天氣小觀:未來一週,滯留鋒徘徊北方海面,偶觸台 - 颱風討論
By Hedwig
at 2022-06-10T09:24
at 2022-06-10T09:24
Table of Contents
在西南季風的放送下,熱帶海水移向沖繩海域,太平洋高壓也會逐漸北抬;
同時,未來一週南亞高壓往東震盪分裂,震盪重新加速東亞南北冷暖氣團交會,
模式顯示未來一週,東亞兩道西風槽東移,
梅雨鋒面南北徘徊於東海-北部海面,
週五~週日鋒面徘徊在北部近海,週一回東海,週二再往北部近海接近,週三再觸台。
事實上,北方大氣環境沒有明顯阻塞高壓(僅存的1個往極區靠),
這說明了地面高壓微弱,沒有明顯的冷涼空氣堆積,
因此台灣溫度場已經沒有甚麼下降的空間(降雨、夜晚),
因此,
長期預報來看,一週過後南亞高壓新一波震盪,又機會在台灣東北方建立副中心,
是否西風噴流第一次北跳,台灣出梅的指標再看看囉。
(生活夏季,簡單說說囉)
--
同時,未來一週南亞高壓往東震盪分裂,震盪重新加速東亞南北冷暖氣團交會,
模式顯示未來一週,東亞兩道西風槽東移,
梅雨鋒面南北徘徊於東海-北部海面,
週五~週日鋒面徘徊在北部近海,週一回東海,週二再往北部近海接近,週三再觸台。
事實上,北方大氣環境沒有明顯阻塞高壓(僅存的1個往極區靠),
這說明了地面高壓微弱,沒有明顯的冷涼空氣堆積,
因此台灣溫度場已經沒有甚麼下降的空間(降雨、夜晚),
因此,
長期預報來看,一週過後南亞高壓新一波震盪,又機會在台灣東北方建立副中心,
是否西風噴流第一次北跳,台灣出梅的指標再看看囉。
(生活夏季,簡單說說囉)
--
Tags:
颱風
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