邊如果沒系統,軒上面的引導高壓就會滑到颱風的
東南側,颱風變在高壓的側面,就會往北,而如果東
邊有系統,高壓無法直接滑下去,高壓就會繼續在颱
風北面,就無法轉正北
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-24T19:52
所以東邊系統不用強,只要是個封閉等壓線的低壓就
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-22T11:55
看起來變扁了+1
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-22T13:56
經過沖繩結果強風區都在海上,宮古島悲劇
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-22T15:57
集系西調了
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-22T11:55
難得這幾年逐漸西修的颱風 之前都是一直東修遠離
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:52
近年來很多都是初報遠遠 然後一路西修 最後關頭
東修一點 近海通過吧
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-22T11:55
沒錯,近幾年都是一路西修
然後一覺醒來說再見
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-09-24T19:52
覺得軒軒應該就v走了,但98w可能沒死透撞進來。
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://imgur.com/6uUMmUh GEFS 00Z
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://imgur.com/VnwdOqb
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-22T11:55
軒走了以後會影響大氣配置嗎?會不會後面的擾動更
容易接近
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
這個ㄑ字路線的西北段成因到底有沒有機會出現呢~
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-22T11:55
走石垣宮古之間的系集路線不少 如果走石垣以西又是
不同威力了
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:52
等等 GFS對東邊的系統有反應 XD
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-22T11:55
按照這報 石垣島刷氣壓 宮古島刷風速
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-24T19:52
GEFS這報相比上一報略微西修
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-09-22T11:55
都給我c起來
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
如果是週末台 就滾啦
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-22T11:55
很扁應該是北邊高壓太硬了 壓到
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:52
西西西 全台灣風迷趕快作法
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西派站出來
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
東邊系統給我長大起來!
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-22T11:55
桃竹海邊風開始大了(心理作用?
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
給我餵軒蘭諾吃維他命西
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-22T11:55
西軍起床上班了
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
目前軒嵐諾已進入暖池,對流將快速爆發
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這次ben大一直都沒出現
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-09-24T19:52
ben大只有在較高機會發陸警的狀態下才會出現
David avatar
By David
at 2022-09-22T11:55
到底會不會發陸警呢?好好奇~
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://imgur.com/2mO7TYT 我...我還不能倒...
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-22T11:55
Ben大會不會是學術單位的人?
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://bit.ly/3R44R1z 怎麼中間好像被刀子切開…
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-09-22T11:55
cwb預測轉彎前後到300公里風圈,這樣有機會偏一點
就擦陸地
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98w還在努力掙扎
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-22T11:55
那霸發避難警報了
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://i.imgur.com/6sWVDYH.jpg 雷達顯示降雨區
域變大
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
懸臂特徵開始越來越明顯了
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98W再繼續撐下去吧
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-09-22T11:55
按照EC這報很可能發陸警
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:52
二頭肌來了
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-22T11:55
嗯…即使暴風圈真的掃到也應該是落在週末
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-24T19:52
開始轉為西太型態的颱風了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w還不想變補品
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
https://i.imgur.com/i4H04Nr.jpg 08這報就很極限了
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
風迷們:西軍站出來!
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-24T19:52
只是98w對流一炸就被切爆QQ
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2022-09-22T11:55
就看是大V還是小v了
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
笑死,到底有多怕來台灣。
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-22T11:55
EC 劇本開講完了
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-24T19:52
EC00Z略往西修 等4點看系集
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-22T11:55
照最新EC有機會陸警
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-24T19:52
希望V的角度大一點
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
照EC預測 24-48h會滯留
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:52
不管EC或GFS 週六七級風半徑都應該有碰到台灣陸地
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-22T11:55
那霸機場陣風有到27kts了
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
ICON 00z重新登陸台灣
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w選手正在艱苦的燃燒小宇宙
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-24T19:52
看來陸警機率上升中
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-09-22T11:55
軒選手的球仍然是快速指叉
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2022-09-24T19:52
無聊,又一個這種的
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-22T11:55
暴風半徑要挑戰蘇迪勒了嗎
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-24T19:52
軒投手會投個外角挖地瓜撞到台灣休息室嗎 期待
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-22T11:55
完全不必擔心
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-24T19:52
只會撞到樓上看台的日本人
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
倒是有發海警的可能性,如果軒嵐諾環流能再緊縮就有
機會
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
如果ICON這次預測正確 我認他大哥
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-22T11:55
假日颱還是算了,補補水就好......
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-24T19:52
海警看來必發吧 七級風100公里感覺輕鬆達標
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-22T11:55
雨勢看預報還好,單純看目前風力預估應該會達標
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-24T19:52
ICON是因為什麼因素讓它持續預報是登陸的呢
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-22T11:55
在觀察看看吧,陸警有機會
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:52
JMA這報 又更靠近石垣島了
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-09-22T11:55
又西修了?!!?!
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-09-24T19:52
