提早28年!英氣象局預測2050年的高溫 本 - 颱風討論
By Poppy
at 2022-07-18T08:53
at 2022-07-18T08:53
Table of Contents
推特原出處
https://twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1547957062000267267
在這裡需要加上他本人有做補充的推文
To clarify: I don't think you can interpret this as climate change occurring
'faster than anticipated'. Climate models have shown that 40C is possible in
the UK in the current climate, just very rare. My point is that what is
coming on Tuesday gives an insight into the future.
釐清一下:我不認為你可以解讀這個成氣候變遷發生的比預期快.
氣候模型已展現攝氏40度在英國現在的氣候是有可能的,只是很罕見
我的觀點是在將來週二發生的事讓我們對未來有了深入的了解。
In the present climate, 40C represents a new extreme, which is becoming more
likely due to climate change
(https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-16834-0).
Both the 2050 and 2022 forecasts are showing extreme events, but 40C in the
2050 forecast is less extreme than the 40C in 2022.
在現在的氣候中攝氏40度是新極端值,這可能是由於氣候變化造成的
(引用2020論文) 20500跟2022預報有展示極端事件,
但是攝氏40度在2050預測裡在不如 2022 年的攝氏40度極端
在回應的推文裡, Chris Parker引用了他在2021的推文
https://twitter.com/HyperHydr0/status/1418564916026519558
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E6-9uhdX0AE_p6h.png
不過類似的事以前有人做過
有位法國氣象主播Evelyne Dhéliat在2014年有播報2050年八月十八日法國本土氣溫
以提醒人們注意氣候變化現實的運動中的一部分
https://youtu.be/AGXcwQRgayU
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