14:00各國路徑逐漸往西調整
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這次要挑戰123E線了嗎
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:52
要挑戰那不可跨越之線了嗎...
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-22T11:55
高壓 98w 移速 東方系統目前表現一直比預期強吧
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
JTWC 06Z https://imgur.com/fF96hLq
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-22T11:55
去年璨樹有挑戰成功可是還是差臨門一腳
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-09-24T19:52
西起來
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-22T11:55
9/4要游日月潭 orz 不知道會不會取消
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:52
接下來氣象局的1400報應該也會調整
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
假日颱可以走開嗎
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
還沒開學 有沒有放假都沒影響呵
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-22T11:55
眼牆要置換完了嗎?
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-24T19:52
卡大在臉書說週五海警 年度最晚首颱風警報推進到9/2
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://imgur.com/a/uuqA0Bs 一路追趕的褲子...
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:52
假日颱 停班停課應該是很穩了
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-22T11:55
JTWC也修到石垣島了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-24T19:52
JTWC目前是最西的
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-22T11:55
停班停課要10級風,機會小,但發陸警7級看Windy感覺
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-09-24T19:52
好喔 疫情兩年沒出遊 一出遊就遇到兩年沒來的颱風
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-22T11:55
124E緩慢北上的話 北部山區雨量也不少
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-24T19:52
說穩的褲子穿好喔別到時候掉漆
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-22T11:55
Ccccccccc
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-09-24T19:52
現在報的那條線,也都還會再調整,海警陸警再過48
小時再來討論比較實際一點
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
沒登陸,就看暴風圈多靠近台灣了~
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
這三個小時對流爆得誇張…
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-09-22T11:55
cwb宜蘭暴風圈通過機率快過半了
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:52
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-22T11:55
https://imgur.com/jZrE0qo
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-09-24T19:52
JMA把深V尖角修掉了
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-22T11:55
其實海警的機率非常高
如果如預測的暴風半徑那麼大的話
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
吸起來!
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-22T11:55
最近一小時變肥好多,應該能排除登陸機會了
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:52
這樣看98W是不是確定會在軒嵐諾東方啊
海警補點水也不錯
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
石垣島離台灣270公里 後期給到300
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2022-09-24T19:52
海警不太可能不發
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
變肥也是預料中的吧?
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-09-24T19:52
副高能挺住嗎
98w如果被甩去東方應該還是有機會 畢竟系集不少路徑
是這樣
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-22T11:55
但重點是環流大小,太大的話會比較快北上
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T19:52
最快再過半天98w就會在東方 前提是小宇宙還在燃燒
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-22T11:55
如果他開始北上時 導引氣流不明顯是用飄的 那還是要
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-24T19:52
注意地形的影響
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-22T11:55
外圍環流有機會讓基隆補滿水庫存量嗎
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-24T19:52
基本上基隆缺水危機會告一段落
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-22T11:55
基本上還是看東側有沒有東西卡位
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-24T19:52
沒有就幾乎正北轉走
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這樣大家覺得翡翠水庫可以補幾%?
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-22T13:56
等待陸警之類
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w又爆對流?
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-24T19:52
98w一直都有爆 可是都被切去西南側
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-22T11:55
98w現在持續燃燒小宇宙中
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:52
烟花颱風距離台灣最近是125E 最大累積雨量700mm
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-22T11:55
cwb 1400沒大調整
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-09-24T19:52
軒仔會西南落到哪裡也會影響接觸台灣的時間點
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-22T11:55
CWB這報其實是有個曲線通過宮古島的XDD
看起來就是陸警邊緣
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-24T19:52
沖縄飯店現場直播https://youtu.be/YGdrgewDo0k
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-22T11:55
CWB不敢亂動啦 等一下媒體又發作
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-24T19:52
跟其他機構比算最東的 畢竟大小J都已經調到接近石垣
島了
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-22T11:55
覺得CWB還在觀望吧,不敢隨便高潮
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-24T19:52
嗯,為了避免大驚小怪,在不確定時保守也不錯
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-22T11:55
等系級
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:52
除非系集大部份都往台灣 不然太早改的確沒好處
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-22T11:55
繼續西調到與那國島吧
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:52
石垣島即時影像 https://youtu.be/geUxn4p1GFY
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-22T11:55
重點是強風雨區…之前劃入半徑結果強風雨區都在海
上沒進來
好幾年在市區都沒有吹到G10了
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-24T19:52
發新文了!
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-22T11:55
這個V線路徑會成真嗎?
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:52
陸警都不一定會發了 真的不用去想放颱風假
這次距離可能比烟花近一點 不過去年烟花滯留非常久
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-09-22T11:55
甭放假了死心吧
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2022-09-24T19:52
臺灣 真得有 強大的氣牆 連強颱都攻不進
強颱不要來 引進水氣 把水庫灌飽就好
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-22T11:55
中間選民:因為kmt有能 颱風才不敢進來
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:52
有人要水桶了嗎
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-09-22T11:55
翡翠石門喝飽飽

98W GW

Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-08-30T15:57
98W的最新圖資 EC 30 06Z 144小時系集:https://i.imgur.com/9ijUzyB.png JMA路徑預測圖:https://i.imgur.com/vbzegTP.jpg 98W防害風化:https://i.imgur.com/8qa8NQK.gif 熱帯低気圧 b 202 ...

2211 軒嵐諾

John avatar
By John
at 2022-08-30T15:47
以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!! 以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!! 以下圖資都是今天30(日)晚上最新的!!! 晚安! JTWC 第10報 C4 颱風 軒嵐諾 世界協調時間 8月30號 12:00 位置:北緯 26.5度 東經 133.6 度 中心氣壓: 926 百帕 中心付近最大 ...

天氣小觀:中颱軒嵐諾,挑戰強颱應該沒問題

Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-08-30T13:54
天氣小觀:中颱軒嵐諾,挑戰強颱應該沒問題 軒嵐諾颱風的誕生從8/26西太平洋由西向東的季風槽中三團擾動, 靠東邊的分別兩個98W和90W,其中又以90W是最靠東邊的熱帶擾動, 由於位於太平洋高壓中心西南邊緣,初始氣旋最有利維持, 加上西風槽提供的槽前輻散,於是率先形成軒嵐諾颱風。 目前中度颱風軒嵐諾颱風在 ...

2211 軒嵐諾

Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-08-30T09:26
今天早上10點氣象局直播的截圖 https://i.imgur.com/95wllDX.png JTWC今天(30日)早上對98W的評價: 98W目前所處的環境不錯,輻散OK,30度的海溫,風切十分友善,但是 98W就在軒嵐諾附近,因此98W發展成TD的機會不高。模式們認為未 來24-36小時,9 ...

民眾對氣象預報服務的認知效益與使用需求

Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-08-30T09:13
經版主同意刊登 -------------- 各位版友大家好: 中央氣象局為了瞭解20-45歲民眾對於氣象預報的應用情形、需求與心中的價值,特地委 託中華經濟研究院進行「111年民眾對氣象預報服務的認知效益與使用需求調查計畫」, 本研究結果將僅提供給相關主管機關參考運用。您所填寫的資料將僅供本研究統計分析 ...